
Tumbling mortgage rates have been making headlines lately, and if you're considering buying or refinancing a home, you're probably wondering what it all means.
Historically low mortgage rates have been a game-changer for homebuyers. According to recent data, the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate has dropped to around 3.5%.
For many borrowers, these lower rates have made homeownership more affordable. In fact, a study found that for every 1% decrease in mortgage rates, homebuyers can expect to save around $1,500 per year on their mortgage payments.
If you're thinking of refinancing your current mortgage, now might be a great time to act. With rates this low, you could potentially save thousands of dollars over the life of your loan.
Recommended read: Mortgage Refinancing Activity Rises as Rates Drop.
Why Mortgage Rates Are Dropping
Mortgage rates have been dropping, and it's not just a minor adjustment - they're tumbling. The 10-year Treasury yields, which influence mortgage rates, have remained below 4.2%, indicating a slowing economy and easing inflation.

This development is giving investors a signal that a rate cut is needed, and the Federal Reserve is taking note. Economist Jiayi Xu from Realtor.com notes that this should help interest rates, including mortgage rates, continue on a downward trend.
The June jobs report and core price index readings are providing the Federal Reserve with the data it needs to make an informed decision. The upcoming Federal Reserve meeting later this month will give us more insight into their intentions.
Here's a breakdown of the current mortgage rates:
The biggest rate declines were seen in VA 30-year fixed-rate averages and 10/6 ARM loans, with drops of 40 basis points and 30 basis points, respectively.
Broaden your view: Current 7/1 Arm Mortgage Rates
National Mortgage Rates Overview
Mortgage rates have been falling, with the 30-year mortgage average dropping 14 basis points to 7.66%. This is a significant decrease, especially considering it was at a 21-year high just a day prior.
The 15-year mortgage average also saw a decline, dropping 3 basis points to 7.14%. Jumbo 30-year rates gave up 12 basis points to average 6.90%. These drops are a welcome relief for those looking to purchase or refinance a home.
Here's a breakdown of the national averages of lenders' best rates for new purchase loans:
These rates are averages, and actual mortgage rates may vary depending on individual factors such as credit score and income.
Seasonal Factors, Affordability
The drop in mortgage rates might be hitting at the wrong moment for some buyers, as schools are starting up and families may be reluctant to switch districts.
Lower mortgage rates are improving affordability, with the current average monthly payment $285 lower than in October 2023, when rates were at 7.79%.
Home prices are still high, which explains why the declines aren't moving the needle for many current renters.
A decline in mortgage rates from 6.75% to 6.5% only raises the percentage of renters who can afford a median-priced home from 28.9 to 30.
Affordability remains constrained, with inventory still historically low.
The seller's pace is still very restricted, with new listings needed to see a cap on inventory growth lifted.
See what others are reading: Mortgage Rates Reduced
National Mortgage Rates
Mortgage rates have been on a downward trend, with the 10-year Treasury yields influencing rates to remain below 4.2%. This is due to economic data indicating a slowdown in the economy and easing inflation.
The June jobs report and core price index readings are giving the Federal Reserve signals that a rate cut is needed. This could lead to a further decline in interest rates, including mortgage rates.
The 30-year mortgage average dropped 14 basis points to 7.66% on Wednesday, its lowest level since the data became available in 2002. This is a notable decline from the previous day's high of 7.80%.
Here's a snapshot of the current national mortgage rates:
The biggest rate declines were seen in the VA 30-year fixed-rate average and 10/6 ARM loans, which dropped 40 and 30 basis points, respectively.
Key Points and Insights
Mortgage rates have been tumbling, and that's great news for homebuyers. The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 6.77% this week, which is a significant drop from last week's average of 6.89.
The rate drop has helped ease affordability challenges, but buyers appear to be waiting to see how far rates fall. The typical monthly mortgage payment is down $115 from its April peak.

Home sales activity tends to slow during the hottest days of summer, but affordability remains the bigger obstacle. Mortgage rates will likely come down further over the coming months, which could bring more buyers and sellers into the market.
Here are some key statistics to keep in mind:
- The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 6.77% this week.
- The 15-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 6.05% this week.
- The typical monthly mortgage payment is down $115 from its April peak.
- The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 6.47% this week (in the previous week).
- The 15-year fixed-rate averaged 5.63% this week (in the previous week).
Home prices are also expected to rise, but at a slower pace. Zillow forecasts that home prices will rise just 1% nationally through June 2025.
Frequently Asked Questions
How can I get a 3% mortgage rate?
To potentially secure a 3% mortgage rate, consider exploring assumable mortgages, which allow buyers to take over an existing mortgage at its current rate. This option may be available if the original mortgage was taken out when rates were lower.
Is 7% high for a mortgage?
Mortgage rates above 7% are considered high, especially for top-tier borrowers, but rates can fluctuate and may be higher in the future. Borrowers with lower credit scores or non-QM status may already be facing higher rates.
Will mortgage rates ever be 3% again?
Mortgage rates returning to 3% are unlikely in the near future, but may happen in decades to come. Experts predict a long wait for rates to reach pre-recession levels.
Are mortgage rates dropping in 2024?
Yes, Fannie Mae predicts mortgage rates will drop to 6.30% by the end of 2025, with a significant decrease expected in 2024. Rates are expected to end 2024 around 6.60% before dropping further.
How much is a $300,000 mortgage at 7% interest?
For a $300,000 mortgage at 7% interest, the estimated monthly payment is $1,996 for a 30-year mortgage and $2,696 for a 15-year mortgage. Your loan term and payment amount depend on your chosen mortgage duration.
Sources
- https://www.realestatenews.com/2024/07/18/mortgage-rates-tumble-time-for-buyers-to-get-serious
- https://www.realestatenews.com/2024/08/08/mortgage-rates-tumble-but-where-are-the-buyers
- https://www.investopedia.com/mortgage-rates-tumble-from-21-year-highs-7852136
- https://www.cnn.com/2024/03/14/business/mortgage-interest-rates-tumble-inflation/index.html
- https://christchurchrentalproperties.co.nz/news/mortgages-rates-are-tumbling
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