Investing in gold can be a bit overwhelming if you're new to it, but don't worry, we've got you covered. Gold investment is a great way to diversify your portfolio and potentially earn a profit.
Gold has historically been a safe-haven asset, meaning its value tends to increase during times of economic uncertainty. This is due to its perceived value and limited supply.
To get started, you'll need to decide on a gold investment type, such as physical gold, gold ETFs, or gold mining stocks. Each option has its pros and cons, which we'll explore in more detail.
Gold investment can be a long-term game, with prices often fluctuating in the short term. However, with patience and research, you can make informed decisions and potentially reap the rewards.
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Gold Investment Basics
Gold is largely immune to inflation, instead hewing closely to the cost of living. This makes it a great hedge against economic disaster.
Investing in gold can be a smart way to diversify a portfolio, especially one that includes stocks, bonds, and mutual funds. Many financial advisors recommend keeping anywhere from 5% to 10% of your portfolio in gold.
You can invest in gold in two main ways: physical gold (aka bullion) or gold securities (stocks, funds, and futures). Physical gold can be illiquid and must be stored securely.
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Fundamental Analysis
Fundamental analysis is a crucial step in gold investment. It involves analyzing the macroeconomic situation, including international economic indicators such as GDP growth rates, inflation, interest rates, productivity, and energy prices.
These indicators can have a significant impact on the value of gold. For instance, high inflation can lead to a decrease in the value of currency, making gold more attractive as a store of value.
Investors using fundamental analysis also examine the yearly global gold supply versus demand. This helps them understand the market dynamics and make informed investment decisions.
To illustrate, if the global gold supply is low while demand is high, the price of gold is likely to increase.
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Why
Investing in gold is a smart way to diversify your portfolio, especially one that includes stocks, bonds, and mutual funds.
Gold is largely immune to inflation, instead hewing closely to the cost of living.
History has shown that during economic slowdowns, from the Great Depression to the COVID-19 pandemic, gold appreciates in value.
This means that gold can serve as a hedge against economic disaster, protecting your investments in times of crisis.
Many financial advisors recommend keeping anywhere from 5% to 10% of your portfolio in gold, perhaps up to 15% in times of crisis.
Investing in gold can be a good way to diversify your assets, regardless of the economy's state.
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Types of Gold Investments
Gold certificates are a type of investment that allows you to own gold without holding physical bullion, which can be a riskier and more costly option. They're issued by banks, and you can choose between allocated and unallocated certificates.
Allocated gold certificates are tied to specific numbered gold bars, while unallocated certificates are a form of fractional reserve banking that doesn't guarantee an equal exchange for metal in case of a bank run. It's difficult to determine if a bank is improperly allocating a single bar to multiple parties.
The first paper bank notes were actually gold certificates, issued in the 17th century by goldsmiths in England and the Netherlands for customers who kept gold deposits in their vaults.
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Certificates
Gold certificates offer a convenient way to invest in gold without the hassle of storing physical bullion.
They allow investors to avoid risks such as theft and large bid–offer spreads associated with physical bullion.
Banks may issue gold certificates for gold that is allocated or unallocated. Unallocated gold certificates are a form of fractional reserve banking.
Allocated gold certificates are correlated with specific numbered bars, but it's difficult to determine if a bank is improperly allocating a single bar.
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The first paper bank notes were gold certificates, issued by goldsmiths in England and the Netherlands in the 17th century.
The US Treasury issued gold certificates that could be exchanged for gold, starting in 1863.
The US Government restricted private gold ownership in 1933, stopping gold certificates from circulating as money.
Gold certificates are still issued today by gold pool programs in Australia and the US, as well as by banks in Germany, Switzerland, and Vietnam.
Derivatives and Financial Derivatives
Derivatives, such as gold forwards, futures, and options, trade on various exchanges around the world and over-the-counter (OTC) directly in the private market.
Gold futures are primarily traded on the New York Commodities Exchange (COMEX) and Euronext.liffe in the U.S. In India, gold futures are traded on the National Commodity and Derivatives Exchange (NCDEX) and Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX).
Holders of COMEX gold futures have experienced problems taking delivery of their metal, with chronic delivery delays and some investors receiving delivery of bars not matching their contract in serial number and weight.
Outside the US, firms provide trading on the price of gold via contracts for difference (CFDs) or allow spread bets on the price of gold.
Futures
Futures are contracts to buy or sell a given amount of gold on a particular date in the future. They're often used by investing pros as a way of hedging their positions.
Futures are standardized and represent a predetermined amount of gold, which can be large - for example, 100 troy ounces. This makes futures more suitable for experienced investors.
Some contracts settle in dollars, while others settle in gold. So, investors must pay attention to the contract specifications to avoid having to take delivery of 100 ounces of gold on the settlement date.
The cheapest way to buy or sell gold when investing large sums is through futures, with low commissions and margin requirements. This is far below traditional equity investments.
How Prices Are Determined
The price of gold is determined by the supply and demand cycle, which is why you'll often see prices fluctuate based on market conditions. This means that if you're buying at a busy time, all that competition drives up the price.
Gold has been used throughout history as money and has been a relative standard for currency equivalents specific to economic regions or countries, until recent times. The price of gold has been influenced by various economic factors, such as the value of the US dollar.
The London gold fixing, a twice-daily telephone meeting of representatives from five bullion-trading firms, has been the most common benchmark for the price of gold since 1919. This process helps establish a fair market price for gold.
The price of gold is also influenced by the value of other assets, such as the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) and the US debt. For example, in 1980, the price of gold was $590 per ounce, while the DJIA was 964.
Here's a rough breakdown of how gold prices have changed over the years:
As you can see, the price of gold has fluctuated significantly over the years, influenced by various economic factors.
Gold as a Hedge
Historically, gold has not proven itself reliable as a hedging instrument against inflation, deflation, or currency devaluation.
Gold prices generally increase when bond yields decline, making it a potentially attractive investment during economic downturns.
According to Deutsche Bank, gold prices can be considered close to fair value at around $725 in real terms (PPI), $770 in real terms (CPI), $800 relative to per capita income, $900 relative to the S&P500, $1050 versus copper, and $1400 versus crude oil.
These price points are based on Deutsche Bank's view of gold's value on October 10, 2014.
Investors often include gold in their portfolios as a buffer against potential economic downturns, but its effectiveness will depend on how it fits into your overall investment strategy.
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Investing in Gold Companies
Investing in gold companies can be a smart way to get exposure to gold without the hassle of owning the actual metal. You can buy shares in gold mining companies, which can be a lower-risk investment than buying gold bullion.
These companies can profit from a rising gold price, and some of the largest gold mining companies have extensive global operations, making them more stable investments. However, it's essential to research and select individual companies carefully, as some may be more volatile than others.
Some gold mining companies hedge against a fall in gold prices, which can reduce their volatility, but also limits their potential returns. You can buy gold company stocks through a stockbroker or online platform, and even invest in fractional shares, making it more accessible to a wider range of investors.
Gold mining stocks can deliver dividends, which physical gold and most gold ETFs do not, and some companies may be able to maintain profitability even in a falling gold price environment. However, it's crucial to understand that returns from mining stocks are dependent on the future returns of the company, not just on gold prices.
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Buying Mining Company Stocks
You can buy gold mining company stocks through a stockbroker, trading app, or online platform. The rise of fractional shares among digital brokerage tools lets you invest as much or as little as you want.
There are three categories of gold mining company stocks: junior miners, senior miners, and gold streaming companies. Junior miners are smaller companies, while senior miners are larger and well-established.
Investing in gold mining company stocks can be a way to get exposure to gold without the hassle of owning the actual metal. This can be especially appealing to those who enjoy stock-picking and following the performance of companies.
However, financial advisors tend to recommend not concentrating your portfolio in a few individual stocks. This is because individual stocks don't offer as much diversification as gold ETFs or mutual funds.
A gold mining company's management is an added risk factor, and investors need to be wary of mismanagement. The company's gearing or debt, as well as environmental or legal policies, can also impact its operations.
In an environment where gold prices are falling, a gold mining company can impose cutbacks on spending to maintain profitability.
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IRAs
Gold IRAs let you own physical gold in a tax-advantaged retirement account.
You can fund a gold IRA with pre-tax dollars rolled over from another retirement account.
Gold IRAs are self-directed IRAs, or SDIRAs, which appeal to people who want to invest in physical, tangible gold bars and coins.
You can start taking withdrawals from a gold IRA at age 59 ½, but you aren't required to.
Traditional gold IRAs require you to take required minimum distributions (RMDs) at age 73.
For Roth gold IRAs, there are no RMDs, so the gold can remain in your account indefinitely.
The buyback price you'll receive from a gold IRA company for liquidating your gold will likely be lower than the current market price, with a difference ranging from 2% to 35% lower.
You can choose to have your gold shipped to you, but you'll have to cover transportation costs and store it safely, plus pay for insurance.
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Gold Investment Strategies
You can invest in gold mining company stocks through a stockbroker, trading app, or online platform.
Buying gold stocks is a way to get exposure to gold without the hassle of owning the actual metal, but keep in mind that financial advisors recommend not concentrating your portfolio in a few individual stocks.
Investing in gold as a beginner can be daunting, but there are less-intimidating ways to add gold to your nest egg, such as through gold ETFs or mutual funds, which provide more diversification.
You can also buy gold stocks as little as you want with the rise of fractional shares among digital brokerage tools, making it easier to invest in gold mining company stocks.
Portfolio Diversity
Portfolio diversity is key to growing your wealth, and investing in gold is one way to achieve it. By diversifying your portfolio, you can soften the impact of a market downturn on your nest egg.
In fact, investing in gold can help mitigate the bite inflation takes out of the purchasing power of your savings. As the article points out, since 1800, stocks have consistently gained value in comparison to gold in part because of the stability of the American political system, but gold can still provide a hedge against inflation.
One way to invest in gold is through gold mining company stocks, which can be bought through a stockbroker, trading app, or online platform. This allows you to get exposure to gold without the hassle of owning the actual metal.
However, it's worth noting that financial advisors tend to recommend not concentrating your portfolio in a few individual stocks. This is because individual stocks can be less diversified than other investment options, such as gold ETFs or mutual funds.
Here are some benefits of investing in gold:
- Hedge against inflation
- Counterweight to stocks
- Less volatile than many stocks or bonds
- Physical durability
In addition, gold has historically performed well in bear markets when stocks fall. The article notes that the gold price peak of 1980 coincided with the Soviet Union's invasion of Afghanistan and the threat of the global expansion of communism, and the ratio of the Dow Industrials to gold peaked in 2000 before falling sharply since.
Using Leverage
Using Leverage is a high-risk approach, increasing the potential for capital loss if the trend reverses.
Investors may choose to leverage their position by borrowing money against their existing assets and then purchasing or selling gold on account with the loaned funds.
This strategy is also integral to trading gold derivatives and unhedged gold mining company shares, which can amplify investment gains but also amplify potential losses.
Leverage can be a powerful tool, but it's essential to understand that it doesn't change the underlying trend, only the scale of the potential outcome.
As a result, investors should carefully consider their risk tolerance and financial situation before deciding to use leverage in their gold investment strategy.
Leverage can increase investment gains, but it can also increase the risk of capital loss, making it a high-risk approach that requires careful consideration.
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Pros
Gold investment strategies offer a range of benefits, making them a valuable addition to any portfolio.
One of the key advantages of investing in gold is its ability to hedge against inflation. This is because gold tends to increase in value during periods of high inflation, making it a smart move for those looking to protect their purchasing power.
Gold can also serve as a counterweight to stocks, helping to balance out your portfolio and reduce risk. This is especially important during times of market volatility, when stocks may be falling.
Investing in gold can also provide a sense of physical durability, as it's a tangible asset that can be held in your hand. This can be a comforting feeling, especially for those who prefer to have control over their investments.
Here are some key benefits of investing in gold:
- Hedge against inflation
- Counterweight to stocks
- Less volatile than many stocks or bonds
- Physical durability
By incorporating gold into your investment strategy, you can create a more diversified and resilient portfolio that's better equipped to handle market fluctuations.
How to
If you're new to gold investing, mutual funds and ETFs are probably the smartest options. They offer low-cost exposure to gold with low minimum investments.
You can easily buy or sell these funds in your brokerage account or retirement account. Each share represents a fixed amount of gold.
Gold mining company stocks can be bought through a stockbroker, trading app, or online platform. The rise of fractional shares lets you invest as much or as little as you want.
However, financial advisors recommend not concentrating your portfolio in a few individual stocks. You won't get as much diversification with individual stocks as you would with gold ETFs or mutual funds.
If you want to own physical gold, you can buy it in various forms and sizes, each with its own characteristics and costs.
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Buy Timing
Investing in gold can be a bit tricky, especially when it comes to timing. It's generally recommended to use dollar-cost averaging, investing fixed amounts on a regular basis, regardless of the current market conditions.
Trying to time the market can be an exercise in futility, even for professional traders. Gold is considered a long-term investment, so it's essential to have a long-term perspective.
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The price of gold moves in opposition to the stock market, which means it's a good idea to buy gold when a recession or financial crisis is looming. However, this also means that demand tends to shoot up, depleting gold reserves faster than they can be refilled.
Buying gold when things have calmed down, at least temporarily, can also be a good strategy. This is often referred to as the "eye of the storm."
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Physical Gold Ownership
Physical gold ownership can be a tangible and secure way to invest in gold, as it allows you to hold the metal itself. Physical gold comes in many forms and sizes, each with its own characteristics and costs.
Investing in physical gold can be done through various means, including purchasing gold bullion or coins. Gold bullion, such as bars and ingots, is a popular choice among investors due to its high purity and liquidity. Investment-grade gold is always at least 99.5% pure, which is a key consideration when investing in physical gold.
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Gold coins, on the other hand, offer a more convenient way to invest in gold, with prices available in global financial publications and a wider range of sizes available. Some of the most widely circulated gold coins include the South African Krugerrand, the U.S. American Eagle, and the Canadian Maple Leaf.
Here are some key considerations when investing in physical gold:
- Purchase from reputable sellers only.
- Consider purchasing gold in Singapore, where it is exempt from Goods & Services Tax (GST).
- Investing in physical gold should be accompanied by proper storage and insurance.
Gold rounds, which are similar to gold coins but have no currency value, are another option for investors. They commonly have no additional metals added to them for durability purposes, which can result in a lower price compared to gold coins.
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Ways to Buy Physical
Physical gold can be purchased in various forms, each with its own characteristics and costs. You can buy gold bullion, gold coins, or even gold rounds.
Gold bullion is a popular choice, often available in the form of bars or ingots. Investment-grade gold is always at least 99.5% pure, and gold bars typically range from 1/10 troy ounce to one kilogram in weight. Gold coins, on the other hand, come in a wider range of shapes and sizes, but be aware that you may be paying extra for design elements or collector value.
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To buy physical gold, you can purchase from reputable banks or brokers. It's generally best to buy from trusted local sources rather than online. In Singapore, gold is an Investment Precious Metal (IPM), exempt from Goods & Services Tax (GST).
Here are some common ways to buy physical gold:
- Gold bullion bars and ingots
- Gold coins (such as American Gold Eagle, Australian Gold Nugget, and Canadian Maple Leaf)
- Gold rounds (similar to gold coins but with no currency value)
When buying physical gold, make sure to verify the seller and ensure the gold is at least 99.5% pure. You should also consider proper storage and insurance to protect your investment.
Jewelry and Industrial Demand
Jewelry consistently accounts for over two-thirds of annual gold demand. India is the largest consumer in volume terms, accounting for 27% of demand in 2009.
Gold has high thermal and electrical conductivity properties, along with a high resistance to corrosion and bacterial colonization, making it suitable for industrial, dental, and medical uses which account for around 12% of gold demand.
The expansion of emerging markets and middle classes aspiring to Western lifestyles has led to fluctuating demand for gold, offset by the financial crisis of 2007–2010.
About 49% of global gold production is used to make jewelry, making it a significant driver of gold demand.
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Jewelry Recycling
Jewelry recycling has become a significant industry, with the "Cash for Gold" concept offering cash for selling old, broken, or mismatched gold jewelry to local and online gold buyers.
The value of this industry is substantial, with the recycling of second-hand jewelry now a multibillion-dollar business.
Many people are taking advantage of this opportunity to turn their old or unwanted gold jewelry into cash, and it's a great way to declutter and earn some extra money.
The gold jewelry recycling market is thriving, with more people seeking to sell their gold items and get a good price for them.
Storage Plan
Stashing large amounts of gold in your home leaves you vulnerable to theft.
You can insure your gold, which is a good step, but it's also a good idea to locate an off-site storage location where you can rest assured it's protected.
The IRS mandates that gold can be stored with a metals-specialist custodian through a gold IRA if you want to hold it in an IRA account.
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the return of gold in 20 years?
The gold index grew by approximately 13% CAGR over 20 years, resulting in a 11.2 times increase in value. This outperformed the real estate index, which returned 8.4% CAGR over the same period.
Are 1 oz gold bars a good investment?
1 oz gold bars offer a good balance of value and flexibility, making them a popular choice for investors. Consider them as a solid starting point for your gold investment journey.
What is the disadvantage of investing in gold?
Investing in gold comes with ongoing risks, including theft and high storage and insurance fees that can eat into your investment gains. Consider these factors before making a gold investment decision.
Sources
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gold_as_an_investment
- https://www.investopedia.com/articles/basics/08/gold-strategies.asp
- https://money.com/investing-in-gold-for-beginners/
- https://www.businessinsider.com/personal-finance/investing/how-to-invest-in-gold
- https://www.sc.com/sg/wealth/insights/how-to-invest-in-gold/
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