
According to a study, a staggering 70-80% of day traders lose money in the market. This is a sobering statistic that highlights the challenges of day trading.
Day traders often underestimate the risks involved, with 90% of them holding a positive view of their chances of success. This optimism can lead to reckless decisions.
The truth is, day trading is a high-risk, high-reward activity that requires a deep understanding of the markets and a solid strategy. Without proper training and experience, even the best intentions can go awry.
A significant portion of day traders, around 60%, fail to develop a trading plan, which is a critical component of success in day trading.
Trader Success Rate
The harsh reality is that most day traders lose money. In fact, studies suggest that only 1-3% of day traders are able to consistently outperform the stock market. This means that a whopping 97-99% of day traders would be better off investing in a diversified index fund.
The numbers are staggering, and it's essential to understand why most traders fail. One study of Brazilian futures traders found that 97% of day traders lost money over a 300-day period. Another study of day traders in Taiwan between 1995 and 2006 found that only 5% of day traders were profitable.
The issue is not just about the numbers; it's also about the psychology of trading. Many new traders assume they'll be in the 5% who succeed, but this is often due to availability bias. They see loads of people flaunting their profits online and assume that's representative of all traders. However, the reality is that there are likely thousands of members in those groups, and only a few are constantly parading profits.
Here's a breakdown of the studies mentioned earlier:
- 97% of Brazilian futures traders lost money over 300 days.
- Only 5% of day traders in Taiwan between 1995 and 2006 were profitable.
- 70% of forex traders lose money every quarter on average, and traders typically lose 100% of their money within 12 months.
- Nearly 80% of eToro day traders had lost money over a 12-month period, with a median loss of 36%.
It's essential to understand that day trading is not for the faint of heart. It requires skills that need to be developed over time, and even then, it's an uphill battle. As one expert noted, "Most successful traders with longevity discover a style that consistently works for them, and the majority of the time that style doesn’t involve taking concentrated positions intraday."
Trading Risks Loss
Day trading isn't for the faint of heart. Almost all day traders lose money, particularly after accounting for fees and taxes. Very few individuals are able to consistently profit over time, and those that do are extremely experienced and sophisticated—not beginners.
In fact, studies suggest that only 1-3% of day traders are able to consistently outperform the stock market. This bears repeating: more than 97% of day traders would be better off investing in the broader stock market (e.g., S&P500).
A study of Brazilian futures traders found 97% of day traders lost money over a period of 300 days. Another study of day traders in Taiwan between 1995 and 2006 found only 5% of day traders to be profitable.
Day trading is getting even less profitable as trading is increasingly driven by high-frequency, automated algorithms. Very few people day trade—you aren't missing out on anything.
Here are some staggering statistics on day trading losses:
- 97% of day traders lost money over 300 days (Brazilian futures traders)
- 5% of day traders were profitable (Taiwanese day traders, 1995-2006)
- 70% of forex traders lose money every quarter on average (U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission)
- 80% of eToro day traders lost money over 12 months (eToro study)
These numbers are a stark reminder that day trading is a high-risk, high-reward activity that's not for the average investor. Make sure you go into this with your eyes wide open with the understanding that day-trading is hard and it generally comes with a higher tax bill than a long-term buy and hold strategy.
The Studies
Studies show that a staggering 75% of day traders lose money within their first year of trading.
A study by the Securities and Exchange Commission found that in 2019, 71% of retail traders who used online trading platforms lost money.
The majority of these traders are inexperienced and lack a solid understanding of technical analysis and risk management.
According to a study by the National Futures Association, 64% of day traders who traded on a regular basis reported losses.
The most common mistake made by inexperienced traders is over-leveraging their accounts, which can lead to significant losses.
A survey by the online trading platform, TD Ameritrade, found that 61% of traders who closed their trading accounts did so due to significant losses.
Becoming a Successful Trader
To become a successful trader, you need to put in a lot of efficient work, which means having defined steps and protocols for improvement and measuring that improvement. This hard work must be done yourself, and it's not something that can be bought.
Typically, it takes at least 6 months of consistent practice, five days a week, to hone a specific trading method. Distractions and trying out different things will only extend that time frame. Part-time trading or long breaks between trading sessions will also extend the time it takes to get good.
A trading plan is crucial for success, outlining how you will handle everything related to your trading and yourself. This includes how to handle losing streaks, big wins, position-sizing, taxes, and more. The more you consider and really think about it, the less there is to distract you from trading and the better you will likely trade.
Developing confidence in your method and in yourself is also essential. This confidence must be earned by going through the process of creating a trading plan, practicing consistently, and improving problem areas. Without a trading plan, loads of practice, and improving problem areas, confidence is misplaced.
Becoming a Successful Trader
To become a successful trader, you need to put in a lot of efficient work. This means having defined steps and protocols for improvement and measuring that improvement.
The hard work of trading can't be bought; it's something you need to put in yourself. You can buy courses and read books, but it's up to you to make yourself consistently profitable.
Typically, practicing and honing a specific method for at least 6 months or more, five days a week, is necessary to become good at trading. Distraction and trying out different things will only extend that time frame.
Finding problem areas and working through them in terms of strategy or psychology is crucial for improvement.
A Trading Plan is essential for success; it's not just a couple of strategies you read about online or in a book. It's a business plan that outlines how you will handle everything related to your trading and yourself.
Developing confidence in the method being used, and in yourself, to execute it day in and day out when real money is on the line, is key. This confidence must be earned by going through the necessary steps, including creating a Trading Plan, practicing, and improving problem areas.
Trading for 0.5 to 2 hours and making a living is the end result of this hard work, but it's not easy. Many people see others working 1-2 hours a day and think it's easy, but they're skipping all the steps that successful traders took to achieve that lifestyle.
Here are some common mistakes to avoid:
- Trading without a solid Trading Plan
- Not practicing consistently
- Not working through problem areas
- Expecting to make a fortune in no time
Is Trading Profitable?
Trading can be a tough nut to crack, and the numbers don't lie. Only 1%-3% of day traders are able to consistently outperform the stock market. This means that more than 97% of day traders would be better off investing in the broader stock market.
The data is clear that day trading is not profitable, and it's incredibly unlikely that a day trader will outperform a diversified index fund. In fact, it's unlikely that a day trader will have positive returns at all.
Day trading is often glamorized, but the reality is that most traders lose money, particularly after accounting for fees and taxes. And it's not just about being smart - it's about being disciplined and methodical in your approach.
Here are some key facts to keep in mind:
- Only 1%-3% of day traders consistently outperform the stock market.
- More than 97% of day traders would be better off investing in the broader stock market.
- Day trading is getting even less profitable as trading is increasingly driven by high-frequency, automated algorithms.
- Very few people day trade - you aren't missing out on anything.
The more you day trade, the more money you lose. Most traders would benefit from a more long-term investment strategy. It's time to separate the hype from the reality and approach trading with a clear understanding of the odds.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the 1% rule in day trading?
The 1% rule in day trading limits risk to 1% of your total account value per trade, helping to preserve capital and prevent significant losses. By following this rule, traders can minimize potential damage from a single losing trade.
Sources
- https://tradethatswing.com/the-day-trading-success-rate-the-real-answer-and-statistics/
- https://www.currentmarketvaluation.com/posts/the-data-on-day-trading.php
- https://tradeciety.com/24-statistics-why-most-traders-lose-money
- https://www.cnbc.com/2020/11/20/attention-robinhood-power-users-most-day-traders-lose-money.html
- https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/if-you-re-day-trading-you-will-probably-lose-money-here-s-why-1030667770
Featured Images: pexels.com