Will Bitcoin Drop Before Halving and How to Prepare

Author

Reads 938

Close-Up Photo of Halved Strawberries
Credit: pexels.com, Close-Up Photo of Halved Strawberries

The halving of Bitcoin's block reward is a significant event that can impact the cryptocurrency's price. Historically, Bitcoin has always dropped before halving.

In the past, Bitcoin has experienced a decline in price before the halving event, with the price dropping by as much as 70% in the 12 months leading up to the halving. This trend is worth paying attention to, especially for investors who are planning to buy or hold Bitcoin.

Before the halving event, it's essential to prepare for potential price fluctuations by adjusting your investment strategy.

Bitcoin price briefly dropped below $60,000 before rebounding ahead of the halving event. This volatility is not surprising, given the upcoming halving.

The halving is scheduled to take place this week, which means the rewards for bitcoin miners will be slashed in half. This event happens every four years and is written in the code of the Bitcoin blockchain.

Credit: youtube.com, What is Bitcoin Halving? Explained by CoinGecko

As we approach the halving, miner balances are near an all-time low due to heavy selling from miners trying to take profits. This is a sign of increased selling pressure on the market.

Net flows through the spot bitcoin exchange-traded funds have been negative since last week, further putting pressure on bitcoin. This is a concerning trend for investors.

In prior bitcoin cycles, the halving has preceded a bull run for the cryptocurrency. However, this time around, the market is experiencing increased volatility and selling pressure.

Bitcoin Halving and Market Impact

Bitcoin's price tends to contract in all of September before halving, with an average return of -17.29% in September before Bitcoin halved.

This trend has been observed in the past, with the coin losing 11.31% in August, slightly lower than the average of the past two pre-halving years. The analyst notes that prices tend to follow a pattern, and if historical performance leads, BTC may edge even lower in the next few weeks.

Credit: youtube.com, What is bitcoin halving and how will it affect BTC’s price?

If the same trend holds, the coin will likely dump to $21,400 by the end of this month, although there's a possibility it could end up falling to around $24,400 by the end of the month if the performance of Bitcoin in September in the last two halvings is factored in, with an average return of -5.66%.

Bitcoin Halving: What's Different

This year's Bitcoin halving is unlike any previous event, with the cryptocurrency's price reaching its peak a month before the halving.

Historically, Bitcoin halving has boosted the price of the cryptocurrency.

The recent volatility is likely a result of short-term traders placing bets on the outcome of the highly anticipated halving event.

Bitcoin is currently in a consolidation phase, according to Sam Callahan, a senior analyst at Swan Bitcoin.

Short-term volatility should be expected, but if you zoom out, Bitcoin's long-term trend remains clear.

September Tough for BTC Bulls?

September is shaping up to be a tough month for Bitcoin bulls.

Credit: youtube.com, Crypto Bulls Are Giving Up, Is Bitcoin In Danger? | Macro Monday

After a 20% drop in August, Bitcoin's performance in September is looking even bleaker.

The average return in September before a halving is a -17.29% drop.

Historical data suggests that prices tend to contract in all of September before a halving.

If this trend continues, Bitcoin could dump to $21,400 by the end of the month.

However, if the performance of Bitcoin in September in the last two halvings is factored in, the average return was a more modest -5.66%.

This implies that Bitcoin could end up falling to around $24,400 by the end of the month.

Market Analysis and Predictions

Bitcoin's recent price action has been quite volatile, with prices hitting new lows at around $25,200 in August.

Despite the sharp dump, there's a slight recovery in the second half of August and the first week of September, which might anchor bulls' hopes.

Trading volumes are relatively low, which could be a concern for a refreshing recovery.

Credit: youtube.com, Bitcoin Price Prediction Analysis Pre & Post Halving

The SEC approving a spot Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF) could potentially drive demand for BTC and channel capital into the market.

Dalmas, a respected voice in the industry, believes that DeFi and NFTs are here to stay and will continue to drive financial inclusion.

He's witnessed firsthand the challenges of accessing traditional banks in Africa, where millions lack access to banking services.

DeFi, on the other hand, cuts out the middleman and offers a more inclusive financial future.

However, DeFi isn't a magic solution, and the continent still struggles with reliable internet access and educational campaigns.

Dalmas is working to make DeFi more accessible and understandable, even for beginners.

The story of DeFi in Africa is still being written, and challenges abound, but the promise of a more inclusive financial future is a powerful motivator.

Dalmas believes that DeFi could become the key to unlocking Africa's full economic potential.

His engineering background enhances his ability to deliver well-thought-out pieces that blend technical insight with clear, impactful reporting.

Frequently Asked Questions

Should I buy Bitcoin before or after the halving?

Buy Bitcoin before the halving to potentially capitalize on its post-halving price surge, as history suggests prices increase after the event

Forrest Schumm

Copy Editor

Forrest Schumm is a seasoned copy editor with a deep understanding of the financial sector, particularly in India. His expertise spans a variety of topics, including trade associations, banking institutions, and historical establishments. Forrest's work has shed light on the intricate landscape of Indian banking, from the Indian Banks' Association to the significant 1946 establishments that have shaped the industry.

Love What You Read? Stay Updated!

Join our community for insights, tips, and more.