
Holding period return is a crucial concept in investing that can make or break your portfolio's performance. It's calculated by dividing the total return by the number of years you held onto an investment.
The holding period return is often higher than the annual return because it takes into account the compounding effect of interest over time. For instance, if you invested $1,000 and earned a 10% annual return, your holding period return after 5 years would be significantly higher.
This difference in returns can be substantial, so it's essential to consider the holding period return when evaluating an investment's performance.
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What Is
A holding period return is a way to evaluate how well your investments have performed over a specific time period.
You can calculate the holding period returns for the bonds in your portfolio and compare them to see which ones are doing better.
This helps you make informed decisions about whether to hold onto certain bonds or sell them and put the funds into something else.
The holding period return lets you evaluate more than just the increase in value of your investments.
By comparing the returns of different bonds, you can decide which ones to prioritize in your portfolio.
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Understanding HPR
Holding period return is calculated on the basis of total returns from the asset or portfolio, including income and changes in value. It's particularly useful for comparing returns between investments held for different periods of time.
The holding period determines tax implications, and it's counted starting on the day after the security's acquisition and continuing until the day of its disposal or sale. For example, if Sarah bought 100 shares of stock on Jan. 2, 2023, she begins counting her holding period on Jan. 3, 2023.
If Sarah sells her stock on Dec. 23, 2023, she would realize a short-term capital gain or loss because her holding period is less than one year.
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Why Is It Important?
Holding period return is a crucial metric for investors to consider. It provides a comprehensive picture of an investment's performance over a specific time period.
The holding period return is important because it takes into account not only the appreciation in value but also income payments. This makes it a great way to compare the performance of investments held over different timeframes.
Investors can use the holding period return to compare the performances of the components of their portfolio. This helps them make informed decisions about their investments and adjust their portfolio accordingly.
The holding period return provides a total return an investor has gotten from any security for a specific period of time. This is a more accurate representation of an investment's performance than just looking at its value at a single point in time.
By considering the holding period return, investors can get a better understanding of their investments' performance and make more informed decisions about their portfolio.
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Can Be Negative?
Holding period return can be a negative number. This is because not all investments generate a profit, and even a stock that pays a dividend can still deliver a negative return if it depreciates in value.
For instance, if Sarah sold her stock on Dec. 23, 2023, she would realize a short-term capital loss, which is a negative holding period return. This is because her holding period is less than one year, and she sold the stock for less than she paid for it.
A negative holding period return can have tax implications, but the article doesn't go into detail about that.
Take a look at this: Negative Gearing
Calculating HPR
Calculating HPR is a straightforward process that involves considering both capital appreciation and income return. The formula for HPR is: HPR = (Income + (End Of Period Value - Initial Value)) / Initial Value. This formula takes into account the distributions or cash flows from the investment, as well as the change in value of the investment over time.
To calculate HPR, you need to know the income received from the investment, the end of period value, and the initial value. For example, if you purchased a stock for $50 and received $5 in dividends over the year, and the stock is now trading at $60, the HPR would be 30%.
You can also calculate the annualized HPR by using the formula: (1 + HPR)^ (1 / number of years) - 1. For instance, if you held a stock for three years and it appreciated from $100 to $150, providing $5 in distributions, the HPR would be 55%. If you annualized this HPR, you would get 15.73%.
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Here's a step-by-step guide to calculating HPR:
- Determine the income received from the investment, such as dividends or interest.
- Calculate the change in value of the investment over time.
- Add the income and change in value to get the total return.
- Divide the total return by the initial value to get the HPR.
- If necessary, annualize the HPR using the formula: (1 + HPR)^ (1 / number of years) - 1.
For example, let's say you have two investments: Mutual Fund X, which was held for three years and appreciated from $100 to $150, providing $5 in distributions, and Mutual Fund B, which went from $200 to $320 and generated $10 in distributions over four years. The HPR for Mutual Fund X would be 55%, while the HPR for Mutual Fund B would be 65%. However, since Mutual Fund B was held for four years, you would need to annualize the HPR to compare the two investments.
Here's a comparison of the annualized HPR for Mutual Fund X and Mutual Fund B:
Based on this comparison, Mutual Fund X was the superior investment, despite having a lower HPR.
HPR in Practice
The holding period return (HPR) metric is a powerful tool for investors, and it's essential to understand how it works in practice. HPR is composed of two income sources: capital appreciation and dividend (or interest) income, expressed as a percentage.
Let's look at an example from Example 2, where an investor purchased a 10-year, $5,000 bond with a 5% coupon rate. Over a five-year holding period, the bond paid $1,250 in interest, and its current market value is $5,500. The HPR is calculated by adding the capital appreciation ($500) and the interest income ($1,250) and dividing by the initial investment ($5,000), resulting in a 35% return.
In reality, HPR can be affected by various factors, such as market fluctuations and interest rates. For instance, if an investor holds the bond until maturity, the HPR yield is higher, at 50%, as seen in Example 2.
A real-life example of HPR in practice is Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) stock, which earned a 10.62% return in 2020, including price and dividend gains, as shown in Example 3. This means that if you bought JNJ stock at the end of 2019 and held it through 2020, you would have earned a 10.62% return on your investment.
Here's a breakdown of the HPR calculation for Johnson & Johnson stock:
By understanding how HPR works in practice, investors can make more informed decisions about their investments and achieve their financial goals.
HPR and Bonds
You can use the holding period return to evaluate your bonds and compare their performances. This will help you make better-informed decisions about whether to hold or sell certain bonds.
The holding period return lets you evaluate more than simply an increase in value.
By calculating the holding period returns for the various bonds in your portfolio, you can size up their performances and decide which ones to hold onto and which to sell.
For another approach, see: Amd Buy Sell or Hold
The Bottom Line
Holding period returns are a crucial aspect of investment analysis, and understanding how they work can make a big difference in your investment decisions.
A holding period return of 5% over a 10-year period is a respectable return, but it's essential to consider the time value of money and the impact of compounding interest.
Investors who held onto their investments for the full 10 years earned an average annual return of 0.5%, which is a relatively modest return compared to other asset classes.
The key takeaway is that holding period returns can be a powerful tool for evaluating investment performance, but they must be considered in conjunction with other metrics, such as the time value of money and the impact of compounding interest.
Investors who are willing to hold onto their investments for the long term are often rewarded with higher returns, but it's essential to have a solid understanding of the underlying investment and the potential risks involved.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the holding period rule?
The holding period rule determines whether an investment is taxed as long-term or short-term, with long-term investments held for one year or more and short-term investments held for less than a year. Understanding this rule is crucial for optimizing your investment strategy and minimizing tax liabilities.
Sources
- https://www.investopedia.com/terms/h/holdingperiodreturn-yield.asp
- https://www.wallstreetprep.com/knowledge/holding-period-return-hpr/
- https://corporatefinanceinstitute.com/resources/career-map/sell-side/capital-markets/holding-period-return/
- https://www.investopedia.com/ask/answers/072915/how-do-i-use-holding-period-return-yield-evaluate-my-bond-portfolio.asp
- https://www.fool.com/investing/stock-market/basics/holding-period-return/
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