
You can start betting on the election outcome through Robinhood's Election Markets, a feature that allows users to buy and sell contracts based on the results of the election.
These contracts are essentially bets on the outcome of the election, with prices fluctuating in real-time based on market sentiment.
The Election Markets feature is available for users 18 and older, and it's only accessible through the Robinhood app, not on the website.
You can place bets on a variety of outcomes, including the winner of the presidential election, the outcome of key Senate and House races, and even the outcome of specific ballot measures.
Additional reading: Peter Theil Election
Election Betting Market
The Election Betting Market is a fascinating space where investors can place contracts on the outcome of the presidential election. Robinhood, Interactive Brokers, and Kalshi are among the companies offering these contracts.
Over 100 million contracts have been traded in less than a week, with CEO and co-founder of Robinhood, Vlad Tenev, sharing the news on X. This surge in interest is a testament to the growing popularity of election betting.
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More than 90 million contracts have been placed on Harris winning, while nearly 83 million contracts have been placed on Trump winning, according to in-app screenshots from X accounts. This shows that investors are evenly split on the outcome.
Kalshi's CEO, Tarek Mansour, has discussed the business of election betting on "Making Money", highlighting the potential for investors to make significant gains. One X user reportedly put $3,300 into Trump contracts, citing the attractive payout of 5 large.
Investors can choose from various platforms, including Robinhood, Interactive Brokers, and Kalshi. These companies offer different contract options, allowing investors to pick the one that suits them best.
Here's a quick rundown of the companies offering election betting contracts:
The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) initially tried to block Kalshi's move, but a federal appeals court denied their request, allowing Kalshi to offer the event contracts.
Key Takeaways and Analysis
Robinhood's election markets allow users to trade on the outcome of elections, with the option to buy or sell contracts that represent a specific outcome.

The minimum investment for these contracts is $1, making it accessible to a wide range of users.
In the 2020 US presidential election, over 70% of Robinhood users who traded on the outcome were on the side of Joe Biden winning.
The platform's election markets can be a useful tool for users to express their opinions and engage with the democratic process.
Robinhood's election markets are available for a variety of elections, including presidential and congressional races.
Users can also trade on the outcome of referendums and other ballot initiatives.
The data from these markets can provide valuable insights into public opinion and sentiment.
Sources
- https://www.foxbusiness.com/media/election-day-outcome-bets-robinhood-offer-chance-profit-close-contest
- https://www.cnbc.com/2024/10/28/robinhood-jumps-into-election-trading-giving-users-chance-to-buy-harris-or-trump-contracts.html
- https://www.investopedia.com/robinhood-launches-contracts-to-allow-investors-to-bet-on-us-presidential-election-outcome-8735258
- https://nypost.com/2024/10/28/business/robinhood-taps-into-election-betting-market-with-harris-and-trump-contracts/
- https://www.10news.com/politics/america-votes/you-can-now-bet-on-the-presidential-election
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