Understanding Chevron's Dividend Yield and Growth Potential

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Chevron's dividend yield is a vital metric for investors to consider. The company's dividend yield is approximately 3.5%, which is higher than the S&P 500 average.

This is because Chevron has a long history of paying consistent dividends, with a payout ratio of around 60%. The company's ability to generate cash flow from its operations allows it to maintain a strong dividend policy.

Chevron's dividend growth potential is also worth noting. The company has increased its dividend payout by 6% per year over the past decade, outpacing inflation and providing investors with a relatively stable source of income.

The company's strong balance sheet and diversified operations contribute to its ability to sustain dividend growth.

Chevron Overview

Chevron is one of the world's largest oil and gas companies, with a history dating back to 1879. It was founded by John D. Rockefeller and was initially called Standard Oil of California.

Chevron has a diverse portfolio of businesses, including upstream and downstream operations, as well as a significant presence in renewable energy.

The company has a strong track record of investing in its business and returning value to shareholders through dividends.

Chevron has a market capitalization of over $250 billion and is one of the most valuable companies in the world.

Dividend Information

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Chevron's dividend yield is an attractive feature for investors. It currently stands at about 5.5%.

The company's dividend yield has a history of fluctuation, with a 5-year average of 4.35%. This suggests potential for upside, with a price target of $117.70 if Chevron were to return to its dividend yield mean.

Chevron's dividend growth rate has been steady, with a long-term growth rate of 5% factored into the Dividend Discount Model (DDM) analysis. This growth rate is slightly below the trailing 10-year average.

Cash Dividend

Chevron's dividend payout is a crucial aspect of its financial health. Chevron's dividend-to-operating cash flow ratio is 41% for the full year of 2021, which is right in line with its historical values.

The dividend is also covered by free cash flow, which is expected to be around $8.25 per share for FY2021. Chevron's dividend-to-FCF ratio is 62%, which is in line with more "normal" years like 2018 and 2019.

Chevron's cash payout ratio is a reasonable 62.5%, which means its dividend payments are covered by cash flows. This is a key indicator of a company's ability to sustain its dividend payments.

Market vs. Yield

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When evaluating a company's dividend yield, it's essential to compare it to the market average. Chevron's dividend yield of 4.0% is higher than the bottom 25% of dividend payers in the US market, which stands at 1.4%.

In contrast, Chevron's dividend yield is lower than the top 25% of dividend payers in the US market, which boasts a yield of 4.5%. This indicates that Chevron's dividend is relatively stable and consistent, but not exceptionally high.

To put Chevron's dividend yield into perspective, here's a comparison with other market segments:

This comparison shows that Chevron's dividend yield is higher than the market average, but lower than the top 25% of dividend payers in the US market.

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Financial Performance

Chevron's financial performance is a mixed bag, with revenue and earnings being quite erratic over the years due to oil price volatility.

The company's operating cash flow has been flat for the past 10 years, with a negative growth rate of 0.40%, but analysts expect it to grow this year and the following years at around 10-15%.

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Chevron has a strong balance sheet that has allowed it to navigate through tough times, such as the 2015 oil collapse and the COVID-19 pandemic.

The company's S&P credit rating of AA is a testament to its investment-grade quality, and its debt-to-equity ratio of 0.3 is very low, considering the capital-intensive nature of the oil industry.

Return

Chevron Corporation's return on investment is quite impressive, with a roughly 5.5% dividend yield.

This means that for every dollar invested in Chevron, you can expect to earn around 5.5 cents in dividend payments each year. The company has a well-covered dividend, which is a great sign for investors.

Chevron has a long history of dividend growth, with more than 33 consecutive years of raises. This is a testament to the company's financial stability and commitment to returning value to shareholders.

With its massive scale and fantastic global assets, Chevron is well-positioned to continue delivering strong returns to investors.

Financial Performance

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Chevron's revenue and earnings have been quite volatile over the years due to fluctuating oil prices. Analysts expect a turnaround in operating cash flow, which has been flat for the past 10 years with a negative growth rate of 0.40%, to grow by 10-15% this year and the next.

Operating cash flow is a more reliable growth indicator than revenue and earnings, as it's less affected by oil price volatility.

Chevron's outstanding balance sheet is a significant strength, allowing it to navigate through tough times like the 2015 oil collapse and the COVID-19 pandemic. The company's S&P credit rating of AA- is an investment-grade quality, although it was recently lowered from AA.

A debt-to-equity ratio of 0.3 is very low for a capital-intensive industry like oil, indicating Chevron's financial stability.

For your interest: Earnings per Common Share

Free Cash Flow and Hike Potential

Chevron's free cash flow has been strong, generating $5.6 billion last quarter, which is more than enough to pay its quarterly dividend of $2.9 billion.

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This excess cash flow gives the company room to increase its dividend, and Chevron has a history of doing so every 4 quarters.

The company has paid $1.63 per share for the past 4 quarters, so it's likely to announce a new dividend hike soon, possibly next month or early February 2025.

Chevron has a history of raising its quarterly dividend per share, with an average increase of over 7% per year.

In the past, the company has raised its dividend by 7.95% and 6.33%, so it's possible that it will hike it again by 6.75% to $1.74 per quarter.

If Chevron hikes its dividend to $1.74 per quarter, the new dividend yield would be 4.85%, based on its current stock price of $143.57 per share.

At this price, the dividend yield would be a relatively low buy-in price for investors, making it an attractive option for those looking for a stable income stream.

Valuation and Growth

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Chevron's dividend yield is a key factor in its valuation. With a current yield of around 4%, it's one of the highest in the industry.

Chevron has a long history of paying consistent dividends, with an impressive streak of 329 consecutive quarterly payments. This stability makes it an attractive option for income investors.

Its dividend payout ratio is relatively low, around 25%, indicating that the company has a solid foundation for continued dividend growth.

Chevron’s Valuation

Chevron's valuation is a crucial aspect to consider when evaluating the company's potential.

The PE ratio, or price-to-earnings ratio, is a key valuation metric. Chevron's current PE ratio of 26.9 is relatively high for a slow-growth stock.

Chevron's price-to-cash flow (P/CF) ratio is a more telling indicator, with a current ratio of 7.4. This is lower than the 10-year average of 8.4.

A lower P/CF ratio suggests that Chevron's stock price may be undervalued. If the company were to revert to its 10-year average P/CF ratio, the fair price would be around $103.83 per share.

Related reading: Equity Valuation Models

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The dividend yield is another important metric to consider. Chevron's current dividend yield of 5.5% is higher than its 5-year average of 4.35%.

If Chevron were to return to its 5-year average dividend yield, the price target would be around $117.70 per share. This suggests that there is potential upside in the stock.

The Dividend Discount Model (DDM) analysis provides another perspective on Chevron's valuation. With a 10% discount rate and a long-term dividend growth rate of 5%, the fair price target is around $108.36 per share.

By averaging the three fair price targets, we get a reasonable price of $109.96. This suggests that Chevron's stock has a decent upside potential.

Explore further: Share Target Prices

Final Thoughts on Chevron Growth Opportunity

Chevron Corporation is a high-quality energy company with a massive scale and fantastic global assets.

With a roughly 5.5% dividend yield, Chevron offers a significant return on investment.

More than 33 consecutive years of dividend raises demonstrate the company's commitment to providing reliable income to shareholders.

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Chevron's dividend growth rate beats inflation, ensuring that investors receive a steady increase in their returns over time.

The potential that shares are undervalued suggests that Chevron may have room for growth, making it an attractive opportunity for investors.

Here are some key statistics to consider:

Criteria and Checks

Chevron's dividend yield is a key aspect to consider when evaluating its investment potential. The company's current yield of 4.04% is attractive to income investors.

Dividend coverage is another crucial factor. Chevron's dividend is well covered by earnings, giving investors confidence in the company's ability to sustain its payout.

Chevron's buyback yield is also noteworthy, with a total shareholder yield of 8.8%. This is a combination of the company's dividend yield and its share buyback activity.

Here's a breakdown of Chevron's dividend metrics:

Comparing Chevron to Other Stocks

Chevron Corporation's dividend yield of 4.42% is a significant factor in evaluating its stability and growth potential.

A percentile ranks table provides a quick comparison of Chevron's dividend yield to its sector, country, and the world. This table indicates that Chevron's dividend yield is higher than 74% of companies in its country.

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The relative values in the table (0.51, 0.74, and 0.75) show how Chevron's dividend yield compares to others in its sector, country, and the world. For example, a value of 0.74 relative to country means that Chevron's dividend yield is higher than 74% of companies in its country.

To better understand Chevron's dividend yield, consider the following comparison:

Criteria Checks

Criteria Checks are a crucial step in evaluating a company's potential for investment. A company's dividend yield is a key metric to consider, and Chevron's current yield of 4.04% is well covered by earnings.

A high dividend yield is attractive, but it's essential to ensure the company can sustain it. Chevron's payout ratio of 70% indicates that it can afford to pay out a significant portion of its earnings as dividends.

When evaluating a company's buyback yield, consider the total shareholder yield, which includes both dividends and share repurchases. Chevron's total shareholder yield is a respectable 8.8%.

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Here are some key metrics to consider when evaluating a company's dividend criteria:

A company's ability to grow its dividend is also essential. While Chevron's dividend growth rate is relatively low at 0.4%, it's still a positive sign that the company is committed to rewarding its shareholders.

Frequently Asked Questions

How much does Chevron pay out in dividends?

Chevron pays out 70.28% of its earnings as dividends, which translates to $4.53 in dividends per $100 invested in its stock. This dividend payout is based on a 4.53% dividend yield.

What is the current yield of Chevron?

As of December 27, 2024, Chevron's current dividend yield is 4.53%. This yield is based on the company's current TTM dividend payout of $6.52.

Sheldon Kuphal

Writer

Sheldon Kuphal is a seasoned writer with a keen insight into the world of high net worth individuals and their financial endeavors. With a strong background in researching and analyzing complex financial topics, Sheldon has established himself as a trusted voice in the industry. His areas of expertise include Family Offices, Investment Management, and Private Wealth Management, where he has written extensively on the latest trends, strategies, and best practices.

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