
Bitcoin mining is a crucial part of the Bitcoin network, but it's not a permanent fixture. The total number of Bitcoins to be mined is capped at 21 million, which is expected to be reached around the year 2140.
As the number of Bitcoins in circulation approaches this limit, the mining process will become less profitable. This is because the block reward, which is the incentive for miners to validate transactions, is reduced by half every 210,000 blocks, or approximately every four years.
The mining process is also becoming more energy-intensive, which is a major concern for the environmental impact of Bitcoin. In fact, the energy consumption of Bitcoin mining is estimated to be around 73 terawatt-hours per year, which is comparable to the energy consumption of a small country.
The future of Bitcoin mining is uncertain, but it's likely that the process will continue to evolve and adapt to changing circumstances.
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Bitcoin Mining Timeline

The end of block rewards in 2140 marks a significant change for the Bitcoin network. This event will likely shape the future of Bitcoin mining.
The block reward, which is currently 6.25 BTC, will eventually decrease to zero. This decrease is a result of the algorithm that reduces the reward by 50% every 210,000 blocks, or approximately four years.
As of September 2024, over 19.8 million Bitcoins have been mined, which means over 94% of all Bitcoins have been created. The remaining 6% will be mined through transaction fees.
The number of Bitcoins in existence will not exceed slightly less than 21 million. This finite supply was chosen to approximate the rate at which commodities like gold are mined.
The Bitcoin community has proven resilient and adaptable over the years, and any changes to the protocol would require broad consensus among participants. This ensures that no single entity can drastically alter the network's trajectory.
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After All Coins Are Mined

After all coins are mined, miners will earn revenue solely from transaction fees instead of block rewards. This will ensure the network continues to operate.
The halving process, which reduces mining rewards approximately every four years, will continue until around the year 2140. At that point, the reward will become so small that effectively no new bitcoins will be mined.
The total supply of Bitcoin will never reach 21 million, but will instead continue to approach the limit before completely halting at a block height of 6,930,000 around the year 2140. This is because the smallest block reward possible is the smallest unit of Bitcoin, which is 1 Satoshi (or 0.00000001 BTC).
Miners could profit by charging high fees to process transactions if Bitcoin in 2140 acts more as a store of value than a medium of exchange. This is a very likely scenario, especially if the network continues to operate.
The end of BTC mining will be a pivotal moment for the crypto landscape, even if it raises questions about the loss of profitability for miners.
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Deflationary Nature and Supply

Bitcoin has a fixed supply of 21 million coins, which is a defining characteristic of this digital currency. This scarcity is what drives its value proposition, making it an attractive store of value for investors.
The supply of Bitcoin will never actually reach 21 million, as the block reward will continue to decrease until it's rounded to zero. This will happen around the year 2140.
The rate of block creation is adjusted every 2016 blocks to aim for a constant two week adjustment period. This ensures that the number of Bitcoins in existence will not exceed slightly less than 21 million.
Each Bitcoin can be divided into 100 million units called satoshis, making it a highly divisible currency. This means that even if Bitcoin's price were to rise significantly, people could still transact in small fractions of a Bitcoin.
In the short term, Bitcoin can be considered inflationary due to the consistent increase in the circulating supply of BTC as more coins are mined. However, in the long run, Bitcoin is deflationary because it's capped at 21 million BTC.
The block reward halves every 210,000 blocks or approximately every four years, a process known as "halving." This will continue until the block reward is exhausted, which is expected to happen around the year 2140.
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Mining and Halving

Bitcoin mining will eventually come to an end, and it's not just a matter of time before the last Bitcoin is mined.
The halving mechanism, a key feature of the Bitcoin protocol, reduces the reward miners receive for mining a block by half every 210,000 blocks, or roughly four years. This means that the amount of new Bitcoin entering circulation is controlled.
The first halving occurred in 2012, when the reward was reduced from 50 BTC to 25 BTC. Since then, there have been two more halvings, in 2016 and 2020, when the reward was reduced to 12.5 BTC and 6.25 BTC, respectively.
The next halving is due to take place in 2024, when the reward will halve again to 3.125 BTC. After that, the next halving is due in 2028, followed by another in 2032.
The halving mechanism will continue to reduce the reward until the last Bitcoin is mined in 2140.
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Future of Mining and Miners

The future of mining and miners is looking bright, despite the end of block rewards in 2140. Miners will continue to play a crucial role in the Bitcoin network.
Miners may increasingly rely on transaction fees, which could become a significant source of income. This is because the Bitcoin community has proven resilient and adaptable over the years.
Layer-2 solutions like the Lightning Network could alleviate congestion on the main blockchain, making it easier and more efficient for miners to operate. This could help keep the network secure and energy-efficient.
Miners will still be incentivized to keep the network running even after the last Satoshi is mined, because they will earn user transaction fees. This could provide a steady stream of income for miners.
Miners have other options too, such as mining other Proof of Work cryptocurrencies like Dogecoin, Bitcoin Cash, Litecoin, Ethereum Classic, and more.
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Transaction Fees and Rewards
Transaction fees will become the sole incentive for miners once the block reward drops to zero. This shift could lead to higher costs for users, as increased demand for processing space might result in slower transaction times and higher fees.

Miners currently earn fees from the transactions they process, in addition to the block reward. As the block reward decreases, transaction fees will become a more significant portion of miners' revenue.
The total value of all transaction fees paid to miners is expected to exceed the final block reward between 2032 and 2048. This will mark a significant change in the dynamics of the network, as miners will rely entirely on transaction fees for revenue.
Currently, transaction fee rewards are only a small fraction of the total BTC mining rewards. However, as the block reward approaches zero, this will change, and transaction fees will represent 100% of miners' revenue.
The transaction fees will ensure the ongoing viability and security of the platform, even if miners lose their block rewards. This is because the growing adoption and increasing transaction volume of Bitcoin will naturally create a robust fee market.
Projected Long Term
As the Bitcoin network continues to grow, its mining reward will eventually be cut in half, marking the beginning of the end of Bitcoin mining as we know it. This is expected to happen around the year 2140.

The estimated time it takes to reach this milestone is around 120 years, based on the current block time and reward schedule. The number of Bitcoins in circulation will reach 21 million, at which point the mining reward will be zero.
Mining will eventually become less profitable, and some miners may choose to stop operating, leading to a decline in the network's overall security and decentralization. The Bitcoin protocol is designed to make mining more difficult over time, which will ultimately lead to its demise.
The block reward reduction will have a significant impact on the mining industry, with some miners potentially going out of business. The estimated number of miners who will be affected is around 1-2 million.
Frequently Asked Questions
How long will a Bitcoin miner last?
A Bitcoin miner's lifespan typically ranges from 5 years to a decade, depending on usage and maintenance. However, technological advancements may render your miner obsolete, affecting its profitability.
Can I still mine bitcoin in 2024?
Yes, Bitcoin mining can still be profitable in 2024, but it depends on several factors including electricity costs and hardware efficiency
What will happen to Bitcoin in 2024?
In 2024, the Bitcoin mining reward is expected to decrease from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC per block, further increasing Bitcoin's scarcity. This significant change may have a profound impact on the cryptocurrency's supply and demand.
Sources
- https://www.rockitcoin.com/when-will-the-last-bitcoin-be-mined/
- https://www.withtap.com/blog/how-long-will-it-take-to-mine-all-the-bitcoins
- https://www.moonpay.com/learn/bitcoin/what-happens-when-21-million-bitcoins-are-mined
- https://smmirror.com/2024/11/saying-goodbye-to-bitcoin-mining-what-will-happen-after-bitcoin-reaches-its-supply-limit/
- https://en.bitcoin.it/wiki/Controlled_supply
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