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The Turkey Lira Currency Guide for Travelers and Investors is a must-read for anyone looking to navigate the complexities of Turkey's currency. The Turkish Lira (TRY) has been the official currency of Turkey since 2005, replacing the old Turkish Lira (TRL).
As of 2022, the exchange rate for 1 USD is approximately 13.5 TRY, making it a relatively stable currency. However, this rate can fluctuate depending on the current market conditions.
Turkey has a relatively high inflation rate, which can affect the value of the Lira. In 2020, the inflation rate reached a record high of 11.9%.
Travelers and investors alike should be aware of the various denominations of Turkish Lira banknotes, which include 5, 10, 20, 50, 100, and 200 TRY.
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Monetary Policy
Monetary policy plays a crucial role in Turkey's economic stability, and its impact on the lira is evident. The Central Bank of Turkey (CBT) has cut interest rates several times, starting with a 150 basis point reduction to 10.5% in October 2021.
This move was a continuation of President Erdogan's stance on monetary policy, which prioritizes rate cuts over inflation control. The CBT has cut rates by 850 basis points since September 2021, despite inflation reaching 20-year highs.
In contrast, the CBT's decision to raise interest rates sharply in 2018, despite Erdogan's opposition, helped stabilize the lira temporarily. However, the currency continued to plummet in value, reaching an all-time low of ₺14.5 to the US dollar in December 2021.
Monetary Policy Collapse
The Turkish lira collapsed in 2021, starting at around 7.37 against the US dollar and shedding value throughout the year.
The lira's value dropped to a record low of 16.42 on December 12, 2021, after the central bank cut the country's key interest rate by 150 basis points to 10.5% in October.
President Erdogan's view of monetary policy is to cut rates, which made no sense given the high inflation rate, even core inflation was many multiples of the inflation target.
Inflation hit 20-year highs, and the situation was further exacerbated by rising prices for energy and other commodities driven by the Russia-Ukraine conflict.
The central bank cut rates by 850 basis points since September 2021, while inflation has hit 20-year highs.
The lira's value against the euro dropped from 9 lira-per-euro at the start of 2021 to 18.45 in the December collapse.
The lira's value has shed close to 26% of its value against the euro on a year-to-date basis.
The central bank has relied largely on foreign funds obtained from export revenues, foreign homebuyers, and other sources to balance the market's supply and demand.
The lira's collapse was attributed to Recep Tayyip Erdogan preventing the Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey from making necessary interest rate adjustments.
The Turkish lira deflated by over 400% compared to the US dollar and the euro since 2008, largely due to Erdogan's expansionist foreign policy.
The lira partially recovered in early 2021 with the government's increase in interest rates, but the currency began to crash due to inflation and depreciation starting on March 21, 2021.
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The Turkish lira reached a then-all-time-low of 8.8 to the dollar on June 4, 2021, and continued to collapse in December, with the inflation rate reaching unseen levels.
The lira's value continued to decline throughout 2022, with the official inflation rate reaching 83% by the end of the year.
In 2023, Erdogan began to follow orthodox banking methods, and the central bank rapidly increased interest rates, resulting in the lira gaining value since May.
Currency Forecast
The Turkish lira's value has been quite volatile lately, and it's essential to stay informed about its future prospects. The TRY is currently trading at around 21.04 against the US dollar, as of June 2023.
The USD/TRY exchange rate has been on a downward trend, with forecasts suggesting it could reach 25 by 2023. Danske Bank predicts a gradual decline, while ING expects the rate to breach 20 earlier in the year.
TradingEconomics is bearish on the TRY, forecasting a rise from 19.6429 to 23.1040 in a year's time. WalletInvestor's longer-term prediction sees the USD/TRY trading at 30.727 by the end of 2025.
The EUR/TRY rate is also expected to rise, with Commerzbank predicting 20.34 in the third quarter and 20.88 in the fourth quarter. TradingEconomics sees a potential rise from 19.9557 to 22.3700 in a year's time.
Here's a summary of the forecasts for the USD/TRY and EUR/TRY rates:
It's essential to remember that these forecasts are just predictions and should not be taken as investment advice. Always do your own research and consider your attitude to risk before making any financial decisions.
Currency Information
The Turkish lira has been experiencing a decline in value, particularly against the US dollar, which hit a 20-year high of 114 points in late September 2022. The USD/TRY exchange rate has been trading around 18.6 as of November 21.
Using the local currency, Turkish Lira, for transactions within Turkey offers greater convenience and often more favorable exchange rates. The smallest unit of the lira is the kuruş, with one lira made up of 100 kuruş.
The Turkish lira has shed close to 26% of its value against the euro on a year-to-date basis. The EUR/TRY rate has been trading around 19 as of November 21.
It's a good idea to withdraw lira from Turkish ATMs or exchange your local currency at a local bank or exchange office, as some businesses may not accept euros or US dollars.
History of Turkish Lira
The Turkish lira has a rich history that spans thousands of years. The lira's roots date back to the ancient Roman unit of weight known as the libra, which referred to the Troy pound of silver. This unit of weight was adopted throughout Europe and the Near East, and its descendants can still be seen in modern currencies like the Turkish lira.
The Turkish lira was introduced as the main unit of account in 1844, with the kuruş as a 1⁄100 subdivision. The Ottoman lira remained in circulation until the end of 1927.
The lira has undergone several revaluations and devaluations over the years. In 2001, an economic crisis led to the devaluation of the Turkish lira, and a wave of economic reforms occurred in 2005. The reforms included privatizing state-owned businesses and running a tight monetary policy to restrict spending and ensure inflation did not destroy economic gains.
The Turkish lira has been pegged to various currencies, including sterling and the franc. In 1946, a peg of TL 2.8 = US$1 was adopted, which was maintained until 1960, when the currency was devalued to TL 9 = US$1.
Here's a list of notable devaluations of the Turkish lira:
- 1960s: US$1 = TL 9
- 1970: US$1 = TL 11.30
- 1975: US$1 = TL 14.40
- 1980: US$1 = TL 80
- 1985: US$1 = TL 500
- 1990: US$1 = TL 2,500
- 1995: US$1 = TL 43,000
- 2000: US$1 = TL 620,000
- 2001: US$1 = TL 1,250,000
- 2005: US$1 = TL 1,350,000
The Turkish lira has been ranked as the world's least valuable currency by the Guinness Book of Records on multiple occasions.
Physical Currency
You can withdraw Turkish Lira from ATMs or exchange your local currency at a local bank or exchange office. Euros and US Dollars might be accepted in some businesses, especially in tourist areas, but it's not universally accepted.
The smallest unit is kuruş, with one lira made up of 100 kuruş. Turkish banks stopped accepting the old-style TL 20 and TL 50 banknotes.
Coins are issued in values of 1, 5, 10, 25, and 50 kuruş, as well as 1 lira. The 1 kuruş coin is made of 70% copper and 30% zinc, while the 5 kuruş coin is made of 65% copper, 18% nickel, and 17% zinc.
Here are the current Turkish lira coins:
Banknotes are available in denominations of 5, 10, 20, 50, 100, and 200 lira. The E-9 emission group of banknotes was introduced in 2009, with new designs and security features.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is 7000 Turkish lira enough for a week?
7000 Turkish Lira can be sufficient for a week-long trip for 2 people, but it's essential to budget wisely and consider the time of year you plan to visit
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