Coherent risk measures are a crucial concept in risk management, and understanding their principles is essential for making informed decisions.
A coherent risk measure is a mathematical function that assigns a numerical value to a risk exposure, reflecting its potential impact.
Key properties of coherent risk measures include subadditivity, positive homogeneity, and translation invariance. These properties ensure that the risk measure is consistent and reliable.
In practical applications, coherent risk measures are used to calculate Value-at-Risk (VaR) and Expected Shortfall (ES), which are widely used in finance and risk management.
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Properties of Coherent Risk Measures
A coherent risk measure is a mathematical concept that helps us understand and manage risk in a more effective way. It's a way to measure the risk of a portfolio or investment, and it's based on a set of properties that make it useful for financial decision-making.
One of the key properties of a coherent risk measure is sub-additivity, which means that the risk of two portfolios together cannot get any worse than adding the two risks separately. This is the diversification principle, and it's beneficial in financial risk management.
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A coherent risk measure is also positively homogeneous, which means that if you double your portfolio, you double your risk. This implies that the risk of a position is proportional to its size. Additionally, a coherent risk measure is translation invariant, which means that the addition of a sure amount of capital reduces the risk by the same amount.
Normalized
Normalized risk measures are quite straightforward - the risk when holding no assets is zero. This makes sense, as there's no risk associated with not having any assets to begin with.
In a normalized risk measure, the risk of an empty portfolio is always zero. This is a fundamental property that helps us understand how risk measures work.
Having a normalized risk measure is essential for many financial applications, as it provides a clear and consistent benchmark for risk assessment.
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Actuarial Science: Mathematical and Statistical Aspects
Actuarial science is a field that relies heavily on mathematical and statistical concepts to assess and manage risk. In actuarial science, coherent risk measures are used to evaluate the risk of different assets and portfolios.
A coherent risk measure is a functional that satisfies certain properties, including sub-additivity, which implies that the risk of a portfolio is less than or equal to the sum of the risks of its individual assets. This is due to the benefits of diversification, which can lead to lower risk when increasing the number of assets held.
In financial risk management, sub-additivity is beneficial because it implies that diversification is a good strategy for reducing risk. However, not all risk measures satisfy this property, as we'll see in the case of Value at Risk (VaR).
VaR is a risk measure that has been defined non-coherent because it does not satisfy the sub-additivity property. This means that the risk of a portfolio made up of two assets can be greater than the sum of the risks of the individual assets, which contradicts the benefits of diversification.
In actuarial science, we often use mathematical and statistical techniques to verify the properties of risk measures. For example, we can use Monte Carlo simulations to test whether a risk measure satisfies the sub-additivity property.
Translation invariance is another property of coherent risk measures, which implies that adding a sure amount of capital to a portfolio reduces the risk by the same amount. This property is important in actuarial science because it helps us to understand how risk changes when we add or subtract assets from a portfolio.
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Positive homogeneity is also a property of coherent risk measures, which implies that the risk of a position is proportional to its size. This means that if you double your portfolio, your risk will also double.
In actuarial science, we often use mathematical and statistical techniques to verify the properties of risk measures. For example, we can use mathematical derivations to show that a risk measure satisfies the positive homogeneity property.
The benefits of coherent risk measures in actuarial science are numerous. By using risk measures that satisfy the sub-additivity, translation invariance, and positive homogeneity properties, we can better assess and manage risk in a wide range of applications.
Convex
Convex risk measures can replace the notions of Sub-additivity and Positive Homogeneity.
Convexity is a key property of set-valued convex risk measures, which are useful for markets with transaction costs.
In a situation with Rd-valued portfolios, a set of portfolios is the proper way to depict risk.
Set-valued risk measures are also useful for measuring risk in n ≤ d of the assets.
Dual Representation
A lower semi-continuous convex risk measure can be represented as ϱ(X) = supα∈R∪{∞} (αE(X) - ϱ*(α)), where α is a penalty function and ϱ* is the conjugate function of ϱ.
The dual representation of a risk measure is tied to mathematical concepts such as Lp spaces and Orlitz hearts.
In this representation, the risk measure is defined as the supremum of a set of values, each of which is a combination of a penalty function and the expectation of the random variable X.
The penalty function α plays a crucial role in this representation, as it determines the trade-off between the risk measure and the expectation of the random variable.
A lower semi-continuous risk measure is coherent if and only if it can be represented as ϱ(X) = supα∈R∪{∞} (αE(X) - ϱ*(α)), where ϱ* is the conjugate function of ϱ.
This dual representation provides a powerful tool for analyzing and understanding the properties of coherent risk measures.
The set M(P) of probability measures absolutely continuous with respect to P is also an important concept in this representation.
In particular, the set M(P) is defined as the set of all probability measures Q that are absolutely continuous with respect to P, i.e. Q≪P.
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Understanding Assessment
Assessment is a crucial step in evaluating the properties of coherent risk measures. It involves evaluating the risk of a portfolio based on the probabilities of potential losses.
A coherent risk measure must satisfy the subadditivity property, which means that the risk of a portfolio is less than or equal to the sum of the risks of its individual components.
To illustrate this, consider a portfolio consisting of two assets, A and B. If the risk of A is 5 and the risk of B is 3, then the risk of the portfolio should be less than or equal to 8.
The monotonicity property requires that the risk of a portfolio should not decrease when the probability of a potential loss increases. In other words, if the probability of a loss increases, the risk of the portfolio should also increase.
For example, if the probability of a loss for asset A increases from 0.1 to 0.2, the risk of the portfolio should also increase.
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Keywords
Coherent risk measures are a fundamental concept in risk management, and understanding the various keywords associated with them is essential for professionals in the field.
The following keywords are commonly used in the context of coherent risk measures:
- Backward equations: These are mathematical equations that describe how risk measures change over time, often used in discrete-time approximations.
- Dynamic risk measures: These are risk measures that take into account the future evolution of a risk, often used in conjunction with backward equations.
- Risk multigenerators: These are mathematical tools used to generate risk measures that are consistent with a given set of axioms, such as monotonicity and subadditivity.
- Risk multikernels: These are mathematical objects used to represent risk measures in a more compact and tractable form, often used in conjunction with risk multigenerators.
Time consistency is a critical property of coherent risk measures, ensuring that the risk measure of a portfolio remains consistent over time.
Measure Types
Coherent risk measures can be categorized into different types, each with its own unique characteristics. These types are essential to understand when working with risk management.
Expected shortfall, also known as expected loss, is a type of coherent risk measure that calculates the average loss of a portfolio over a specific time period. It's a popular choice for risk management due to its simplicity.
Value-at-risk (VaR) is another type of coherent risk measure that estimates the potential loss of a portfolio over a specific time horizon with a given probability. For example, a 95% VaR would mean that there is a 5% chance of losses exceeding this value.
Expected shortfall is often used as a complement to VaR, as it provides a more comprehensive view of potential losses.
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Monotonicity
Monotonicity is a measure type that implies a portfolio with greater future returns has less risk. This principle is based on the idea that if portfolio Z2 always has better values than portfolio Z1 under almost all scenarios, then the risk of Z2 should be less than the risk of Z1.
A great example of monotonicity is when you have an in the money call option on a stock, and you also have another in the money call option with a lower strike price. The one with the lower strike price is likely to have less risk.
In financial risk management, monotonicity is crucial because it helps you understand that a portfolio with higher potential returns is often associated with lower risk. This is a straightforward and intuitive concept that can help you make more informed investment decisions.
Types of
Value at risk is not a coherent risk measure, which means it doesn't respect the sub-additivity property.
Value at risk is coherent under certain assumptions, such as elliptically distributed losses and a linear function of asset prices. In this case, it becomes equivalent to a mean-variance approach.
A coherent risk measure is one that respects the sub-additivity property, and average value at risk (AVaR) is an example of one. It's derived from value at risk, which is not coherent.
The entropic value at risk is also a coherent risk measure. It's part of a class of information-theoretic coherent risk measures called g-entropic risk measures.
Tail value at risk (TVaR) is a coherent risk measure when the underlying distribution is continuous. Its Wang transform function is g(x) = min(x/α, 1), which proves its coherence.
g-entropic risk measures are a class of information-theoretic coherent risk measures that include important cases like CVaR and EVaR. They're used in finance to measure risk.
Specialized Measures
In the realm of coherent risk measures, specialized measures come into play to address specific risk management needs.
Value-at-Risk (VaR) is a type of coherent risk measure that calculates the potential loss of a portfolio over a specific time horizon with a given confidence level.
Specialized measures like Expected Shortfall (ES) are used to quantify the potential loss of a portfolio, taking into account the severity of losses.
ES is a more sophisticated measure than VaR, as it considers the entire distribution of potential losses, not just the most extreme ones.
Proportional Hazard (PH)
The Proportional Hazard (PH) risk measure is a mathematical formula that transforms hazard rates using a coefficient ξ. This coefficient plays a crucial role in determining the PH risk measure.
The Wang transform function, also known as the distortion function, for the PH risk measure is gα(x)=xξ. This function is essential in proving the coherence of the PH risk measure.
A key characteristic of the PH risk measure is its concavity, which is proven when ξ < 1/2. This concavity is a critical property that ensures the PH risk measure is coherent and reliable.
Entropic Measure
The entropic measure is a type of risk measure that's not coherent, which means it doesn't follow all the rules of a traditional risk measure.
It's related to the exponential utility, which is a way of measuring the value of something based on how much it's worth to you.
The entropic measure is a convex risk measure, which means it's a way of measuring risk that's based on the idea that the risk is always increasing as the potential loss gets bigger.
The superhedging price, on the other hand, is a coherent risk measure, which is a type of risk measure that's more reliable and trustworthy.
g-entropic risk measures are a class of coherent risk measures that are related to the entropic measure, but they're more advanced and nuanced.
They involve important cases such as CVaR and EVaR, which are ways of measuring risk that are used in finance and other fields.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Why is VaR not a coherent risk measure?
VaR fails to be a coherent risk measure because it doesn't satisfy the sub-additivity property, meaning it can't accurately calculate total risk when combining multiple assets. This limitation makes VaR a flawed tool for comprehensive risk assessment.
Is CVaR a coherent risk measure?
Yes, CVaR is a coherent risk measure, characterized by its continuous and convex function with respect to portfolio positions. This property makes CVaR a reliable and predictable measure of risk.
Sources
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Coherent_risk_measure
- https://actuarialmodelingtopics.wordpress.com/tag/coherent-risk-measure/
- https://fastercapital.com/content/Coherent-risk-measures--A-Holistic-Approach-to-Assessing-Risk.html
- https://mathsandstat.wordpress.com/2017/05/10/is-var-a-coherent-risk-measure-analytical-approach/
- https://www.researchwithrutgers.com/en/publications/time-coherent-risk-measures-for-continuous-time-markov-chains
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