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Currency appreciation occurs when the value of a country's currency increases relative to other currencies, making its exports more expensive and imports cheaper. This can lead to a trade deficit.
A strong currency can also make it more difficult for a country's businesses to compete in the global market. For example, if a company in a country with a strong currency tries to export goods, they may struggle to compete with companies from countries with weaker currencies.
The value of a currency can be influenced by a country's economic performance, interest rates, and inflation rate. For instance, if a country's interest rates are higher than other countries, it can attract foreign investors and cause the currency to appreciate.
In contrast, currency depreciation occurs when the value of a currency decreases relative to other currencies, making its exports cheaper and imports more expensive. This can lead to a trade surplus.
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What Is Currency?
A currency is a medium of exchange that allows people to trade goods and services. It's a way to represent wealth and value.
Currencies come in different forms, such as physical coins and banknotes, and digital forms like e-wallets and cryptocurrencies. A currency's value is determined by supply and demand in the market.
The value of a currency can increase or decrease over time, depending on various factors. Changes in governments' monetary and fiscal policies can impact a currency's value.
Interest rates can also influence a currency's value, as higher interest rates can attract foreign investors. Trade balances and business cycles are other important factors that can affect a currency's value.
In simple terms, a currency is a tool that helps facilitate trade and commerce.
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Causes and Effects
Currency appreciation and depreciation can be unpredictable and influenced by various factors. In a floating exchange rate system, a currency's value goes up or down if the demand for it exceeds or falls short of the supply.
A surge in purchases of foreign goods by home country residents can cause a depreciation of the home currency, as seen in the example of the Armenian dram depreciating against the dollar due to a surge in Russian tourists.
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The value of a currency can also change due to speculative movements of funds, where investors believe a currency is undervalued or overvalued and adjust their investments accordingly. This can cause a currency to appreciate or depreciate.
A longer-run trend of appreciation or depreciation can be caused by home country inflation being lower or higher than inflation in other countries, according to the principle of long-run purchasing power parity.
Causes
A country's currency value can fluctuate unpredictably in the short run due to various factors, including the balance of trade, speculation, or other factors in the international capital market.
A surge in purchases of foreign goods by home country residents can cause a surge in demand for foreign currency, leading to a depreciation of the home currency.
For example, in May 2022, a war in Russia led to a surge of Russians moving to Armenia, bringing foreign currency with them, which created an oversupply of dollars and caused the price of dollars to fall.
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The appreciation of a currency can also be caused by speculative movements of funds in the belief that a currency is undervalued and in anticipation of a correction.
In the long run, a country's currency value is likely to be influenced by its inflation rate compared to other countries, according to the principle of long-run purchasing power parity.
If a country's inflation rate is lower than other countries, its currency is likely to appreciate over time.
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Indirect Effects
A depreciation of the Australian dollar can have a significant impact on economic activity and inflation in the country. This is because changes in the relative prices of Australian and overseas goods and services affect the economy.
Foreign goods become cheaper in the domestic market and there is overall downward pressure on domestic prices when a country's currency appreciates in relation to foreign currencies. This can lead to decreased demand for domestic products as they become more expensive for foreigners.
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If American goods become more expensive on the foreign market, foreign goods, or imports, become cheaper in the U.S. This is because the U.S. dollar appreciates, making American goods more expensive for foreigners.
An appreciation of the domestic currency raises the value of the holdings of foreign assets denominated in that currency, while there is an adverse impact on debt instruments. This can lead to a foreign exchange gain or loss in international asset transactions.
A depreciation of the home currency has the opposite effects, making foreign goods less competitive in the domestic market by becoming more expensive. This can increase a country's balance of trade by improving the competitiveness of domestic goods in foreign markets.
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Political Effects
Currency fluctuations have a significant impact on the economy and politics of a country. A country's currency can either appreciate or depreciate, and this has consequences for consumers, producers, and the government.
A currency appreciation makes foreign goods cheaper for consumers, but it harms national producers who face greater competition with foreign producers. On the other hand, a currency depreciation has the opposite effect, benefiting national producers but harming consumers.
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Special interest groups often lobby for increases or decreases in the currency, depending on their interests. Governments are generally punished for currency depreciations, which can reduce living standards, weaken economic growth, and increase inflation.
However, a depreciation can also strengthen domestic producers and increase aggregate output, making it a common policy option to facilitate economic recoveries.
Direct Effects
The direct effects of an exchange rate movement are quite straightforward. It changes the prices of goods and services produced in a country relative to those produced overseas.
A depreciation of the Australian dollar makes Australian produced goods and services cheaper compared to goods and services produced overseas. This is because less foreign currency is required to purchase a given amount of Australian dollars.
Tourists visiting Australia will need to change less foreign currency to pay for their meals and hotel rooms if the Australian dollar depreciates. This is a direct result of the exchange rate movement.
On the other hand, an appreciation of the Australian dollar will make Australian produced goods and services more expensive compared to goods and services produced overseas. This is because Australian tourists will need to change fewer Australian dollars to pay for their meals and hotel rooms overseas.
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Exchange Rates
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Exchange rates are a crucial aspect of international trade and finance. They can fluctuate due to changes in demand and supply in the foreign exchange market.
An increase in demand for a currency, such as the pound, causes its value to appreciate against other currencies. This is because more people want to buy the currency, shifting the demand curve to the right.
The Chinese government implemented capital controls in 2015 to limit the outflow of capital from the country, reducing the supply of Yuan in the foreign exchange market. This caused the value of the Yuan to appreciate against other major currencies.
A decrease in demand for a currency, on the other hand, leads to a depreciation of its value against other currencies. This is because fewer people want to buy the currency, shifting the demand curve to the left.
In 2020, the COVID-19 pandemic led to a decrease in demand for the Indian Rupee, causing its value to depreciate against other major currencies. This made imports more expensive for India.
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An increase in supply of a currency, such as the Venezuelan Bolivar, causes its value to depreciate against major currencies. This is because more of the currency is available in the market, making it less valuable.
The Venezuelan government's excessive money printing led to a rapid increase in the supply of Bolivars, causing its value to depreciate against major currencies. This led to economic turmoil in the country, with high inflation rates and a decrease in purchasing power for its citizens.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who benefits and who loses when a country's currency depreciates?
When a country's currency depreciates, exporters benefit from increased competitiveness, but foreign investors may lose confidence and withdraw their investments, potentially harming the economy.
Sources
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Currency_appreciation_and_depreciation
- https://www.investopedia.com/terms/c/currency-appreciation.asp
- https://www.encyclopedia.com/social-sciences/applied-and-social-sciences-magazines/currency-appreciation-and-depreciation
- https://www.rba.gov.au/education/resources/explainers/exchange-rates-and-the-australian-economy.html
- https://thecuriouseconomist.com/exchange-rates/
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