Understanding PYPL Intrinsic Value and Its Impact on Stock Performance

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PYPL intrinsic value is a crucial concept for investors to grasp, as it can significantly impact stock performance.

PYPL's intrinsic value is calculated by considering various factors, including its net income, revenue growth, and future prospects.

A key factor in determining PYPL's intrinsic value is its ability to generate cash flow, which is essential for long-term sustainability.

According to the article, PYPL's cash flow has consistently exceeded its net income, indicating a strong financial position.

Intrinsic Value Calculation

Intrinsic Value Calculation is a crucial step in determining the true worth of a company. The present value of a company's forecasted cash flows is calculated based on its operating model.

To calculate the present value, you need to adjust key parameters like the discount rate and terminal growth, and alter inputs such as revenue growth and margins. This can significantly impact the valuation of the company.

The present value is then used to calculate the DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) value. This is done by adding the present value of the company's forecasted cash flows to the present value of its capital structure.

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The capital structure of a company includes its cash and equivalents, investments, and debt. According to the data, the present value of PayPal's (PYPL) forecasted cash flows is $53.3B USD. The firm value is then calculated by adding the present value of cash and equivalents ($7.3B USD) and investments ($8.9B USD), which results in a firm value of $69.5B USD.

However, debt needs to be subtracted from the firm value to get the equity value. In this case, the debt is $10B USD, which means the equity value is $59.5B USD. This is then divided by the number of shares outstanding, which is 1B, resulting in a DCF value of $59.34 USD per share.

Here's a summary of the capital structure:

PayPal Holdings Inc Valuation

The average 1-year price target for PYPL is 95.38 USD, with a low forecast of 70.7 USD and a high forecast of 131.25 USD.

According to Wall Street analysts, the price target range is quite broad, indicating a significant amount of uncertainty surrounding the company's future performance.

Compared to its current market price of 87.6 USD, PYPL is overvalued by 6%.

Here's a breakdown of the company's capital structure and its impact on its intrinsic value:

PayPal Holdings Inc Valuation History

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PayPal Holdings Inc has a history of fluctuating valuations, with its current stock trading at its lowest valuation over the past 5 years.

The company's valuation history is a crucial factor to consider when evaluating its investment potential.

Stock valuations can be a complex and nuanced topic, but by examining historical data, investors can gain a better understanding of a company's true value.

PayPal's current low valuation could present an attractive opportunity for investors looking to buy in at a discounted price.

The company's stock has been trading at a low point, which may indicate a potential buying opportunity for those who believe in its long-term potential.

Investors should consider the average 1-year price target for PYPL, which is 95.38 USD, to gauge the potential for future growth.

A price target of 95.38 USD suggests that analysts expect the stock to increase in value over the next year.

PayPal Holdings Inc

PayPal Holdings Inc generated a significant amount of revenue in the last period, $31.5 billion USD.

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The company's earnings waterfall shows a gross profit of $12.6 billion USD, which is the difference between revenue and cost of revenue.

PayPal's operating income is $5.7 billion USD, calculated by subtracting operating expenses from gross profit.

The company's net income is $4.4 billion USD, after considering other expenses.

Wall Street analysts have set an average 1-year price target for PYPL of $95.38 USD, with a low forecast of $70.7 USD and a high forecast of $131.25 USD.

PayPal's current market price is $87.6 USD, which is overvalued by 6% compared to its current price.

The company's present value is $53.3 billion USD, which includes cash and equivalents of $7.3 billion USD and investments of $8.9 billion USD.

Firm value is calculated by adding present value, cash and equivalents, and investments, which equals $69.5 billion USD.

Debt of $10 billion USD is subtracted from firm value to get equity value, which is $59.5 billion USD.

The company's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is not explicitly stated in the article sections, but we can calculate it by dividing the current market price by the net income. However, without the number of outstanding shares, we cannot calculate the exact P/E ratio.

DCF Analysis

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The DCF analysis is a powerful tool to estimate the intrinsic value of PayPal Holdings Inc. (PYPL). According to the DCF value, one PYPL stock is estimated to be worth $59.34 USD, which is 32% overvalued compared to the current market price of $87.6 USD.

The present value of the company's capital structure is $53.3B USD, with cash and equivalents adding $7.3B USD and investments adding $8.9B USD. The firm value is $69.5B USD, with debt subtracting $10B USD, resulting in an equity value of $59.5B USD.

To calculate the DCF value, the present value of future cash flows is estimated using a 10-year free cash flow (FCF) estimate. The estimated FCF for 2023 is $7.28B USD, with a growth rate estimated by analyst x13. The present value of the 10-year cash flow is $59B USD.

Here's a breakdown of the estimated FCF for each year:

The terminal value is estimated to be $194B USD, with a present value of $104B USD. The total equity value is $164B USD, resulting in a DCF value of $59.34 USD per share.

DCF

Credit: youtube.com, Discounted Cash Flow | DCF Model Step by Step Guide

The DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) analysis is a powerful tool for valuing companies. It's based on the idea that a company's true value lies in its future cash flows.

In a DCF analysis, you calculate the present value of a company's future cash flows by discounting them back to their current value. This is done using a discount rate that reflects the company's risk profile.

A key concept in DCF analysis is the terminal value, which represents the value of a company's future cash flows beyond a certain period, usually 10 years. The terminal value is calculated using a conservative growth rate, often based on the country's GDP growth rate.

The terminal value is then discounted back to its present value using the same discount rate. This gives you the present value of the terminal value, which is added to the present value of the initial 10-year cash flows to get the total equity value.

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For example, in the case of PayPal, the present value of the terminal value is estimated to be around $104 billion, based on a terminal value of $194 billion and a discount rate of 6.4%.

The total value is then divided by the number of shares outstanding to get the DCF value per share. This can be compared to the current market price to determine if the stock is undervalued or overvalued.

Here's a breakdown of the key components of a DCF analysis:

A sensitivity analysis is also an important part of a DCF analysis, as it helps you understand how changes in key factors like revenue growth, margin, and discount rate affect the DCF value.

Important Assumptions

The discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis is a powerful tool for evaluating a company's potential performance, but it's essential to understand its limitations.

The most important inputs to a DCF are the discount rate and actual cash flows.

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The discount rate has a significant impact on the results, so it's crucial to choose the right one.

In the case of PayPal Holdings, the cost of equity is used as the discount rate, which is 6.4%.

This is based on a levered beta of 1.048, which is a measure of a stock's volatility compared to the market.

Beta is calculated from the industry average beta of globally comparable companies, with an imposed limit between 0.8 and 2.0.

This range is considered reasonable for a stable business.

The DCF analysis does not consider the cyclicality of an industry or a company's future capital requirements, which means it doesn't give a full picture of a company's potential performance.

If you don't agree with the results, it's a good idea to try the calculation yourself and play with the assumptions.

PayPal's Financial Performance

PayPal's revenue has consistently grown over the years, reaching $25.4 billion in 2020, up from $17.8 billion in 2018.

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The company's net income has also seen a significant increase, reaching $4.3 billion in 2020, a 22% rise from the previous year.

PayPal's operating margin has expanded to 15.1% in 2020, up from 12.6% in 2018.

The company's cash and cash equivalents have increased to $7.4 billion in 2020, providing a solid financial foundation for future growth.

PayPal's total assets have grown to $129.6 billion in 2020, a 34% increase from 2018.

The company's total equity has also increased, reaching $24.8 billion in 2020, a 25% rise from 2018.

PayPal's financial performance has been driven by its strong growth in active accounts, which reached 430 million in 2020, up from 340 million in 2018.

Solvency and Risk

PayPal Holdings Inc's solvency score is 61/100, which means they are not as solvent as some other companies.

The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

A lower solvency score doesn't necessarily mean a company is at risk of bankruptcy, but it does indicate potential financial difficulties in the future.

PayPal's solvency score is a key factor to consider when evaluating its intrinsic value.

Should You Buy Stock?

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Before you make a decision about buying PYPL stock, you need to consider whether it has a coherent story and a plan to continue making money. Our investment guide can help you ask the right questions, including how to buy stocks.

To determine if PYPL is worth your time, you should check out its statistics and price chart, which can be found in the research links provided. This will give you a better understanding of the company's performance over time.

The price chart can help you see if PYPL's stock is going up or down, and by how much. This can be an important factor in deciding whether to buy or sell.

You should also look at PYPL's revenue and expenses to get a sense of the company's financial health. This will help you understand how the company is generating income and whether it's making a profit.

A good annual rate of return is typically around 7-10%, but this can vary depending on the market and the company. To determine a good rate of return for PYPL, you'll need to research the company's historical performance and compare it to industry averages.

Here's a rough estimate of what a good annual rate of return for PYPL might look like:

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the fair value of Pypl?

As of 2024-12-30, PayPal's Peter Lynch fair value is $52.78, indicating a potential undervalued opportunity.

Is PayPal an undervalued stock?

PayPal's stock is considered undervalued, trading at a significantly lower price-to-earnings ratio of 22x compared to its pre-pandemic range of 65x to 44x. This suggests a potential buying opportunity for investors.

Greg Brown

Senior Writer

Greg Brown is a seasoned writer with a keen interest in the world of finance. With a focus on investment strategies, Greg has established himself as a knowledgeable and insightful voice in the industry. Through his writing, Greg aims to provide readers with practical advice and expert analysis on various investment topics.

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