
The parallel market exchange rate in Nigeria is a complex phenomenon, influenced by various factors. The rate can fluctuate rapidly, sometimes within a day, due to changes in supply and demand.
The black market exchange rate is often higher than the official rate, making it a lucrative option for some individuals. However, this comes with significant risks, including the potential for scams and exploitation.
The difference between the official and parallel market exchange rates can be substantial, with the unofficial rate sometimes being 20-30% higher. This disparity is driven by a lack of trust in the official system.
In some cases, the parallel market rate can even be influenced by the actions of a single individual, such as a large trader or investor.
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Exchange Rate Trends
The exchange rate in the parallel market has shown relative stability, with the naira trading at N1,570 per US dollar from Wednesday through the latest data available.
This stability is a welcome change for those relying on the parallel market for exchange rate needs.
The naira has held its value at N1,570 per US dollar, a significant achievement in the context of Nigeria's currency market.
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Stabilization and Appreciation
The naira has shown signs of stability in the parallel market, trading at N1,605/$1 mid-week. This is a significant improvement from previous fluctuations.
The exchange rate between the naira and the US dollar has been known to be quite volatile, but it seems to have found some footing recently. It's interesting to note that this stability is not unique to one day, but rather a trend that has been observed mid-week.
Naira appreciated by N5 against the US dollar on Monday, reaching a value of N1,605/$1 in the parallel market. This is a notable recovery for the naira.
The recent strong performance of the naira can be attributed to the implementation of certain policies by the Bureau De Change (BDC) operators. Their efforts seem to be paying off, at least in the short term.
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Market Analysis
The parallel market exchange rate in Nigeria is a complex phenomenon. It's influenced by the country's economic conditions, particularly the scarcity of dollars.
The exchange rate has been on a steady rise, reaching an all-time high of N570 per dollar in 2022. This is a significant increase from the pre-pandemic rate of around N360 per dollar.
As a result, many Nigerians are turning to the parallel market to exchange their money, with some even resorting to using black market rates. However, this comes with its own set of risks, including the potential for scams and financial losses.
USD Hits 9-Week Low
The USD Hits 9-Week Low is a significant market movement that's worth paying attention to. This happened in the unofficial market where the naira oscillated around the N1570-1575/$ range.
The naira showed stability in the unofficial market, a notable contrast to its fluctuations in the past. This stability is a positive sign for the Nigerian economy.
The USD index hit a 9-week low, indicating a weakening of the US dollar's purchasing power. This could potentially lead to a stronger naira in the future.
The parallel market saw the naira trading below N1,555/$1, a significant milestone in its strengthening trend. This shows that the naira is gaining value against the dollar.
The black market saw the naira break below N1,600/$, a testament to its growing strength. This could have implications for the Nigerian economy and its trade relationships.
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Weakens Midweek
The Naira weakened midweek, trading at N1,570/$1 in the parallel market. This is a significant depreciation against the US dollar.
Nigeria's foreign exchange reserves declined significantly by $1.16 billion in January 2025. This decline wiped out the $592.58 million gain recorded previously.
The Naira's downward trajectory continued mid-week, affecting both the parallel and official markets.
Value and Price
The value of the naira has been on a downward spiral since August 2023, with the parallel market exchange rates widening the gap between the official and unofficial rates.
In fact, the naira's value has fallen by 40% compared to the dollar since President Bola Tinubu abolished gasoline subsidies and restrictions on foreign exchange.
The official and black market rates briefly aligned after Tinubu's decision, but this alignment was short-lived.
Buyers turned to the parallel market due to the central bank's limited availability of foreign currency, causing the gap to increase.
The naira hit a record low of 1,000 to the dollar in 2023, its worst-ever performance on the illicit market.
Despite being bearish on the naira, the central bank has taken steps to mitigate the effects of further currency devaluation by instructing banks to retain their large FX gains.
Fitch Ratings agrees with Tinubu's assertion that liberalization of the exchange rate should make it easier for Nigeria to attract capital.
Frequently Asked Questions
Did Naira weakens to 1233 /$ at BDC parallel market?
Yes, the Naira weakened to 1,233/$ at the parallel market on Monday, according to Bureau de Change operators. This rate was consistent with the previous Friday's rate.
Sources
- https://www.ngnrates.com/black-market
- https://nairametrics.com/category/market-news/naira-dollar-exchange-rate/
- https://internationalfinance.com/currency/nairas-value-falls-further-parallel-market-exchange-rates-widen/
- https://journalajeba.com/index.php/AJEBA/article/view/1339
- https://www.ngnrates.com/market/exchange-rates/us-dollar-to-naira/black-market
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