
The Fibonacci sequence has been a game-changer for currency traders. By understanding how to apply this sequence to their trades, traders can gain a significant edge in the market.
Fibonacci numbers are based on a simple mathematical formula, but their applications are surprisingly complex and nuanced. The sequence starts with 0 and 1, and each subsequent number is the sum of the previous two.
Using Fibonacci levels can help traders identify potential support and resistance levels in currency markets. For example, the 38.2% level is a popular retracement level, where price often bounces back after a significant move.
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Historical Analysis
Historical analysis is a powerful tool in Fibonacci currency trading. It helps identify key levels that can impact short-term pricing for decades.
Currency pairs tend to oscillate between contained boundaries, making historical levels a valuable resource. The EURUSD pair is a great example, having traded from .90000 in the 1980s to 1.60380 in 2008.

Performing a historical analysis on each pair can be done by zooming out to weekly or monthly charts and placing grids across secular bull and bear markets. This analysis only needs to be done once, unless price action exceeds the highs or lows of the long-term grids.
The EURUSD pair's massive uptrend has been captured by a grid placed over it, and its price action has been contained within that grid for eight years.
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What Is the Golden Ratio?
The golden ratio is a unique number that appears when you divide a number by the previous number in a series, and it's approximately 1.618. This ratio is found in many natural patterns.
In the context of Fibonacci numbers, the golden ratio is a key concept that helps traders predict price movements. Many traders swear by its effectiveness.
The golden ratio is not a fixed number, but rather a recurring pattern that appears in nature. It's not a guarantee that price will move exactly 61.8 pips, but rather a statistical probability.

Fibonacci numbers are used in technical analysis to predict price movements, and the golden ratio is a fundamental part of this tool. If you're not seeing the golden ratio in action, it may be due to your method of using the Fibonacci tool.
The golden ratio is also found in human anatomy, such as the length of a human arm. If the length from hand to elbow is considered 100%, then the length from elbow to hand is approximately 61.8%.
Historical Analysis
Historical analysis is a powerful tool for traders, and it's especially useful for currency pairs like EURUSD.
The EURUSD currency pair has been around since the 1980s, and it's been on a wild ride, trading from near .90000 to 1.60380 in 2008.
Performing a historical analysis on each pair is a good idea, especially since there are only a few popular crosses to keep track of. This can help you identify primary trends and levels that might come into play in the coming years.
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Zooming out to weekly or monthly charts can be really helpful in this process, and placing grids across secular bull and bear markets can capture all the price action in the long term.
The EURUSD pair has had some significant price swings over the years, including a decline from 1.42890 in 1995 to .82300 in 2001, and a subsequent rally to 1.60380 in 2008.
Forex Analysis
Historical analysis is a crucial tool in Forex trading, and it's amazing how it can help you identify key inflection points and make informed trading decisions.
By performing a historical analysis, you can uncover primary trends and levels that might come into play in the coming years. This type of analysis is particularly useful for currency pairs that oscillate between contained boundaries, like the EURUSD.
One of the benefits of historical analysis is that it can be performed once and then referenced for years to come, as long as price action doesn't exceed the highs or lows of the long-term grids. This makes it a valuable resource for traders who want to stay on top of market trends without getting bogged down in daily fluctuations.

The EURUSD currency pair, for example, has a rich history that dates back to the 1980s. By analyzing its price action, you can identify key levels like the .50 retracement, which provided support during tests in 2010 and 2012.
Fibonacci analysis is another powerful tool that can be used in conjunction with historical analysis to identify support and resistance levels. The most popular Fibonacci ratios are 23.6%, 38.2%, and 61.8%, which can be used to pinpoint likely areas of price congestion.
Here are some key Fibonacci retracement levels to keep in mind:
- 23.6%: A good level to buy near, with a stop-loss order just below the 50% retracement level
- 38.2%: A level to consider buying near, with a stop-loss order just below the 61.8% retracement level
- 61.8%: A level to consider selling near, with a stop-loss order just above the 23.6% retracement level
By combining historical analysis with Fibonacci retracement levels, you can gain a deeper understanding of market trends and make more informed trading decisions.
Trade Preparation
To prepare for a trade using Fibonacci levels, start by placing a single grid across the largest trend on the daily chart. Identify key turning points and then add grids at shorter and shorter time intervals, looking for convergence between key harmonic levels.

Grids on longer term trends set up stronger support or resistance than grids on shorter term trends. Daily and weekly trends tend to subdivide naturally into smaller and smaller proportional waves, making Fibonacci levels a great tool for day trading.
To determine the starting and ending points for Fibonacci grids, you can stretch the grid across a major high and low, or use the first lower high after a major high or first higher low after a major low, which is based on the Elliott Wave Theory.
Here are some key Fibonacci retracement levels to keep in mind: 0 percent, 23.8 percent, 38.2 percent, 50 percent, and 61.8 percent.
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Introduction to Levels
Fibonacci levels are a powerful tool in technical analysis, used to identify potential reversals in the market. They are based on the Fibonacci sequence, a series of numbers in which each number is the sum of the two preceding numbers.

The Fibonacci sequence is applied in technical analysis through two main studies: Fibonacci retracement and Fibonacci expansion. Fibonacci retracement levels are used to identify potential reversal points, while Fibonacci expansion levels are used to identify potential breakout points.
To increase the accuracy of your trades, it's essential to confirm Fibonacci retracement signals with additional indicators and techniques. This can include candlestick patterns, moving averages, divergence with oscillators, and volume analysis.
Here are some ways to confirm Fibonacci retracement signals:
- Candlestick patterns: Look for specific patterns like hammers, shooting stars, or engulfing patterns at or near Fibonacci levels.
- Moving averages: Check if the Fibonacci levels align with significant moving averages, like the 50- or 200-period.
- Divergence with oscillators: Spot divergences between the price and momentum indicators.
- Volume analysis: Analyze trading volume at Fibonacci levels to gauge market conviction.
By combining Fibonacci levels with other technical indicators and techniques, you can strengthen your analysis and make more informed trading decisions.
Trade Preparation
Trade Preparation is a crucial step in any trading strategy. It's essential to start by placing a single grid across the largest trend on the daily chart to identify key turning points.
To do this effectively, look for convergence between key harmonic levels as you add grids at shorter and shorter time intervals. This process helps you understand the power of these levels and how they relate to different time frames.
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Grids on longer term trends tend to set up stronger support or resistance than those on shorter term trends. This is because daily and weekly trends often subdivide naturally into smaller and smaller proportional waves.
To access these hidden numbers, stretch grids across trends on 15-minute and 60-minute charts, but add daily levels first. This is because they'll dictate major turning points during the 24-hour trading day.
If you're having trouble figuring out where to place starting and ending points for Fibonacci grids, try stretching the grid across a major high and low. Alternatively, you can use the first lower high after a major high or first higher low after a major low, which is a common approach that tracks the Elliott Wave Theory.
This approach focuses attention on the second primary wave of a trend, which is often the longest and most dynamic. By understanding how to place Fibonacci grids effectively, you can gain a deeper understanding of market trends and make more informed trading decisions.
Here are some key points to keep in mind when placing Fibonacci grids:
- Start with a single grid across the largest trend on the daily chart
- Add grids at shorter and shorter time intervals to look for convergence between key harmonic levels
- Use daily levels first to dictate major turning points during the 24-hour trading day
- Consider using the first lower high after a major high or first higher low after a major low for an alternative approach
Trading Method

To use the Fibonacci trading method, you'll first need to determine whether you're in an uptrend or downtrend. This will help you decide on your trading direction.
Identify the highest and lowest swings in the chart formation to establish the basis for your Fibonacci retracement levels.
To determine your entry and exit points, use a Fibonacci calculator to get your retracement levels. These will be 0 percent, 23.8 percent, 38.2 percent, 50 percent, and 61.8 percent.
To ensure a safe trade, the price must touch the 5 WMA (Weighted Moving Average), and you'll typically want three Fibonacci retracement levels. However, the top level must not fail.
Here are some key Fibonacci retracement levels to keep in mind:
- 0 percent: the starting point of the retracement
- 23.8 percent: a common retracement level
- 38.2 percent: another common retracement level
- 50 percent: the midpoint of the retracement
- 61.8 percent: a key level that often marks the end of a retracement
Set your stop order 4 to 5 pips above your Fibonacci retracement level in a downtrend and 4 to 5 pips below in an uptrend.
How to Draw
To draw Fibonacci retracement levels, you need to determine the highest and lowest points of the trend you want to analyze. These points should represent significant price extremes.

Identify the swing high and swing low points on your chart. The swing high is the highest price reached in the trend, while the swing low is the lowest price reached.
Calculate the vertical distance between the swing high and swing low to determine the placement of the Fibonacci retracement levels. This distance will be used to calculate the standard Fibonacci retracement levels.
Select the Fibonacci Retracement tool from your charting software and click on the swing high and then the swing low. This will create a vertical line connecting the two points.
Drag the Fibonacci tool from the low to high point of a wave to draw the Fibonacci retracement levels. This can be done for both bullish and bearish waves.
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Trading Method Tutorial
To use the Fibonacci trading method, you'll need to follow some basic forex trading rules. First, discover whether you are in an uptrend or downtrend. Then, figure out the highest and lowest swings in the chart formation. Finally, make the trend your friend by trading on it.

Fibonacci retracement tools help you determine your entry and exit points. You'll need to use a Fibonacci calculator to get your retracement levels, which are 0 percent, 23.8 percent, 38.2 percent, 50 percent, and 61.8 percent.
To be safe, the price must touch 5 WMA. Typically, you'll want three Fibonacci retracement levels. However, the top must not fail. For example, if you had retracement levels of .382, .500, and .618, then you would not want the .618 level to fail.
There are several key levels to use with Fibonacci levels, including the .236, .382, .500, .618, and .764 levels. Each of these levels has its own pros and cons, which you'll need to consider when using them.
To determine your entry levels, you'll want to look for a price touch at or near a Fibonacci retracement level. This is often accompanied by a specific candlestick pattern, such as a hammer or shooting star.
Here are some common candlestick patterns to look for at Fibonacci levels:
- Hammer
- Shooting star
- Engulfing patterns
You'll also want to consider the volume analysis at Fibonacci levels. A retracement accompanied by low volume might indicate a lack of conviction in the move, while a bounce or reversal with increased volume can confirm the strength of the signal.

To set entry and exit points with Fib levels, you'll want to use a combination of Fibonacci retracement levels and other technical indicators. This can include moving averages, divergence with oscillators, and volume analysis.
Here's a summary of how to confirm Fib retracement signals:
- Candlestick patterns: Look for specific patterns at or near Fibonacci levels.
- Moving Averages: Check if the Fibonacci levels align with significant moving averages.
- Divergence with Oscillators: Use momentum indicators to spot divergences.
- Volume Analysis: Consider the volume at Fibonacci levels.
By using a combination of these techniques, you can increase the accuracy of your trades and make more informed decisions when using the Fibonacci trading method.
How to Set Entry and Exit Points with Fib
To set entry and exit points with Fib levels, you need to determine whether you're in an uptrend or downtrend. Then, identify the highest and lowest swings in the chart formation. Fibonacci retracement tools help you determine your entry and exit points, and when you use a widget, you're trying to figure out how far will the price retrace and then reverse in the opposite direction.
To get your retracement levels, you'll need to use a Fibonacci calculator, which will tell you levels for 0 percent, 23.8 percent, 38.2 percent, 50 percent, and 61.8 percent. Typically, you'll want three Fibonacci retracement levels, but the top must not fail.

For example, if you had retracement levels of .382, .500, and .618, then you would not want the .618 level to fail. You'll also want to define extension ratios so that you know when to take your profits. Set your stop order 4 to 5 pips above your Fibonacci retracement level in a downtrend and 4 to 5 pips below in an uptrend.
To identify optimal entry points, align with key Fibonacci levels, particularly 38.2%, 50%, and 61.8%. When the price pulls back to these levels after a significant move, it presents a potential opportunity to enter a trade in the direction of the prevailing trend.
Here are the key Fibonacci ratios to keep in mind:
By following these steps and using these key Fibonacci ratios, you can set effective entry and exit points with Fib levels and improve your trading strategy.
AUD/USD
The AUD/USD pair is a great example of how traders can identify potential market moves.
The weekly chart of the AUD/USD pair shows a clear swing high and low pattern.
Upon touching the 38.2% area, the price attempted to close below but was rejected three times, giving us three long wicks.
These rejections were a strong indication that further bullishness was inbound, which could've influenced lower timeframe decision-making.
In this case, traders had a clear opportunity to identify the bullish trend and adjust their trading strategies accordingly.
Retracements
A retracement is a pullback in price after an impulsive move in a swing or wave. It's a natural part of market fluctuations, and Fibonacci retracement levels can help traders identify potential support and resistance areas.
The most popular Fibonacci retracement levels are 38.2%, 50%, and 61.8%, which highlight potential zones where the price might retrace before continuing in the direction of the original trend.
A deeper retracement means a weak upcoming trend, while a light retracement indicates a strong upcoming trend. This can be a useful tool for traders to gauge the strength of an upcoming trend.

Here are the most popular Fibonacci retracement levels and their corresponding price predictions:
- 61.8% retracement: price target at 100% level
- 61.8% retracement: price target at 1.272 extension level
- 50% retracement: price prediction to 1.618 Fibonacci extension level
These levels can be used to set stop-loss orders to limit potential losses and determine gain targets to ensure a favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
Fibonacci retracement levels can also be used to project potential price targets after a trend reversal. By measuring the distance of the previous move and applying Fibonacci extensions, traders can estimate where the price might reach.
Retracements often occur at Fibonacci retracement levels, which can be a strong indication of a potential trading opportunity. Traders can use this information to identify potential support and resistance areas, and make informed decisions about their trades.
Advanced Tools
The Advanced Fibonacci tool is a powerful tool in currency trading. It helps predict the strength of the upcoming trend, with deeper retracement indicating a weak upcoming trend and light retracement indicating a strong one.
Deeper retracement means a weak upcoming trend, while light retracement means a strong upcoming trend. This is a crucial insight for traders to make informed decisions.
Here are some key Fibonacci retracement levels to keep in mind:
These levels can be used to forecast prices in forex trading, even with just the use of the Fibonacci tool.
Top Strategies
The Fibonacci retracement strategy is a powerful tool for traders, and there are several top strategies to consider. The Fibonacci Flush Strategy is designed to identify hidden resistance and support levels in the market.
Swing traders use 60-minute charts to monitor price levels throughout the day. Market timers, on the other hand, combine daily and weekly charts to choose the currency pair prices between which they want to find a retracement level.
The Parabola Pop Strategy is used to track breakout points below and above retracement levels, providing early entry points that can save traders from major breakouts and breakdowns.
Scalpers and market timers use 15-minute charts and monthly charts together to find the proper Fibonacci retracement levels. Intraday traders monitor hourly charts to avoid short-term reversals in the Forex market.
Here are some key strategies to keep in mind:
- Fibonacci Flush Strategy: Identify hidden resistance and support levels using 60-minute charts (swing traders) or daily and weekly charts (market timers)
- Parabola Pop Strategy: Track breakout points below and above retracement levels using 15-minute charts and monthly charts (scalpers and market timers) or hourly charts (intraday traders)
How to Draw Extensions
To draw Fibonacci extension levels, you'll need to draw the Fibonacci retracement tool only on the impulsive waves. This is a crucial distinction from drawing retracement levels.

Note that impulsive waves are where the Fibonacci extension tool should be used, not on retracement waves. This is a key concept to grasp in technical analysis.
To use the Fibonacci extension tool, remember to select the impulsive waves and draw the lines accordingly. This will help you identify potential price targets.
The Fibonacci extension levels are not calculated in the same way as retracement levels, so be sure to use the correct tool and settings. This will ensure accurate and reliable results.
Advanced Tool Usage
Using the Fibonacci tool can help you predict price movements and make informed trading decisions. Advanced Fibonacci tool usage involves understanding how retracement levels relate to the strength of upcoming trends.
A deeper retracement typically indicates a weak upcoming trend, while a light retracement suggests a strong upcoming trend. This is a key concept to grasp when using Fibonacci retracement in Forex.
If price retraces to the 78.6% Fibonacci level, you can expect the price target to be at the 100% level. This is a common pattern to look out for in Forex trading.
Here's a summary of how retracement levels relate to price targets:
Understanding these relationships can help you make more accurate price predictions and make better trading decisions.
Forex Trading
Fibonacci currency trading is a powerful tool for identifying potential support and resistance levels in the forex market. It's based on a series of numbers that have been developed and explored by mathematicians for centuries.
The most popular Fibonacci ratios among traders are 23.6%, 38.2%, and 61.8%, which can be used to identify likely support and resistance levels. These ratios are derived from the Fibonacci number series, which starts with 0 and is continued by summing the previous two numbers in the series.
To use Fibonacci retracement levels, you'll need to determine the highest and lowest swings in the chart formation, and then use a Fibonacci calculator to get your retracement levels. Typically, you'll want three Fibonacci retracement levels, but the top must not fail.
Here are some key Fibonacci retracement levels to keep in mind:
- 23.6%
- 38.2%
- 50%
- 61.8%
By using Fibonacci retracement levels in conjunction with other indicators and techniques, such as candlestick patterns, moving averages, and divergence with oscillators, you can increase the accuracy of your trades and make more informed decisions.
Forex
Forex trading involves using various tools and techniques to analyze market trends and make informed decisions. Fibonacci analysis is a powerful tool for identifying support and resistance levels in the Forex market.
Fibonacci ratios, such as 23.6%, 38.2%, and 61.8%, are derived from the Fibonacci series of numbers and are used to identify potential reversal points in the market. These ratios have been widely used by traders for centuries and are based on the mathematical concept of the golden ratio.
To use Fibonacci retracement levels effectively, you need to confirm these signals with additional indicators and techniques. Candlestick patterns, moving averages, and volume analysis can all be used to strengthen your analysis and increase the accuracy of your trades.
Fibonacci retracement levels can be used in various ways, including buying near the 23.6% or 38.2% retracement level and placing a stop-loss order just below the 50% retracement level. You can also use higher Fibonacci percentages like 161.8% and 261.8% to identify potential future resistance and support levels.
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Here are some key Fibonacci retracement levels to consider:
By understanding and using Fibonacci retracement levels effectively, you can gain a deeper insight into market trends and make more informed trading decisions.
GBP/USD
GBP/USD is a currency pair that's struggled to maintain any bullishness on the daily chart, making lower highs and lower lows.
This is evident in its inability to stay above certain levels, indicating a downtrend.
A key area to look at is the 50% retracement zone, where traders can identify potential entry points before a further breakdown.
For GBP/USD, using the most extreme swing low can help identify this zone, giving traders a chance to get in before the price drops further.
In this case, the 50% area provided a crucial level for traders to watch, as a breakdown below it could signal further losses.
Tips and Precautions
As you develop your Fibonacci currency trading skills, remember that technical analysis alone may not account for all market influences. Don't rely solely on technical analysis, as it doesn't consider factors like political instability and major news events.
It's essential to assume that the Fibonacci sequence will work when the trend is already in your favor. This strategy helps determine entry and exit points, giving you rules to follow.
The Fibonacci expansion has two critical levels: 61.8% and 100% profit-taking levels. These levels are aimed at where you should take a profit, and they're plotted above the price to indicate profit-taking areas.
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Caution
Technical analysis is a powerful tool, but it's not foolproof. It doesn't account for major news events and political instability that can dramatically influence currency trends.
Don't rely solely on technical analysis, as it's based on pure mathematical analysis and assumptions that can be wrong. The trade will turn against you if the assumptions are incorrect.
Trends are not a guarantee of profit, but ignoring them can be just as bad. You should assume the Fibonacci sequence will work when the trend is already in your favor.

Fibonacci expansion has two critical levels: 61.8% and 100% profit taking levels. These levels are aimed at where you should take a profit, not where you should enter a trade.
Expansion levels are plotted above the price, giving an indication of profit taking areas. You can practice your strategies by finding a Forex chart and plotting your way to a profit.
Keep in mind that Fibonacci retracements are not foolproof. Relying solely on them without considering other indicators or market conditions can lead to poor decisions.
Be Aware of Higher Timeframe Trends
Higher timeframe trends provide a clearer picture of the market's direction. This is why it's essential to align your trades with the dominant trend on higher timeframes.
Fibonacci retracements can be used to filter out noise from lower timeframes, but only when you're considering the overall market movement. Always keep the bigger picture in mind when making trades.
Considering higher timeframe trends helps you make more informed decisions and avoid getting caught up in short-term market fluctuations.
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The Bottom Line

As you refine your trading strategy, don't forget to add long-term Fibonacci grids to your favorite currency pairs. This will help you identify price action near popular retracement levels.
Using shorter term grids as part of your daily trade preparation can also be beneficial, allowing you to find the best prices to enter and exit positions based on alignments.
Adding other technical indicators to your charts can be a great way to increase your odds of a profitable trade, especially when you look for convergence with retracement levels.
By doing so, you'll be raising the chances that prices will reverse in profitable counter swings, giving you a better chance at success in the market.
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Frequently Asked Questions
How reliable is Fibonacci in forex?
Fibonacci retracements can forecast about 70% of market movements, but their reliability depends on whether they represent actual resistance levels or just psychological comfort zones. While they can be a useful tool, their accuracy is not guaranteed, making it essential to use them in conjunction with other technical and fundamental analysis.
What are the best Fibonacci levels for forex?
The most popular Fibonacci levels for forex are 23.6%, 38.2%, and 61.8%, which can help identify potential support and resistance levels. Understanding these ratios can enhance your trading strategy and improve your market analysis.
Sources
- https://www.investopedia.com/articles/forex/081515/how-use-fibonacci-trade-forex.asp
- https://www.fxstreet.com/technical-analysis/support-resistance/fibonacci
- https://blueberrymarkets.com/academy/how-to-use-fibonacci-retracement-in-forex-trading/
- https://forexbee.co/how-to-use-fibonacci-in-forex-trading/
- https://fxopen.com/blog/en/how-to-use-fibonacci-retracements/
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