
The RAND Health Insurance Experiment was a groundbreaking study that provides valuable lessons for today's healthcare system. The experiment randomly assigned over 7,000 low-income families to different health insurance plans, and the results were nothing short of astonishing.
One of the most significant findings was that people with health insurance were 35% more likely to see a doctor than those without it, even when they were sick or injured. This shows just how important access to healthcare is for people's well-being.
The RAND study also found that people with health insurance were 25% less likely to go bankrupt due to medical expenses. This is a crucial lesson for policymakers today, as medical debt remains a major concern for many Americans.
The experiment's results have stood the test of time, and they continue to inform healthcare policy decisions today.
Methods
The RAND Health Insurance Experiment was a groundbreaking study that aimed to answer some tough questions about health insurance. It was initiated in 1971 by a team of experts led by health economist Joseph Newhouse.
The team established an insurance company using funding from the United States Department of Health, Education, and Welfare. They randomly assigned 5809 people to different insurance plans with varying cost-sharing rates.
One of the key aspects of the study was the random assignment of participants to different insurance plans, including one with no cost sharing, and others with coinsurance rates of 25%, 50%, or 95% with a maximum annual payment of $1000.
The Insurance Experiment
The Insurance Experiment was a groundbreaking study conducted by RAND researchers in the 1970s. It aimed to answer fundamental questions about the impact of cost sharing on healthcare use and outcomes.
The study involved recruiting 2,750 families, encompassing over 7,700 individuals, from six sites across the United States. Participants were randomly assigned to one of five types of health insurance plans, including free care and varying levels of cost sharing.
The experiment was a large-scale, randomized trial that ran from 1971 to 1982. It was one of the largest and most comprehensive social science experiments ever performed in the United States at the time.
To assess participant service use, costs, and quality of care, RAND served as the families' insurer and processed their claims. The study also administered surveys at the beginning and end of the experiment and conducted comprehensive physical exams.
Here are the key findings of the Insurance Experiment:
- Cost sharing reduced spending for health care services.
- Participants with cost sharing made fewer medical visits and were admitted to hospitals less frequently.
- Reduced spending resulted entirely from less use of care; the costs of care were not affected.
- Cost sharing reduced the use of effective and less effective services about equally.
- Cost sharing had no detrimental effects on participants' health, except for the sickest and poorest patients.
Intertemporal Demand Substitution: Evidence
Intertemporal demand substitution is a phenomenon where people adjust their spending habits over time in response to changes in prices. This can be observed in the way people manage their health care expenses.
A study using data from the RAND Health Insurance Experiment found that patients can reduce their out-of-pocket costs by concentrating spending in years when they hit the deductible. This is because nonlinear cost-sharing in health insurance encourages intertemporal substitution.
The study estimated that sensitivity to short-lasting price changes is about twice as large as sensitivity to long-lasting changes. This suggests that people are more responsive to temporary price changes than to permanent ones.

In the context of health insurance, hitting the maximum dollar expenditure (MDE) leads to an effective price of zero, resulting in higher monthly health care spending and utilization. This is because people who hit the MDE face high future and past prices.
Here's a summary of the key findings:
- Hitting the MDE has a bigger effect on monthly health care spending and utilization than being in free care.
- Sensitivity to short-lasting price changes is about twice as large as sensitivity to long-lasting changes.
Key Findings
The RAND Health Insurance Experiment was a groundbreaking study that shed light on the effects of cost sharing on health care use and outcomes. It's still widely referenced today as a "gold standard" study in the field.
Cost sharing reduced the use of both highly effective and less effective services in roughly equal proportions, according to the study's findings. This means that people were less likely to seek medical care, regardless of whether it was necessary or not.
The study found that cost sharing had no significant effect on the quality of care received by participants. This is surprising, given the assumption that people would be more careful about their health if they were paying out of pocket.
The quality of care was actually quite low overall, with criteria for quality met only 62% of the time. This is a concerning finding, especially considering that the study was conducted over 20 years ago.
A key finding of the study was that cost sharing reduced the use of medical services at all levels of effectiveness. This is shown in the table below:
The study also found that cost sharing had no adverse effects on participant health, but there were exceptions. For example, free care improved the control of hypertension, particularly among the poorest patients.
Criticisms and Legacy
The RAND Health Insurance Experiment has had its fair share of criticisms and controversies over the years.
Some authors questioned the generalizability of the study's findings due to the small size of the HMO being studied in Seattle.
The study's design has been criticized for potentially invalidating the results due to a large number of participants dropping out of the cost-sharing arms of the experiment. However, the researchers have argued that this criticism is implausible.
One of the main limitations of the study is that it only focused on people with health insurance and did not examine the impact of insurance on people without coverage.
The study found that increased cost sharing is associated with lower rates of drug treatment and worse adherence among existing users.
Here are some key statistics on the effects of cost sharing on prescription drug use:
- For each 10% increase in cost sharing, prescription drug spending decreases by 2% to 6%, depending on the class of drug and condition of the patient.
- Higher cost sharing is associated with increased use of medical services for patients with certain chronic conditions, such as congestive heart failure and diabetes.
The study also found that people who had to pay almost all of their own medical bills spent 30% less on health care than those whose insurance covered all their costs, with little or no difference in health outcomes.
Key Economic Object of Interest
The RAND Health Insurance Experiment focused on one key economic object of interest: the impact of different health insurance contracts on medical spending. This is the aspect we'll be examining in this discussion.
The experiment compared two hypothetical insurance contracts, each with a different coinsurance rate. The first plan had a 20 percent coinsurance rate, meaning the individual paid 20 cents for every dollar of health care utilization. The second plan had a 10 percent coinsurance rate, where the individual paid only 10 cents for every dollar of health care spending.
The key object of interest is illustrated in Figure 1, which shows how health care utilization translates to out-of-pocket spending. The horizontal axis represents the total dollar amount spent on health care services, while the vertical axis represents the amount of insurance coverage.
Here are the two budget sets arising from these different insurance contracts:
These budget sets show how the amount of insurance coverage affects the individual's out-of-pocket spending on health care services.
Results
The RAND Health Insurance Experiment had some surprising results. Cost sharing, which involves shifting a greater share of health care expense and responsibility onto consumers, reduced the use of medical services at all levels of effectiveness.
Participants with cost sharing spent less on health care services, but this didn't necessarily mean they were getting better care. In fact, the overall level of quality for process measures was surprisingly low for all participants, with criteria for quality met only 62 percent of the time.
The study found that cost sharing did not significantly affect the quality of care received by participants, with clinically meaningful differences appearing only for the process criteria dealing with the need for an office visit.
Figure 1

Figure 1 is a crucial representation of the relationship between health insurance coverage and healthcare utilization. It shows how individuals would increase their total healthcare spending from $3,000 to $5,000 in response to a 50 percent reduction in the out-of-pocket price.
This elasticity of −1.33 is often referred to as the "moral hazard" effect of health insurance. It's a key concept in understanding how health insurance affects people's behavior.
The RAND experiment aimed to estimate this elasticity by randomizing which budget set consumers faced. The results showed that individuals were highly responsive to changes in out-of-pocket prices.
However, Figure 1 abstracts from many important aspects of real-world health insurance contracts and healthcare consumption choices. It simplifies health care utilization by its overall dollar cost, which doesn't take into account the heterogeneity in health care needs.
Figure 3. Cost Sharing Participants Spent Less
Cost sharing was found to have a significant impact on health care spending. Participants with cost sharing spent less on health care services.

The study, which adjusted spending numbers to 2005 dollars using the all-items Consumer Price Index, showed a clear trend: those with cost sharing plans spent less. This is a crucial finding for policymakers considering the implementation of cost sharing.
Spending numbers included both adults and children, providing a comprehensive view of the impact of cost sharing on health care expenses. The study's findings suggest that cost sharing can be an effective way to reduce health care spending.
The Health Insurance Experiment, completed in 1982, remains a landmark study on the effects of cost sharing on health care. Its findings continue to inform policy decisions today.
Implications for Today's Care Reform
The RAND Health Insurance Experiment had a profound impact on the healthcare landscape, and its findings still influence care reform today.
The experiment revealed that a significant portion of the medical cost savings came from reduced hospitalization rates, which is a critical consideration for policymakers.
The results showed that patients with insurance were 35% less likely to be hospitalized than those without insurance, highlighting the importance of access to care in preventing costly hospitalizations.
The RAND study's emphasis on preventive care is still relevant today, as it demonstrated that even small increases in insurance coverage can lead to significant reductions in medical costs.
The study's findings on the impact of insurance on hospitalization rates and medical costs are essential for understanding the implications of care reform on healthcare spending.
The RAND Health Insurance Experiment's results have far-reaching implications for policymakers, particularly in the areas of access to care, preventive care, and hospitalization rates.
Research and Methodology
The RAND Health Insurance Experiment was a groundbreaking study that laid the foundation for modern healthcare research. It was initiated in 1971 by a team of researchers led by health economist Joseph Newhouse.
The study was designed to answer a crucial question: does free medical care lead to better health than insurance plans that require patients to shoulder part of the cost? The team established an insurance company using funding from the United States Department of Health, Education, and Welfare.
The experiment involved randomly assigning 5809 people to different insurance plans, including ones with no cost sharing, 25% coinsurance, 50% coinsurance, and 95% coinsurance with a maximum annual payment of $1000. This allowed researchers to compare the outcomes of these different plans.
A staff model health maintenance organization (HMO), the Group Health Cooperative of Puget Sound, was also included in the study, with 1,149 people randomly assigned to it. This group faced no cost sharing and was compared with those in the fee-for-service system with no cost sharing.
The study's findings ultimately opened the way for increased cost sharing for medical care in the 1980s and 1990s.
Economic Analysis
The RAND Health Insurance Experiment focused on the economic aspect of health insurance, specifically on the impact of different insurance contracts on medical spending. The key object of interest was health care utilization, measured by the total dollar amount spent on health care services.
RAND's estimates of health insurance contracts' impact on medical spending were a crucial part of their research. The publicly available health data were incomplete, which prevented a replication of the original RAND results.
Health care utilization is summarized on the horizontal axis by the total dollar amount spent on health care services, regardless of whether it's paid by the insurer or out of pocket. The amount of insurance coverage is represented by how this total amount translates to out-of-pocket spending on the vertical axis.
Two different budget sets were illustrated in Figure 1, representing two different hypothetical insurance contracts. The solid line represented a plan with a constant 20 percent coinsurance rate, where the individual pays 20 cents for any dollar of health care utilization.
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