
Value stocks are an attractive investment option for those looking to grow their wealth over time. They're often undervalued by the market, making them a great opportunity for savvy investors.
Investing in value stocks requires patience and a long-term perspective. This is because value stocks often take time to recover from their undervalued status.
The key to successful value stock investing is to identify companies with strong fundamentals but low stock prices. This is often achieved by looking at a company's financial health, management team, and industry trends.
A good example of a value stock is a company with a strong balance sheet, a talented management team, and a growing market share.
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What Are Value Stocks?
Value stocks are stocks that trade below what they're worth. Worth is usually measured by popular valuation yardsticks, such as price/earnings or price/book ratios.
Value stocks often come from more established industries with less robust growth prospects.
Companies that pay out at least some of their earnings as dividends are usually found in the value stock category.
Companies that may have solid long-term growth prospects but whose stocks have fallen out of favor for some short-term reason can also become value stocks.
Investing in Value Stocks
Investing in value stocks is all about finding hidden gems that are overlooked by the market. You don't need a company to be a booming growth stock to make its investors money, just overlooked and undervalued.
To find the best value investments, you can look at metrics like the debt-to-asset ratio, which should be 1 or less, indicating a low debt load and responsible management. The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is also important, with an average of 27 for the S&P 500, but varying by industry.
Value investors like Warren Buffett and Benjamin Graham monitor these metrics closely, and you can use tools like the Morningstar Investor screener to compare value stocks to each other.
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What Is Investing?
Investing is about finding undervalued companies that offer a predictable stream of earnings and consistent dividends.
Value investing is a strategy that focuses on finding hidden gems rather than chasing popular companies.
It's not about buying a stock that has zero growth, but rather about investing in a company that is likely to be underpriced and overlooked.
The appeal of value investing isn't about popularity or future growth projections, but rather the current underlying value of that business.
Value stocks often deliver a predictable stream of earnings and pay consistent dividends, making them a reliable choice for investors.
By looking beyond flashy companies, value investors can find bargains and opportunities that others may miss.
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Finding Cheap Stocks
Value investing is all about finding hidden gems that are undervalued by the market. These stocks can be found by looking at companies with a low debt-to-asset ratio, typically 1 or less, which indicates responsible management and a stable financial position.
To find these cheap stocks, you can use tools like the Morningstar Investor screener, which allows you to compare value stocks based on various financial data points, such as price/earnings ratios and return on assets.
Investors can also screen by Stock Style, choosing large value, mid-value, small value, or a combination thereof, to narrow down their search. Once you have your results, you can click on the data point that matters most to you to rank the list on that particular metric.
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A good example of a value stock is GE Aerospace, which was undervalued by Wall Street after a few bad years but has since nearly doubled in 2023 and is up about 75% in 2024.
Other metrics that value investors closely monitor include the price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, which can help normalize profits and compare them against the company's current stock price, and the dividend yield, which presents the total dividend payments as a percentage of the initial buy-in.
Some notable value investors, such as Warren Buffett and Benjamin Graham, have used these metrics to find undervalued companies with strong financials and potential for growth.
Here are some key metrics to look for in a value stock:
- Debt-to-asset ratio: 1 or less
- Price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio: lower than the industry average
- Dividend yield: higher than the industry average
By focusing on these metrics and using tools like the Morningstar Investor screener, you can find cheap stocks that have the potential to deliver strong returns in the long term.
Value Stock Metrics
Value stocks are often evaluated based on various metrics, which can help you identify potential investment opportunities. These metrics include the debt to current asset ratio, which should be less than 1.10, as advised by Benjamin Graham.
The current ratio is another important metric, with a ratio of over 1.50 indicating a company with a low debt load. Companies with positive earnings per share growth over the past five years are also a good sign, as they indicate a company's ability to generate revenue and pay off debt.
When evaluating value stocks, it's essential to consider the price to earnings per share (P/E) ratio, which should be 9.0 or less. You can also look at the price to book value (P/BV) ratio, which should be less than 1.20. This will help you identify companies selling at bargain prices and with a low risk of debt.
Here are some key metrics to consider when evaluating value stocks:
Quality Rating
A quality rating is key when evaluating value stocks. Benjamin Graham recommended using the Standard & Poor's rating system.
You don't need to find the best quality companies, average or better is fine. The S&P rating system ranges from D to A+.
Stick to stocks with ratings of B+ or better to be on the safe side. This will help you avoid lower-quality companies that may not be worth your investment.
Current Ratio
The Current Ratio is a vital metric in value investing, and it's surprisingly simple to calculate. It's the ratio of current assets to current liabilities.
Benjamin Graham, a legendary value investor, recommended investing in companies with Current Ratios over 1.50. This means the company has more than 1.50 times as many current assets as current liabilities.
A Current Ratio of 1.50 or higher indicates a company has a solid foundation to pay its short-term debts. This is a common ratio provided by many investment services.
Investors should look for companies with Current Ratios of 1.50 or higher, as it suggests a lower risk of default on short-term debts. A Current Ratio below 1.50 may indicate a company is struggling to meet its short-term obligations.
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EPS Growth
Earnings Per Share (EPS) growth is a key metric to consider when evaluating potential value stocks. A company with positive EPS growth over the past five years is a strong indicator of its financial health.
Companies with no earnings deficits during this period are generally considered lower-risk investments. According to the article, avoiding companies with earnings deficits will help you steer clear of high-risk companies.
To gauge a company's EPS growth, look for a higher earnings figure in the most recent year compared to five years ago. This indicates a positive trend in earnings.
The Russell 1000 Value index shows a stronger year-over-year EPS growth compared to the Russell 1000 Growth index. This suggests that value stocks may be a more attractive option for investors.
The team's analysis also highlights the importance of macro factors, such as rising oil prices, which can impact EPS growth. Energy stocks, in particular, may benefit from higher oil prices, making them a potentially attractive option.
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P/E Ratio
The P/E ratio is a crucial metric in value stock investing. It measures a company's current stock price relative to its earnings per share.
A P/E ratio of 9.0 or less is generally considered a good indicator of value stocks, as it suggests the company is selling at a bargain price. This is because high-growth companies tend to have higher P/E ratios, so finding companies with low P/Es can help eliminate high-growth companies from your investment consideration.
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Investors can use the Morningstar Investor screener to compare value stocks and find those with low P/Es. By screening by Stock Style and selecting large value, mid-value, small value, or a combination thereof, you can narrow down your search and focus on value stocks.
Here's a rough guide to P/E ratios and their implications:
Keep in mind that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results, and actual results may vary.
Value Stock Examples
Value stocks can be found in various industries, including aerospace and defense, healthcare, and technology. A great example of a value stock is Huntington Ingalls, a military shipbuilder that trades at a 41% discount to its fair value estimate of $326 per share.
Huntington Ingalls' business model is unique, as it builds ships for the US Navy that remain in service for decades, providing a steady stream of cash to shareholders. This makes it a defensive play even among defense contractors.
Another example of a value stock is Microchip Technology, a semiconductor manufacturer that trades 19% below its fair value estimate of $81. Microchip's microcontrollers and analog chips are used in a wide range of electronic devices, making it a leading supplier in the industry.
Microchip Technology is known for its ability to generate free cash flow under virtually any economic scenario, making it a reliable choice for investors.
Examples of Stocks
GE Aerospace, a former Dow Jones stock, nearly doubled in 2023 and is up about 75% in 2024, showing that investors see value in the company despite its recent struggles.
Microchip Technology, a leading semiconductor manufacturer, trades 19% below Morningstar's fair value estimate of $81. The firm is well-run and generates free cash flow under any economic scenario.
Huntington Ingalls, the largest independent military shipbuilder in the US, trades at a 41% discount to Morningstar's fair value estimate of $326 per share. Its long lead times on ship projects make it less sensitive to changes in the defense budget.
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Campbell Soup stock is trading 27% below Morningstar's fair value estimate of $62. The company earns a wide economic moat rating thanks to its cost advantages and brands.
GSK, a pharmaceutical company, trades 40% below Morningstar's fair value estimate of $58 per share. Its innovative new product lineup and patent-protected drugs create a wide economic moat.
The following table shows some key statistics for these value stocks:
Zimmer Biomet, a medical device company, trades 26% below Morningstar's fair value estimate of $150 per share. Its strong relationships with orthopedic surgeons and high switching costs contribute to its loyalty and growth.
Northrop Grumman, a defense contractor, trades at a 16% discount to Morningstar's fair value estimate of $580. Its focus on producing hardware for classified programs and exposure to military development programs make it a promising value stock.
Polaris
Polaris is a great example of a value stock that's flying under the radar. It trades 39% below its fair value estimate of $110 per share, making it an attractive investment opportunity.
Polaris is a well-established brand in the recreational vehicles industry, with a long history of producing high-quality products. The company has expanded its product line to include snowmobiles, all-terrain vehicles, motorcycles, boats, and electric vehicles.
One of the key reasons Polaris is undervalued is that its peers are innovating more quickly than in the past, which could jeopardize the company's ability to take market share. However, Morningstar senior analyst Jaime Katz believes that Polaris's research and development, solid quality, operational excellence, and acquisition strategy will help the company capitalize on its strengths.
Here are some key statistics about Polaris:
Overall, Polaris is a value stock that's worth considering for long-term investors.
Sources
- https://www.cabotwealth.com/daily/value-stocks/benjamin-grahams-value-stock-criteria
- https://www.investopedia.com/articles/professionals/072415/value-or-growth-stocks-which-best.asp
- https://www.troweprice.com/personal-investing/resources/insights/the-hottest-debate-in-asset-allocation-value-vs-growth.html
- https://www.kiplinger.com/investing/what-is-value-investing
- https://www.morningstar.com/stocks/10-best-value-stocks-buy-long-term
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