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Process risk is a critical concern for any organization, and understanding it is essential for effective management. Process risk refers to the likelihood of an adverse event or outcome occurring within a business process.
According to research, process risk can have a significant impact on an organization's bottom line, with studies showing that it can cost companies up to 20% of their annual revenue.
Effective management of process risk requires identifying and assessing potential risks. This involves analyzing the process steps, identifying potential hazards, and evaluating the likelihood and impact of each risk.
Causes of Process Risk
Human error is a significant contributor to process risk, resulting from manual work challenges like employee turnover, lack of skills, or misconduct. This can lead to mistakes like incorrect number entries or miscalculations that have a ripple effect and cause significant loss for the company.
The Basel Committee defines human error risk as errors that are resulted from manual work. This highlights the importance of addressing these issues in the risk management process.
A Brief History
The evolution of risk management is a fascinating topic. The Basel Committee on Banking Supervision, founded in 1974, played a significant role in standardizing risk management methodologies.
In the 1990s, the COSO's Internal Control-Integrated Framework was released in 1992, which further emphasized the importance of risk management. The framework was a response to growing concerns about financial fraud and the need for effective risk management practices.
The Sarbanes-Oxley Compliance Act of 2002 was a direct result of high-profile corporate scandals, including WorldCom and Enron. This act put increased pressure on organizations to have robust risk management disciplines in place.
The Basel Committee's work on operational risk management has had a lasting impact on the industry. Their framework has been used to identify and mitigate various types of loss events, such as those listed in the FDIC Operational Risk Management table.
Human Error
Human error is a significant contributor to process risk. It can stem from manual work, which is prone to mistakes due to employee turnover, lack of skills, or misconduct.
An accountant entering the wrong number accidentally can cause a ripple effect, leading to significant loss for the company. This is a minor yet common mistake that can have major consequences.
Losing a key employee without a succession plan can disrupt operations. This can happen due to employee turnover, which is a common challenge in manual work.
An untrained employee might mishandle a critical task, leading to inefficiencies or compliance issues. This highlights the importance of proper training and skills to prevent such mistakes.
Equipment Failure
Equipment failure can cause significant disruptions to a process, just like a bakery's oven malfunctioning in the middle of a large order, causing missed delivery deadlines and spoiled goods.
A breakdown in primary building blocks, such as communication or transportation, can also lead to process failures, delaying production and assembly.
A malfunctioning oven, like the one in the bakery example, can result in financial losses due to spoiled goods.
Equipment failure can happen anywhere, from a bakery's oven to a manufacturing plant's machinery, and can have serious consequences for order fulfillment and customer satisfaction.
External
External risks can be devastating to a company's operations. Natural disasters, such as hurricanes, can cause significant disruptions in supply chains and facility operations.
Companies located in regions prone to natural disasters, like hurricanes, may experience losses due to external risks. This is because their supply chains and facilities can be severely impacted by the disaster.
External risks can also stem from economic shifts, such as a sudden change in market trends or a global economic downturn. This can lead to reduced demand for a company's products or services.
Companies may not have control over external risks, but being aware of them can help them prepare and mitigate their impact.
Fraud
Fraud can have severe consequences, including financial losses and damage to organizational trust. This is evident in the case of an employee exploiting expense reimbursement systems.
Fraud risk involves intentional deception, manipulation, or exploitation of company processes for personal or organizational gain. Weak internal controls or oversight can exacerbate this risk.
Consider Inter-Dependency
Process risk can arise from complex and interdependent processes, like procure to pay (P2P). This means various processes or sub-processes might affect each other.
Imagine an improvement for requisition activities can increase efficiency for this process while creating bottlenecks at the invoice level. This highlights the importance of considering inter-process relations.
Multi-level process mining (MLPM) can help you understand inter-dependency and complexity by defining different entities in a given process and tracking interactions among them.
Understanding inter-dependency is crucial to finding inefficiencies or measuring the impact of a change in your operations.
Types of Process Risk
Process risk types can be an external problem, an internal error, or both, causing inefficient, ineffective, and non-compliant processes.
System failures are a type of process risk that can cause operational disruptions due to software glitches, system crashes, or data breaches.
A manufacturing company experiencing a system-wide failure in its inventory management software could face delays in production and fulfillment, making it a tangible example of system failures in action.
What Are Types?
Process risk types are harmful scenarios that can stem from different departments or entities, causing inefficient, ineffective, and non-compliant processes.
These risk types can be an external problem, an internal error, or both.
Process risk types include external problems, internal errors, or a combination of both.
System Failures
System failures can be a major source of process risk, causing operational disruptions that can have serious consequences for a business.
A manufacturing company experiencing a system-wide failure in its inventory management software could face delays in production and fulfillment. This can lead to lost sales, damaged customer relationships, and a loss of market share.
System crashes or data breaches can also cause significant disruptions, resulting in lost productivity and revenue.
In the manufacturing example, a system failure in inventory management software could lead to a shortage of critical components, forcing the company to halt production entirely.
The impact of system failures can be far-reaching, affecting not only the business but also its customers and suppliers.
Risk Management Strategies
Risk management strategies are essential for mitigating potential losses or the severity of losses.
To manage financial risks, different strategies can be used, including risk avoidance, risk reduction, risk transfer, and risk retention. Risk avoidance includes eliminating activities that may expose the party to risk, while risk reduction involves mitigating potential losses or the severity of losses.
Selecting an appropriate strategy may be challenging, but it should reflect the nature of the risk and the individual or corporation's current situation. Risks should be fully understood before a decision is made.
There are four possible response strategies to implement, depending on the nature of the risk: risk acceptance, risk avoidance, risk control/mitigation, and risk transfer. Risk acceptance involves managing incidents that take place as best you can, while risk avoidance involves eliminating the risk completely.
Here are some strategies to consider:
An effective risk mitigation plan involves treating the risks using the above strategies as efficiently as possible without taking focus away from business operations. This can be ensured by collaborating with other leaders in your business to incorporate the risk treatment processes as naturally as possible into daily operations.
Implementing a Risk Management Plan
Implementing a risk management plan is a crucial step in managing process risk. It's essential to understand the nature of the risk and the current situation before making a decision.
The first step is to fully understand the risks, considering factors such as the severity of the risk and whether it's tolerable. You should also research how other parties have managed similar risks in the past and assess the effectiveness of their strategies.
To map your processes, create a visual representation of each task, activity, sub-process, and employee. This will help you identify risky areas and implement changes where needed. You can use process mining to automatically map the discovered process model.
The Operational Risk Management (ORM) process typically involves five steps: Risk Identification, Risk Assessment, Risk Mitigation, Control Implementation, and Monitoring. Each step is critical and should be implemented.
To identify risks, consider different types, such as market risks, environmental risks, and operational risks. You can categorize them into four major types: hazard risks, strategic risks, financial risks, and operational risks. Try to identify as many risks as possible and categorize them based on these types.
Here are some ways to identify risks:
- Consulting with industry experts
- Performing audits using smart software
- Leveraging the experience of your team members
- Doing a group brainstorming session
Having a robust risk management process in place is critical for smooth business operations. Each step of the risk management process must be conducted with care and attention to detail. You can make your work easier by leveraging software that automates every step and generates data-driven insights for continuous improvement.
Risk Analysis and Assessment
Risk analysis and assessment are crucial steps in identifying potential risks and mitigating their impact. Financial risks can be assessed both qualitatively and quantitatively, but the focus is often on quantitative risk assessment.
To assess and prioritize risks, you can use the formula P x I = E, where P is the probability of the risk event occurring, I is the impact of the risk event occurring, and E is the expected loss from the risk event. For example, if there's a 10% probability of a $500,000 loss, the expected loss would be 10% x $500,000 = $50,000.
Risk analysis involves calculating the probability of a risk event or scenario and estimating the potential consequences. It's essential to consider time factors, frequency of risk events, and subsequent consequences, such as reputational damage or fines. Many organizations use color-coding or qualitative terms like "high risk" or "low probability", but a more quantitative approach, like the Factor Analysis of Information Risk (FAIR) model, can be more helpful.
Some common methods for qualitative and quantitative risk analysis include the Factor Analysis of Information Risk (FAIR) model, the Open FAIR standard, and IEC 31010, a standard on risk assessment techniques. These methods can help you identify and assess risks more accurately and develop effective risk management strategies.
What Is Analysis?
Analysis is a crucial step in the risk management process. It involves calculating the probability of a risk event or scenario and estimating the potential consequences if it happened.
There's a whole science to risk analysis, but essentially it involves considering factors like time, frequency, and impact. For example, a breach of patient data could result in fines, lawsuits, and reputational damage that far exceed the cost of the device.
Risk analysis should also consider time factors, such as financial reporting systems being particularly important during tax preparation time. This is because the integrity and availability of these systems are crucial during this period.
Many organizations express the level of risk found during an analysis in general or qualitative ways, using terms like high risk or low probability. However, a more quantitative approach can be beneficial, such as using the Factor Analysis of Information Risk (FAIR) model.
There are dozens of methods available for both qualitative and quantitative risk analysis, as described in IEC 31010, a standard on risk assessment techniques. These methods can help organizations assess risks more effectively than color-coding.
To identify potential risks, it's essential to consider all possible events or occurrences that can pose a negative monetary impact. This can be done by analyzing the current financial situation, brainstorming financial risks in a workshop setting, or using previous financial stress events as reference.
Tools like pre-determined financial risk checklists can also be used to help identify financial risks. Some common categories for financial risks include credit-related risks, which are often grouped together.
Here are some tools that can be used to help identify financial risks:
- Analyzing the current financial situation
- Brainstorming financial risks in a workshop setting
- Using previous financial stress events as reference
- Interviewing internal and external parties and experts
- Using pre-determined financial risk checklists
Identifying
Identifying risks is a crucial step in the risk analysis and assessment process. It involves considering all possible events or occurrences that can pose a negative monetary impact. This can be done by analyzing the current financial situation, brainstorming financial risks in a workshop setting, or using previous financial stress events as reference.
To identify risks, you can use tools such as pre-determined financial risk checklists or interview internal and external parties and experts. These tools can help you identify potential risks and categorize them based on financial risk types.
There are different types of risks, such as market risks, environmental risks, and more. These can be classified into four major categories of risks: hazard risks, strategic risks, financial risks, and operational risks. It's essential to identify as many risks as possible and categorize them based on these four types to streamline your risk management strategy.
Some good ways to identify risks include consulting with industry experts, performing audits using smart software, or leveraging the experience of your team members by asking them to give input about risks they have observed or experienced. You can also do a group brainstorming session to identify potential risks.
Here are some common types of risks that you may want to consider:
- Hazard risks (e.g. accidents, fires, natural disasters)
- Strategic risks (e.g. new competitors, viral negative feedback)
- Financial risks (e.g. economic recession, supplier failure)
- Operational risks (e.g. employee turnover, system failures)
Once you have compiled a list of all possible risks, make a record of them in a project risk log or project risk register. This will help you monitor risks throughout a project and serve as a historical reference for past projects.
Risk Mitigation and Monitoring
Risk mitigation is a crucial step in the process risk management process. It involves developing and choosing a path for controlling specific risks, such as transferring, avoiding, accepting, or mitigating them.
There are four options for addressing potential risk events: transfer, avoid, accept, and mitigate. Transfer involves shifting the risk to another organization, such as outsourcing or insuring. Avoidance prevents the organization from entering into a risk-rich situation or environment. Acceptance involves comparing the risk to the cost of control and deciding whether to move forward with the risky choice. Mitigation involves implementing action plans and controls that reduce the likelihood of the risk and/or the impact it would have if the risk were realized.
Here are some strategies for managing risk:
- Risk avoidance: includes the elimination of activities which may expose the party to risk.
- Risk reduction: includes mitigating potential losses or the severity of losses.
- Risk transfer: includes transferring risk to a third party.
- Risk retention: includes accepting responsibility for a given risk.
Risk monitoring is an ongoing process that involves tracking and reporting on risks to senior management and the board. It's essential to monitor risks continuously, as new ones may arise, and current ones may change. Using an analytics dashboard or key risk indicators (KRIs) can help drive insights and manage risks more effectively.
Monitoring Strategy Effectiveness
Monitoring strategy effectiveness is crucial to ensure that your risk mitigation efforts are paying off. You should continuously monitor the effectiveness of your strategy in managing financial risks.
To do this, you can utilize an analytics dashboard that presents risks in a consistent manner, allowing for the usage of data to drive insights and manage risks more effectively. This tool can help you process risk data and conduct continuous stress testing.
Risks are monitored through an ongoing risk assessment to determine any changes over time. The risks and any changes are reported to senior management and the board to facilitate decision-making processes.
Key risk indicators (KRIs) can be designed to monitor nearly any potential risk and send a notification. For example, a company could design a KRI around customer satisfaction scores, which could indicate customer service representatives are not being trained or that the training is ineffective.
Risk management is a continuous process, especially since the risk landscape is constantly changing. You need to constantly monitor both the results of your risk control strategy and any new risks that arise, making improvements to your risk management process wherever necessary.
Regular monitoring and review enables continual improvement of the risk management process, similar to the PDSA Cycle. This cycle involves tracking the results of initiatives to ensure that risks are managed effectively and remain within acceptable limits.
To make your risk monitoring effective, be proactive rather than reactive in keeping track of risks. This means continuously monitoring what's going on and thoroughly investigating any incidents that do take place.
Mitigation
In the risk mitigation process, you'll need to develop and choose a path for controlling specific risks. This involves examining possible solutions to mitigate or reduce each risk and choosing the solution that is both effective and affordable.
You can choose from four options for addressing potential risk events: transfer, avoid, accept, and mitigate. Transferring shifts the risk to another organization, either through outsourcing or insuring, but management cannot completely transfer the responsibility for controlling risk.
Avoidance prevents the organization from entering into a risk-rich situation or environment. For example, choosing a vendor with a higher-priced bid if the lower-cost vendor does not have adequate references.
Acceptance is based on the comparison of the risk to the cost of control, and management could accept the risk and move forward with the risky choice. This is often the case when the benefit of a decision outweighs the risk.
Mitigating risks involves implementing action plans and controls that reduce the likelihood of the risk and/or the impact it would have if the risk were realized. For example, implementing a VPN service to reduce the likelihood of data leakage when employees work from home.
A risk mitigation plan involves treating the risks using strategies like risk acceptance, avoidance, control/mitigation, and transfer as efficiently as possible without taking focus away from business operations. This can be ensured by collaborating with other leaders in your business to incorporate the risk treatment processes as naturally as possible into daily operations.
Here are the four risk response strategies you can implement:
- Risk acceptance: Accepting that the risk is unavoidable and taking no action to prevent it.
- Risk avoidance: Choosing not to do a task that comes with serious risks.
- Risk control/mitigation: Reducing the probability that the risk will occur or its impact if it does occur.
- Risk transfer: Transferring the responsibility for any consequences of a risk to a third party, such as an insurance company.
These strategies can help you create an effective risk mitigation plan that ensures the integration of risk treatment processes into daily business operations.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are examples of process risks?
Examples of process risks include mistakes, omissions, and fraudulent activities that occur due to inadequate checks or procedures, such as failing to verify a customer's identity. This can lead to scams, financial losses, and reputational damage.
What is the meaning of process risk?
Process risk refers to the potential loss of revenue due to inefficient or ineffective business processes. It occurs when processes either hinder achieving organizational goals or achieve them at an unacceptably high cost.
What is the process control risk?
Process Control Risk (PRC) refers to the potential for business processes to fail or be compromised, leading to financial, operational, or reputational harm. By evaluating and optimizing business processes, organizations can identify and mitigate these risks to ensure smooth operations.
What is process risk analysis?
Risk analysis is the process of identifying and mitigating potential issues that could impact business initiatives or projects. It helps organizations avoid or minimize risks to achieve their goals.
Sources
- https://research.aimultiple.com/process-risk/
- https://corporatefinanceinstitute.com/resources/career-map/sell-side/risk-management/financial-risk-management-process/
- https://www.auditboard.com/blog/operational-risk-management/
- https://pulpstream.com/resources/blog/risk-management-process
- https://www.techtarget.com/searchcio/feature/Risk-management-process-What-are-the-5-steps
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