
The barbell strategy is a way to diversify your investments by placing a large portion of your assets in two extreme buckets, rather than spreading them out evenly across the spectrum. This approach can help you avoid the pitfalls of average returns.
By investing in two very different types of assets, you're creating a balanced portfolio that can potentially weather any market storm.
What Is a Barbell?
A barbell strategy is a way to invest in a mix of high-risk and no-risk assets. It's designed to create a reasonable return on your investments by focusing on the maturities of the securities in your portfolio.
The barbell strategy is built around the concept of focusing on the maturities of the securities in the portfolio, making sure the maturity dates are either very close or at a distant date. This is similar to the laddered approach.
A barbell portfolio is constructed of a number of bond holdings that sit at the two ends of the maturity spectrum, short and long-term, while exposure to medium-term maturities is avoided. This means that half of your portfolio contains long-term bonds and the other half holds short-term bonds.
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The short-term part of the portfolio provides flexibility, and should interest rates rise, you can capture the increase more quickly. The long-term portion of the barbell portfolio allows for the higher yields to be locked in if interest rates go down.
Here are some key characteristics of a barbell strategy:
- Half of the holdings are short-term instruments and the other half are long-term holdings.
- The barbell strategy allows investors to take advantage of current interest rates by investing in short-term bonds, while also benefitting from the higher yields of holding long-term bonds.
The barbell strategy can also mix stocks and bonds, but there are several risks associated with using this strategy, such as interest rate risk and inflation risk.
Benefits and Risks
The barbell strategy is all about balancing risk and potential return. By splitting the portfolio into two halves, one with very low risk investments and the other with very high risk assets, it's possible to limit risk while still maintaining upside potential.
This approach is aimed at protecting against "black swan" events, which are extreme and unpredictable. The very low risk investments, such as cash equivalents or short-term government bonds, are expected to provide capital protection during periods of elevated market volatility.
The high-risk assets, like venture capital, are the growth engine of the portfolio, providing the potential for significant upside in favorable markets.
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Benefits of Diversification

Diversification is a key benefit of the barbell strategy, allowing investors to spread their risk across different types of investments. By combining short-term and long-term bonds, investors can reduce their exposure to market volatility.
A barbell portfolio offers higher liquidity, enabling investors to reinvest the proceeds of matured short-term bonds at a more attractive rate. This flexibility also allows for quick adjustments to the strategy if needed.
The barbell strategy ensures a higher level of diversification, which can help mitigate risk. In a flattening yield curve environment, barbell portfolios are expected to outperform regardless of any yield curve shifts.
Here are some benefits of diversification in a barbell portfolio:
- Higher liquidity and the opportunity to reinvest the proceeds of matured short-term bonds at a more attractive rate.
- Greater flexibility and the ability to make quick adjustments to the strategy if required.
- Higher level of diversification, combining short and long-term bonds.
- Outperformance in a flattening yield curve environment.
- Higher yields from long-term bonds for income investors.
Risks
The barbell strategy is not without its risks, and it's essential to be aware of them before investing. It's highly sensitive to periods when the yield curve is steepening, causing long-term bonds to decline in value.
This can happen when long-term bond yields rise much faster than short-term bond yields. The value of those long-term bonds will decrease, while the proceeds from matured short-term holdings are reinvested into lower-yielding short-term bonds.
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The barbell strategy still carries some interest rate risk, even with long-term bonds. If those bonds were purchased when yields were low and rates rise afterward, the investor is stuck with bonds at lower yields than the market.
Investors might miss out on higher yields for medium-term bonds with intermediate maturities of five to 10 years. For instance, they might be holding two-year and 10-year bonds while five-year or seven-year bonds are paying higher yields.
All bonds have inflationary risks, which can erode the purchasing power of the bondholder. If inflation rises by 3% but the bondholder has bonds paying 2%, they'll have a net loss of 1% in real terms.
Investors also face reinvestment risk when market interest rates are below what they were earning on their debt holdings. This can happen when they return the principal on a note that matured and were receiving 3% interest, but market rates have fallen to 2%.
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Bullet vs.

The bullet vs. barbell strategy is a key consideration for fixed income portfolio management. A bullet strategy holds multiple bonds that mature around the same time, aiming to generate a large cash sum.
In contrast, a barbell strategy holds bonds with multiple maturity dates. This fundamental difference between the two strategies is crucial to understanding their relative performance.
If the yield curve steepens, a bullet strategy is expected to outperform. This is because the spread between short and long-term bonds is widening, making long-term bonds more attractive.
On the other hand, if the yield curve flattens, the barbell approach is expected to outperform. This is when the spread between short and long-term bonds narrows, making short-term bonds more attractive.
Here are the two case scenarios where either strategy is expected to outperform:
- Yield curve steepens: bullet strategy outperforms
- Yield curve flattens: barbell approach outperforms
It's worth noting that each strategy has its own strengths and weaknesses, and the relative performance of both strategies depends on how the yield curve changes.
Key Concepts

The barbell strategy is a type of investment approach that focuses on a mix of high-risk and no-risk assets.
By pairing short-term bonds with long-term bonds, investors can create a cushion of long-term bonds in case yields fall, and a chance to do better if short-term yields rise.
A barbell portfolio is constructed of a number of bond holdings that sit at the two ends of the maturity spectrum, short and long-term, while exposure to medium-term maturities is avoided.
The short-term part of the portfolio provides flexibility, and should interest rates rise, they can capture the increase more quickly.
The barbell strategy allows investors to take advantage of current interest rates by investing in short-term bonds, while also benefitting from the higher yields of holding long-term bonds.
Here are some key characteristics of a barbell strategy:
- Half of the holdings are short-term instruments and the other half are long-term holdings.
- The strategy can also mix stocks and bonds.
- There are several risks associated with using a barbell strategy, such as interest rate risk and inflation risk.
The biggest challenge for barbell strategies is when the spread between the short and long duration bonds widens (i.e. the yield curve “steepens”).
Application and Examples
The barbell strategy is a flexible and adaptable approach to investing, and it can be applied in various ways. One way to implement it is to split your portfolio between very low-risk and very high-risk asset classes, avoiding the "middle ground" where risk is highest.
The barbell strategy can be used in various asset classes, including bonds, stocks, and private companies. For example, in private company investing, a barbell approach might involve investing 90% in stable and diverse cash-flowing businesses and 10% in moonshot venture capital investments.
In bond investing, the barbell strategy typically involves mixing bonds with very short (under three years) and very long (10 years or more) timetables. This allows investors to exploit higher-paying bonds when they become available while still enjoying some of the higher returns of long-term bonds.
The success of the barbell strategy depends on interest rates, and it's most effective when there are large gaps between short- and long-term bond yields. It's also an active form of portfolio management, requiring frequent monitoring and the ability to roll over short-term bonds into new issues at higher rates.
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A barbell investment strategy can be customized to hold a mix of equities and bonds, and it offers diversification and reduces risk while retaining the potential to obtain higher returns. However, it also carries some risks, including interest rate risk, inflation risk, and market risk.
Here's a summary of the barbell strategy's key characteristics:
- Reduces interest rate risk since short-term bonds can be reinvested in a rising-rate environment
- Includes long-term bonds, which usually deliver higher yields than shorter-term bonds
- Offers diversification between short-term and long-term maturities
- Can be customized to hold a mix of equities and bonds
It's worth noting that the barbell strategy is not a one-size-fits-all approach, and it can be tailored to suit individual investors' needs and risk tolerances. By understanding the principles and applications of the barbell strategy, investors can create a more diversified and resilient portfolio.
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Learning and Management
The barbell strategy is a powerful approach to investing that involves dividing your portfolio into two main asset classes: low-risk and high-risk investments.
By allocating a significant portion of your portfolio to low-risk assets such as bonds and cash, you can reduce overall portfolio risk.
This approach is often used by experienced investors who are looking to balance risk and return in their portfolios.
A typical barbell strategy might involve allocating 70% of your portfolio to low-risk assets and 30% to high-risk assets.
This allows you to participate in potential high returns from high-risk assets while also protecting your principal from significant losses.
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Investment Strategies
The barbell strategy is a simple yet effective approach to managing risk in your investments. It involves splitting your portfolio into two distinct baskets: one with extremely safe investments and the other with highly-leveraged and speculative investments.
This strategy was famously used by Nassim Nicholas Taleb, a statistician and derivatives trader, to thrive during the 2007-2008 economic downturn. Many of his fellow Wall Streeters floundered while he made the most of the crisis.
The barbell strategy's underlying principle is to be as hyper-conservative and hyper-aggressive as possible, rather than taking a mildly aggressive or conservative approach. This mindset helps you navigate the unknown and manage risk more effectively.
By avoiding the middle ground, you can minimize your exposure to potential losses and maximize your potential gains. This approach can be customized to suit any type of investor, and it's a concept that's been popularized by Nassim Taleb in his book "The Black Swan".
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the barbell strategy of credit?
The "credit barbell" strategy involves investing in both short-term and long-term credit opportunities to optimize yield in a given market environment. This approach can be attractive for investors seeking to balance risk and return.
What is the 90 10 barbell strategy?
The 90/10 barbell strategy is a balanced investment approach that allocates 85-90% of assets to safe investments and 10-15% to high-risk, high-reward ventures. This strategy aims to maximize returns while minimizing risk through a calculated mix of conservative and aggressive investments.
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