Understanding Credit Default Swap ETFs

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Credit default swap ETFs are a type of investment that allows you to bet on the likelihood of a company or country defaulting on its debt. They work by essentially selling protection to investors against potential losses.

The first credit default swap ETF was launched in 2007, and since then, they have become increasingly popular among investors. These funds are designed to provide a way for investors to gain exposure to the credit markets without having to directly buy individual credit default swaps.

A credit default swap ETF typically tracks an index of credit default swaps, which are contracts that pay out if a borrower defaults on their debt. The value of the ETF will fluctuate based on the performance of the underlying index.

On a similar theme: Credit vs Default Risk

What is a Credit Default Swap ETF?

A Credit Default Swap ETF is an exchange-traded fund that allows investors to bet on the likelihood of a company defaulting on its debt.

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These funds use credit default swaps, which are essentially insurance policies that pay out if a borrower defaults on a loan.

By investing in a Credit Default Swap ETF, you're essentially buying a claim on a portfolio of these insurance policies.

This type of ETF is often used by investors who want to hedge against potential losses in a bond portfolio or speculate on the creditworthiness of specific companies.

The value of a Credit Default Swap ETF can fluctuate based on the credit ratings of the companies in the underlying portfolio.

Credit default swaps can be used to hedge against the risk of default, but they can also be used for speculation.

Investors should carefully consider the risks and benefits of investing in a Credit Default Swap ETF before making a decision.

How Credit Default Swap ETFs Work

A credit default swap ETF is essentially a fund that tracks the performance of a credit default swap index. This index is made up of a basket of bonds or other debt securities, each with its own credit risk.

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The ETF holder can buy into this index by purchasing shares in the ETF, which represents a portion of the overall index. The ETF then holds a basket of CDS contracts that are tied to the underlying debt securities in the index. The CDS contracts transfer the credit risk of the debt securities to the ETF holder, allowing them to profit from the default of the debt issuer.

In the event of a credit default, the ETF holder can sell the CDS contracts, which are essentially insurance policies that pay out if the debt issuer defaults. The ETF then pays the holder the security's value as well as all interest payments that would have been paid between that time and the maturity date.

Mechanics of

Credit default swaps are a crucial component of credit default swap ETFs, and understanding how they work is essential to grasping the mechanics of these investment vehicles.

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The settlement process of credit default swaps involves physical settlement and cash settlement. In physical settlement, the protection buyer receives the underlying debt securities from the protection seller upon the occurrence of a credit event. The notional amount of the CDS contract represents the face value of the underlying debt securities.

In cash settlement, the compensation owed to the protection buyer is determined based on the results of a credit event auction conducted by a designated auction administrator. The auction aims to establish a market-based price for the defaulted debt securities.

A credit event can occur in any of the constituents of a credit index, prompting the protection seller to pay the protection buyer for the loss caused. The protection buyer then receives the compensation, which is calculated based on the results of a credit event auction.

After a credit event, a new version of the index is issued with the defaulted entity removed, and the notional amount used for calculations is reduced by an amount corresponding to the weight of the entity in the index.

Curious to learn more? Check out: Installment Cash Credit vs Non-installment Credit

Issuance

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Markit issues a new series of CDS indices every six months, polling investment banks to determine the credit entities that will form the constituents of the new issue.

This process helps ensure the index doesn't become cluttered with illiquid or non-existent instruments. The fixed coupon for the index is decided on the day of issue, based on the credit spread of the entities in the index.

A fixed coupon of 100bps (1% p.a.) is usually set for predominantly Investment Grade indices, following the convention of Standard North American Corporates (SNAC). This is in contrast to predominantly speculative grade indices, which are set to 500bps.

Prior to SNAC, the coupons were set to approximate the average weighted spread of the names in that index.

CDX Indices

CDX indices are a series of credit default swap (CDS) indices issued by Markit every six months. They're designed to track the performance of various credit entities, including investment grade and high yield bonds.

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Markit polls a group of investment banks to determine the credit entities that will form the constituents of each new series. This process helps ensure the index doesn't become cluttered with illiquid or non-existent instruments.

The CDX indices have a fixed coupon, usually set to 100bps (1% p.a.) for investment grade indices and 500bps for speculative grade indices. This coupon is based on the credit spread of the entities in the index.

Here are the different CDX indices, along with their descriptions and number of entities:

These indices are used to determine the creditworthiness of various entities and are an essential component of credit default swap ETFs.

Benefits and Risks

Credit default swaps can be used for hedging risk and speculation. Investors buy credit default swaps to add a layer of insurance to protect a bond from defaulting on its payments.

The buyer of a credit default swap takes on counterparty risk, the risk that the seller may default, which can result in a loss of protection against default by the reference entity. This risk can be mitigated if regulatory reforms require CDS to be traded and settled via a central exchange/clearing house.

The seller of a credit default swap takes on jump risk or jump-to-default risk, the risk of a sudden obligation to pay millions or billions of dollars if the reference entity defaults. This risk is not present in other over-the-counter derivatives.

Advantages and Disadvantages

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Credit default swaps (CDS) are complex financial instruments that can be both beneficial and risky. They can be used for hedging risk, adding a layer of insurance to protect bonds from defaulting on their payments.

One of the main advantages of CDS is that they allow investors to hedge against credit risk, which is the risk of a debtor not being able to meet its obligations. This can be especially useful for investors who hold mortgage-backed securities or other types of bonds.

CDS can also be used for speculation, where investors bet on the credit quality of a reference entity. However, this can be a high-risk strategy, as it involves betting on the likelihood of a credit event occurring.

A key benefit of CDS is that they can provide liquidity to the market, allowing investors to buy and sell credit protection more easily. This can help to reduce the cost of credit and make it more accessible to investors.

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However, CDS also come with significant risks, including counterparty risk, where one party defaults on its obligations. This can be a major problem, as it can leave the other party exposed to the full credit risk associated with the reference entity.

To manage counterparty risk effectively, investors can conduct due diligence on potential counterparties, diversify counterparty exposure, and use collateral agreements and credit support annexes to secure their positions.

Here are some of the key risks associated with CDS:

  • Counterparty risk: the risk that the other party in the CDS contract will default on its obligations
  • Liquidity risk: the risk that one or both parties to a CDS contract must post collateral, leading to margin calls
  • Jump risk: the risk that a seller of a CDS will be suddenly obligated to pay millions or billions of dollars in the event of a default
  • Credit rating risk: the risk that the credit rating of one of the parties changes, affecting the market price of the CDS contract

Overall, CDS can be a powerful tool for investors, but they require careful consideration and management of the associated risks.

Tax and Accounting Issues

Tax and Accounting Issues can be a major source of stress for many entrepreneurs.

A common issue is tax audits, which can be triggered by discrepancies in financial reports.

According to the article, 30% of small businesses are audited each year, which can be a significant burden on resources.

Additional reading: Tax Benefits of Etfs

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Tax laws and regulations are complex and subject to change, making it difficult for entrepreneurs to stay compliant.

The article highlights the importance of accurate record-keeping, citing a study that found 75% of businesses that went out of business due to financial issues had poor accounting practices.

Tax obligations can also impact cash flow, as seen in the example of XYZ Inc., which was forced to pay a significant tax bill that put a strain on their finances.

Market and Regulatory Environment

The market and regulatory environment for credit default swap ETFs is complex and constantly evolving. The Dodd-Frank Act of 2010 introduced significant changes to the regulatory framework for credit default swaps.

Regulators have implemented strict rules to mitigate systemic risk, including the requirement for central clearing and margining. This has led to an increase in the cost and complexity of credit default swaps.

The European Union's European Market Infrastructure Regulation (EMIR) has also imposed similar requirements on European financial institutions. This has created a more level playing field for credit default swap ETFs globally.

Check this out: Credit Markets

Regulatory Concerns

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The 2007-2008 financial crisis highlighted the risk of systemic risk in the CDS market, where a large number of counterparties became vulnerable to default.

The Lehman Brothers and AIG debacle is a prime example of how a chain of CDS transactions can lead to a "domino effect" of losses. This happens when one company in the chain fails, causing a ripple effect of defaults throughout the market.

In the case of a mutual fund that bought Washington Mutual corporate bonds and hedged its exposure with a CDS from Lehman Brothers, the fund's losses would have been massive when Washington Mutual defaulted, as the CDS protection was no longer active.

The problem of counterparty default is exacerbated by the practice of "netting", where companies buy and sell CDS contracts to profit from changes in the reference company's creditworthiness.

The SEC's approval for ICE Futures to clear CDSs was a significant step towards mitigating this risk, but it was not the only government action taken to address the issue.

Here's an interesting read: Bear Market Etfs

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The Federal Trade Commission and the Justice Department approved ICE's acquisition of Clearing Corp., a Chicago clearinghouse owned by eight of the largest dealers in the credit-default swap market, in March 2009.

The Federal Reserve Board also granted ICE permission to begin clearing CDSs, which would have helped to reduce the risk of counterparty default.

In 2009, the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) launched a clearing service for CDSs, and LCH.Clearnet began clearing in 2012, providing an additional layer of protection against counterparty default.

The CFTC mandated that certain indices under its jurisdiction must clear on trade date from March 2013 onwards, further reducing the risk of systemic risk in the CDS market.

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Market Data Sources

The Trade Information Warehouse, maintained by the Depository Trust & Clearing Corporation, is the only global electronic database for virtually all CDS contracts outstanding in the marketplace.

Data on an annual and semiannual basis is available from the International Swaps and Derivatives Association (ISDA) since 2001 and from the Bank for International Settlements (BIS) since 2004.

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The Depository Trust & Clearing Corporation (DTCC) provides weekly data through its Trade Information Warehouse (TIW), but publicly available information only goes back one year.

Daily, intraday, and real-time data is available from S&P Capital IQ through their acquisition of Credit Market Analysis in 2012.

The Office of the Comptroller of the Currency publishes quarterly credit derivative data about insured U.S commercial banks and trust companies.

Market Growth

The Credit Default Swaps (CDS) market experienced explosive growth, with its size more than doubling each year from $3.7 trillion in 2003.

By the end of 2007, the CDS market had a notional value of $62.2 trillion. This rapid growth was fueled by speculators, who dominated the market by 2002, rather than banks as hedgers.

In 2002, the outstanding amount of CDS was over $2 trillion, a significant increase from tens of billions of dollars in 1996. This growth was also driven by the 1997 Asian Financial Crisis, which spurred a market for CDS in emerging market sovereign debt.

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The market size for CDS was estimated at $300 billion by March 1998, with JP Morgan accounting for about $50 billion of this. This was primarily due to banks using CDS to hedge risk in connection with their lending activities.

In 2004, index trading began on a large scale and grew rapidly, contributing to the market's growth.

Market as of 2008

By 2008, the market for credit default swaps had grown exponentially, with a notional value of $62.2 trillion.

The majority of CDS contracts were not actually paying out due to defaults, as default is a relatively rare occurrence, historically around 0.2% of investment grade companies default in any one year.

In the absence of default, the net cash flows from CDS contracts were only a small fraction of the total notional value, with annual cash flows amounting to only 1% of the notional amount for a 100 bp = 1% spread.

The value of outstanding CDS was $26.3 trillion by mid-2010, down from its peak before the 2008 financial crisis.

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Swap Legality

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Credit default swaps are not illegal, but they are regulated by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) under the Dodd-Frank Act.

The SEC and CFTC play a crucial role in overseeing the use of credit default swaps.

Regulation under the Dodd-Frank Act is a significant aspect of the market and regulatory environment for credit default swaps.

This regulation helps to ensure that credit default swaps are used responsibly and in a way that protects investors and the broader financial system.

Sovereign Debt Crisis

The European sovereign debt crisis was a complex issue, resulting from a combination of factors including globalization of finance, easy credit conditions, and the 2007-2008 financial crisis.

The Credit default swap market played a significant role in the crisis, with the European Parliament banning naked Credit default swaps on sovereign debt in 2011. This was done to prevent further instability in the market.

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The Greek government-debt crisis in 2012 highlighted the issue of whether restructuring debt would trigger Credit default swap payments. European Central Bank and International Monetary Fund negotiators avoided these triggers to prevent major European banks from being affected.

Restructuring debt is a technical process that involves negotiating changes in debt terms with creditors to avoid insolvency proceedings. This practice is more common in jurisdictions without protective status for insolvent debtors like Chapter 11 of the United States Bankruptcy Code.

The removal of credit events from North American high yield trades after Conseco's restructuring in 2000 led to the creation of new Credit default swaps that would pay out in the event of debt restructuring. This practice would have paid a spread between these new swaps and old ones.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Is there an ETF for CDS?

Yes, there is an ETF that provides short exposure to North American high yield debt issuers through credit default swaps (CDS). The ProShares CDS Short North American HY Credit ETF is a specific example of such an ETF.

Can you invest in credit default swaps?

Yes, you can invest in credit default swaps, but typically institutional investors like hedge funds and banks do it directly, while retail investors can access them through ETFs and mutual funds.

Did Michael Burry buy credit default swaps?

Yes, Michael Burry bought credit default swaps (CDS) on mortgage-backed securities. This move allowed him to profit when the housing market crashed during the Global Financial Crisis (GFC).

Emily Hilll

Writer

Emily Hill is a versatile writer with a passion for creating engaging content on a wide range of topics. Her expertise spans across various categories, including finance and investing. Emily's writing career has taken off with the publication of her informative articles on investing in Indian ETFs, showcasing her ability to break down complex subjects into accessible and easy-to-understand pieces.

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