BofA Warns Nvidia's Earnings Could Swing the Stock Market

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Close-up of two NVIDIA RTX 2080 graphics cards with dual fans, high-performance hardware.
Credit: pexels.com, Close-up of two NVIDIA RTX 2080 graphics cards with dual fans, high-performance hardware.

BofA analysts are sounding the alarm, warning that Nvidia's upcoming earnings report could have a significant impact on the stock market. Nvidia's earnings are expected to be released on November 17th.

The analysts are particularly concerned about Nvidia's exposure to the cryptocurrency market, which has been a major driver of the company's revenue in recent years. Nvidia's graphics cards are used to mine cryptocurrencies, and a decline in cryptocurrency prices could hurt the company's earnings.

Nvidia's earnings report is expected to be a major market mover, with the company's stock potentially swinging 10-15% based on the results.

Nvidia's Earnings Importance

Nvidia's earnings report is crucial because options are signaling an 8.5% price move in either direction, which could lead to a $292 billion market cap swing.

Historically, Nvidia's stock has outperformed when earnings exceed expectations, with five out of the last 12 quarters seeing significant post-earnings moves to the upside.

The market is optimistic that Nvidia could surprise to the upside again, given its track record of beating expectations.

Detailed close-up image of NVIDIA RTX 2080 graphics card showcasing hardware components.
Credit: pexels.com, Detailed close-up image of NVIDIA RTX 2080 graphics card showcasing hardware components.

Nvidia's earnings will be critical for the AI trade, with the company expected to report 82.8% year-over-year revenue growth driven by demand for AI-focused chips.

A strong report could boost optimism for AI-related stocks, while a miss might cool the sector, according to Nancy Tengler, CEO at Laffer Tengler Investments.

The market will likely extrapolate Nvidia's guidance to the entire AI trade, making its report a significant indicator of the sector's future.

Volatility and Sentiment

Traders are pricing in high volatility, with options markets slightly tilted toward a bullish outcome. This means there's a chance the market could move in either direction.

Bank of America analysts caution about potential downside risks, suggesting investors hedge against broader market impacts. This is because Nvidia's earnings report has the potential to significantly influence the market.

The S&P 500 could move 1.05% after Nvidia's report, making it a significant event for investors. Trading volumes have surged as investors position themselves for potential volatility.

Nvidia graphics processing unit
Credit: pexels.com, Nvidia graphics processing unit

Nvidia's stock itself might swing 12.5%, which is a significant move for any stock. Bank of America's Gonzalo Asis states, "It remains the most dominant stock in the market… expected to drive nearly 25% of the S&P 500's EPS growth in 3Q."

Here are some key statistics to keep in mind:

  • Nvidia's earnings report could move the S&P 500 by 1.05%
  • Nvidia's stock might swing 12.5%
  • Nvidia is expected to drive nearly 25% of the S&P 500's EPS growth in 3Q

Nvidia's Stock Price and Target

Analysts have a Strong Buy consensus rating on NVDA stock based on 32 Buys, three Holds, and zero Sells assigned in the past three months.

The average NVDA price target of $149.89 per share implies 18.57% upside potential from its current price.

A 176% rally in its share price over the past year is a significant increase, but the analysts' target suggests there's still room for growth.

This strong consensus and price target indicate a positive outlook for Nvidia's stock.

Nvidia's earnings report is expected to have a significant impact on the market. The S&P 500 could move 1.05% after the report, and Nvidia's stock itself might swing 12.5%.

Laptop keyboard with Intel Core i7 and NVIDIA GeForce RTX stickers, symbolizing high-performance computing power.
Credit: pexels.com, Laptop keyboard with Intel Core i7 and NVIDIA GeForce RTX stickers, symbolizing high-performance computing power.

Bank of America's Gonzalo Asis believes Nvidia is the most dominant stock in the market, expected to drive nearly 25% of the S&P 500's EPS growth in 3Q.

Trading volumes have surged as investors position themselves for potential volatility. This suggests that many people are taking notice of the upcoming report and are preparing for a possible market shift.

Nvidia options are signaling an 8.5% price move in either direction, which would translate to a $292 billion market cap swing – an unprecedented figure for the options market.

This kind of move would exceed the total value of 95% of S&P 500 companies, giving you an idea of just how significant this could be.

Here are some key points to keep in mind:

  • Nvidia's earnings report could move the S&P 500 1.05%
  • Nvidia's stock could swing 12.5%
  • Nvidia is expected to drive nearly 25% of the S&P 500's EPS growth in 3Q
  • Nvidia options are signaling an 8.5% price move in either direction

Frequently Asked Questions

What is expected from Nvidia earnings?

Nvidia earnings are expected to grow significantly, reaching $1.30 in 2024 and $2.87 in 2025, driven by strong demand for AI and crypto-related chips. This rapid growth is expected to continue into 2026, with projected earnings of $4.25 per share.

How to hedge against Nvidia earnings?

To hedge against Nvidia earnings, consider implementing a protective put strategy to limit potential losses, or a collar to balance income generation with risk protection. This can help you navigate market volatility and potential price fluctuations.

Angie Ernser

Senior Writer

Angie Ernser is a seasoned writer with a deep interest in financial markets. Her expertise lies in municipal bond investments, where she provides clear and insightful analysis to help readers understand the complexities of municipal bond markets. Ernser's articles are known for their clarity and practical advice, making them a valuable resource for both novice and experienced investors.

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