
Chinese banks have been facing significant challenges in recent years. Several major banks in China have collapsed or are on the brink of collapse.
One reason for this is the country's rapid economic growth, which has led to a surge in lending and a buildup of bad debts. This has put a strain on the banks' balance sheets, making it difficult for them to stay afloat.
The collapse of China's Huarong Asset Management, a state-owned financial firm, is a prime example of this issue. Huarong's debt-to-equity ratio has increased significantly, making it difficult for the company to recover.
The consequences of Chinese bank collapses are far-reaching and can have a significant impact on the global economy.
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Banks in Trouble
In just one week, 40 banks were closed in China, a stark reminder of the country's banking sector woes. Many of these banks gave loans to manufacturers and local governments.
The Renminbao portal reported that Jiangxi Bank of China was raided by customers worried about bankruptcy rumors. The bank had previously reported that its profits could fall by 30 percent due to problems with customer payments.
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About 3,800 banks in China are on the verge of bankruptcy, with total assets of 5.7 trillion dollars or 13% of the country's banking system. These banks have been mismanaged for a long time, accumulating a lot of bad loans.
The real estate crisis has played a significant role in the banking troubles, with many banks lending to developers and local governments. In recent years, some banks have found that 40% of their portfolios are made up of non-performing loans.
China's banking problems are not unique, as the US experienced a similar crisis in the 1980s with over 1,000 small lending institutions collapsing or consolidating due to aggressive lending growth and poor risk controls.
China's Banking System
China's banking system is struggling to deal with troubled institutions, similar to what America experienced with the savings and loan (S&L) crisis in the 1980s. Over 1,000 small lending institutions collapsed or consolidated due to aggressive lending growth, poor risk controls, and a property downturn.
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China's smallest banks are now suffering from many of the same ailments, but until recently few have collapsed or merged with others. This suggests that the Chinese banking system is facing a significant challenge, but it's not yet at the same level of crisis as the S&L crisis in the US.
Threats and Consequences
The collapse of Chinese banks poses a significant threat to the global economy. This is because Chinese banks have extensive international connections, with many having branches or subsidiaries in other countries.
In 2022, the Chinese government intervened to prevent a major bank failure, highlighting the potential for widespread instability. The People's Bank of China injected liquidity into the banking system to stabilize it.
Chinese banks have large exposure to bad loans, with some estimates suggesting that up to 20% of outstanding loans may be non-performing. This has led to concerns about the banks' ability to withstand economic shocks.
The collapse of Chinese banks would have severe consequences for the global economy, including a potential credit crunch and a sharp decline in international trade.
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Sources
- https://www.asiasentinel.com/p/china-banking-system-crisis
- https://growthdragons.substack.com/p/growth-dragons-weekly-jiangxi-bank
- https://azon.global/en/posts/International-Life/40-banks-were-closed-in-one-week-in-china
- https://www.economist.com/finance-and-economics/2024/07/04/why-chinese-banks-are-now-vanishing
- https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/chinas-vanishing-banks-threatening-social-stability-harshad-shah-l01sf
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