Vanguard Bond Funds Performance and Risk Considerations

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Vanguard's Total Bond Market Index Fund has consistently outperformed its benchmark, the Bloomberg Barclays US Aggregate Float Adjusted Index, over the past decade.

This fund's long-term success can be attributed to its low expense ratio of 0.05%, which allows it to pass savings on to investors.

Investors who held onto the fund during the 2008 financial crisis were rewarded with a relatively stable return of -4.04%, which is significantly lower than the index's return of -5.08%.

The fund's diversified portfolio of over 7,000 individual bonds helps to minimize risk by spreading investments across various sectors and credit grades.

Risks and Considerations

Understanding the risks associated with bond funds is crucial before investing. There are many types of risks, including interest rate, credit, market, liquidity, foreign investment, foreign exchange, leverage, and management risk.

Interest rate risk is the main exception for most domestic investment-grade bond funds, which are sufficiently diversified against these kinds of risks. However, this may not be the case for all bond funds.

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Lower-credit-quality bonds bring higher yields, but also higher volatility, which can affect a bond fund's overall performance. The weighted average credit rating of a bond fund will influence its volatility.

Bonds rated as investment-grade can sometimes trade like junk bonds due to rating agency conflicts, which can lead to additional volatility.

Warning

Index funds, particularly those offered by Vanguard, may not be the answer to all your investment needs. They tend to have a high sensitivity to moves in prevailing yields.

Keep in mind that bond index funds represent a fairly narrow swath of the total global bond market.

Always talk to a financial and/or tax advisor before you invest, as the information on this site is provided for discussion purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice.

Fund Risks

Understanding the risks associated with a bond fund is crucial to making informed investment decisions.

Most domestic investment-grade bond funds are sufficiently diversified against various risks, with interest rate risk being the main exception.

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Bond funds can be exposed to interest rate risk, which can cause volatility in the fund's value.

Foreign currency exposure is another cause of volatility in a bond fund, particularly when investing in bonds not denominated in the fund's domestic currency.

Foreign currency exposure can dwarf the fixed-income return of a bond, making it a significant risk for bond funds.

The PTTRX fund, for example, allows up to 30% foreign currency exposure in its portfolio, which it hedges to reduce the risk.

The Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate Bond Index is a benchmark for bond funds, and most bond funds, including the PTTRX, are benchmarked against it.

For more insights, see: Currency Trading Hedge Funds

Interest Rate Risks

Interest Rate Risks are a significant concern for bond investors. Bond fund returns are highly dependent on the changes in general interest rates. When interest rates increase, the value of bonds decreases, which in turn affects bond fund returns.

Interest rate risk can be measured using duration, which is a measure of a bond fund's sensitivity to interest rate changes. A higher duration means a bond fund is more sensitive to interest rate changes. For example, a duration of 4.0 means a 1% interest rate rise causes about a 4% drop in the fund.

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Duration is a precise measurement of interest sensitivity, but it can be complex to understand. Weighted average maturity (WAM) is an easier metric to comprehend, but it only gives you an approximation of interest sensitivity. The longer the WAM, the more sensitive the portfolio will be to interest rates.

The Vanguard Long-Term Bond Index Fund has an average duration of 15.7 years, which means it's significantly sensitive to interest rate changes. This fund takes more interest rate risk for higher returns by investing in bonds with at least 10 years to maturity.

Here are some key points to consider when evaluating interest rate risk:

  • Duration: A measure of a bond fund's sensitivity to interest rate changes.
  • Higher duration means higher sensitivity to interest rate changes.
  • Weighted average maturity (WAM) is an easier metric to comprehend, but only gives an approximation of interest sensitivity.
  • The longer the WAM, the more sensitive the portfolio will be to interest rates.

It's essential to understand interest rate risk before investing in a bond fund. This will help you make informed decisions and manage your expectations.

Credit Risks

Credit risks are a crucial consideration when it comes to investing in bonds. Most bond funds, like those benchmarked against the Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate Bond Index, will have the highest credit rating of AAA due to the large amount of U.S. Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities in the index.

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However, bonds with lower credit ratings, also known as junk bonds, can bring higher yields but also higher volatility. The Vanguard High-Yield Corporate Fund, for example, invests at least 80% of its assets in corporate bonds with a junk bond rating or lower, which can result in very volatile performance in times of market stress and economic weakness.

Bonds rated as investment-grade can sometimes trade like junk bonds due to rating agencies' agency conflicts, which can lead to slow downgrades. This means that even investment-grade bonds can exhibit high volatility.

The Vanguard High-Yield Corporate Fund, on the other hand, is relatively less speculative compared to other junk bond funds, investing more in higher-quality junk issuers. However, it still carries a significantly higher risk of capital loss, which should be weighed against its attractive yield of about 5%.

Costs

Costs can be a major factor in a bond fund's performance.

The expense ratio percentage is a significant consideration, as it takes a chunk out of your returns. The VBTLX, for example, has an expense ratio of only 0.05%, which is a relatively low amount.

Front- and back-end loads can be devastating to returns, so it's essential to look out for these fees.

Bond funds tend to have higher turnover than stock funds, but passively managed bond funds often have lower turnover rates. This can provide better value for investors.

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Investment Options

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Vanguard offers a wide range of bond funds that cater to different investment goals and risk tolerance. Some of the best Vanguard bond funds include the California Intermediate-Term Tax-Exempt (VCAIX) and the Massachusetts Tax-Exempt (VMATX), both of which have received 5-star ratings.

The Vanguard bond funds also offer a variety of options for investors with different time horizons, such as the Short-Term Bond Index Admiral Shares (VBIRX) and the Intermediate-Term Bond Index Admiral Shares (VBILX), which have 3-star and 5-star ratings respectively.

For investors looking for high-yield bond funds, the Vanguard High-Yield Corporate Fund (VWEHX) is a good option, with an expense ratio of 0.23% and a SEC Yield of 5%.

A different take: What Is a Tax Managed Fund

Mutual Funds

Mutual Funds can be a great way to diversify your investment portfolio, and Vanguard offers a wide range of options. One of the benefits of Vanguard's mutual funds is their low expense ratios, with some funds as low as 0.10%.

For more insights, see: Spy Low Cost Index Funds

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Some of the best Vanguard mutual funds include the California Intermediate-Term Tax-Exempt (VCAIX) and the Ohio Long-Term Tax-Exempt (VOHIX), both of which have 4-star ratings. The Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund (VBMFX) is another top performer, with an expense ratio of just 0.16%.

If you're looking for a bond fund that's light on interest rate risk, the Vanguard Short-Term Corporate Bond Index Fund (VSCSX) might be a good choice. This fund focuses on highly rated corporate bonds with low duration, making it a good low-risk pick to offset the higher risks of a stock portfolio.

Here are some of the top Vanguard mutual funds, sorted by rating:

  • Ohio Long-Term Tax-Exempt (VOHIX) - 5-star
  • Massachusetts Tax-Exempt (VMATX) - 5-star
  • California Intermediate-Term Tax-Exempt (VCAIX) - 4-star
  • New Jersey Long-Term Tax-Exempt (VNJTX) - 4-star
  • New York Long-Term Tax-Exempt (VNYTX) - 4-star
  • Pennsylvania Long-Term Tax-Exempt (VPAIX) - 4-star

The Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund (VBMFX) is a very "safe" bond fund, as it does not venture into lower-rated junk bonds. This fund seeks to track the Barclays U.S. Aggregate Float Adjusted Index, which tracks a wide assortment of government and corporate bonds, as well as mortgage-backed securities.

High-Yield Corporate Fund

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The Vanguard High-Yield Corporate Fund is the only actively managed fund on this list, managed by Wellington Management Company.

It holds 469 bonds and has a mandate to invest at least 80% of its assets in corporate bonds with a junk bond rating or lower.

The fund takes significant credit risk to earn higher returns, which can result in very volatile performance in times of market stress and economic weakness.

It lost 21.3% of its value in 2008, and returned 39.1% in 2009, demonstrating its high-risk nature.

The fund invests more in higher-quality junk issuers than the SPDR Barclays High Yield Bond ETF.

It holds far more BB bonds, which are just one step removed from an investment-grade rating of BBB, than the SPDR ETF.

The fund's yield of about 5% is attractive to yield-starved investors, but it comes with a significantly higher risk of capital loss.

Its low expense ratio and active management make it one of the best choices in the world of junk bonds for yield enhancement.

Specific Fund Performance

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The Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund offers broad, diversified exposure across more than 8,300 different bonds in the portfolio.

It tracks the Barclays U.S. Aggregate Float Adjusted Index, which includes government and corporate bonds, as well as mortgage-backed securities with at least one year to maturity.

This fund is very "safe" as it avoids lower-rated junk bonds, which offer higher yields at a higher risk of capital loss.

About 64% of its assets were invested in government bonds and government mortgage-backed securities at the time of writing.

The fund's holdings have an average duration of just six years, making it fairly protected from interest rate risk.

A 1% increase in interest rates would result in a 6% decline in the fund's value, and a 1% decline in interest rates would lead to a 6% gain in the fund's value.

The Vanguard Long-Term Bond Index Fund takes more interest rate risk for higher returns by investing in bonds with at least 10 years to maturity.

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This fund has an SEC yield of about 3.2%, nearly 80% more than the Total Bond Market Index Fund.

The Total Bond Market Index Fund has a current yield of about 1.8%, which is reflective of its lower-risk investment portfolio.

The Vanguard Long-Term Bond Index Fund has an expense ratio of just 0.16%, making it inexpensive to buy and hold.

Frequently Asked Questions

Which Vanguard bond funds to buy now?

For a well-rounded bond portfolio, consider investing in the Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund (VBTLX) and the Vanguard Total International Bond Index Fund (VTABX) for broad market exposure. These funds offer a low-cost, diversified approach to investing in bonds.

Why is Vanguard Total Bond market down?

Vanguard Total Bond Market may be down due to rising interest rates, which can cause bond prices to decrease. This decrease in bond prices can lower the fund's net asset value (NAV)

Angelo Douglas

Lead Writer

Angelo Douglas is a seasoned writer with a passion for creating informative and engaging content. With a keen eye for detail and a knack for simplifying complex topics, Angelo has established himself as a trusted voice in the world of finance. Angelo's writing portfolio spans a range of topics, including mutual funds and mutual fund costs and fees.

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