To stay ahead of the game, it's essential to stay informed about the latest AUD NZD news and insights. The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) and the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) have a significant impact on the currency exchange rate.
Both central banks have been keeping a close eye on inflation rates, with the RBA aiming to keep inflation between 2-3% and the RBNZ targeting 1-3%. This means that any changes to monetary policy can have a ripple effect on the AUD NZD exchange rate.
The RBA has been closely monitoring the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the Australian economy, while the RBNZ has been focused on supporting the recovery of the New Zealand economy. This has led to some key differences in their monetary policy approaches, which can influence the AUD NZD exchange rate.
AUDNZD Exchange Rates
The AUD/NZD exchange rate has seen its fair share of fluctuations. As of 04/01/2025, the exchange rate is 1.1065.
The exchange rate has remained relatively stable over the past 5 days, with a 0.00% change. However, looking at the 1st January change, we see a +0.24% increase.
Historically, the AUD/NZD rate has traded in a horizontal pattern from September 2021 to July 2015, capped on the upside at 1.1270 and on the downside at 1.02.
Since September 2021, the pair has steadily risen, and as of the latest available data, it's trading at 1.1065.
Here's a brief summary of the recent comments from financial institutions:
AUDNZD Forecast
The AUDNZD forecast is a topic of much interest and debate among analysts and traders. Analysts at UBS and Commerzbank have provided their comments on the Australian and New Zealand dollars, with UBS focusing on the technical perspective and Commerzbank offering a 2025 outlook.
One key factor determining the AUD/NZD rate is the RBA's hawkish-for-longer stance, which is expected to boost the appeal of the Australian dollar. This could see the AUD/NZD rate rise to 1.12 in the short term.
From a technical perspective, the pair's 200-day moving average currently ranges from 1.0885 to 1.1020/30. If these levels are successfully broken and retested, it is reasonable to anticipate AUD/NZD could rise to 1.12 by the end of the year.
However, other factors such as the impact of the technical recession in New Zealand could prompt global investors to seek more stable assets, leading to a weaker Kiwi dollar. Recessionary conditions could also prompt the RBNZ to bring forward its timeline for cutting rates, making the currency less attractive to foreign investors.
Analysts at HSBC feel the New Zealand dollar could have further to fall, while analysts at Westpac predict the Australian dollar could fall modestly against its New Zealand counterpart across the final two quarters of the year.
Here's a summary of the forecast from various analysts:
It's essential to remember that analysts' and algorithm-based forecasts can be wrong, so always conduct your due diligence before trading, looking at the latest news, technical and fundamental analysis, and analyst commentary.
AUDNZD Analysis
The AUDNZD pair is influenced by various factors, including commodity prices and economic developments in Australia and New Zealand. Both countries' main exports include commodities such as ores, gold, meat, and chemicals, which directly impact their currencies.
The pair has traditionally moved in a closely synchronised fashion due to shared market forces, but recent aggressive central bank action from the RBA and concerns over New Zealand's economy have caused the pair to grind higher to a five-year peak. This is a significant shift in the market dynamics.
The Australian dollar is also affected by its largest trading partner, China, which accounts for a significant portion of Australia's exports. New Zealand's economy, on the other hand, is influenced by its key products for export and trade, including metals, ores, wool, cattle, and meat.
Here's a brief overview of the AUD/NZD pair's historical performance:
- 2010: Trading around 1.27
- April 2011: Peaked at 1.3792
- April 2015: Hit parity at 1
- July 2015: Strengthened to 1.1450
- September 2021: Traded at 1.03
- Since September 2021: Steadily risen
The current exchange rate is 1.1065, with a 5-day change of 0.00% and a 1st Jan change of +0.24%.
What Influences?
The AUDNZD pair is influenced by several key factors. Australia's main exports include ores, gold, meat, chemicals, and grains, with China being its largest trading partner. This means that economic developments in China also affect the Aussie.
The Australian dollar is closely tied to the price of these commodities. New Zealand's key products for export and trade are metals, ores, wool, cattle, and meat, with 29% of total exports going to China, influencing the NZD.
Historical Rate Performance
The AUD/NZD pair has had its fair share of ups and downs over the years.
At the start of 2010, AUD/NZD was trading around 1.27. The pair continued rising to a peak of 1.3792 in April 2011.
The Australian dollar strengthened, taking the pair to 1.1450 by July 2015. Since then, the pair has traded in a relatively stable range, occasionally breaching its limits.
Here's a breakdown of the pair's historical performance:
The pair has been steadily rising since September 2021, showing a promising trend for investors.
AUDNZD Impact
UBS made comments on the Australian and New Zealand dollars on March 1st.
Commerzbank also shared their 2025 outlook for the Australian dollar on February 1st.
Market trends are influenced by expert opinions like these, which can affect currency values.
These predictions can be a good indicator of what's to come in the currency market.
On March 1st, UBS commented on the Australian and New Zealand dollars, which might have an impact on their values.
Commerzbank's 2025 outlook for the Australian dollar, released on February 1st, could also influence the market.
Here's a brief summary of the recent expert opinions on AUDNZD:
AUDNZD News
The AUDNZD exchange rate has been making headlines, and for good reason. The New Zealand dollar has been on a downward trend in 2023 due to several key factors, including the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's (RBNZ) decision to halt its rate hike trajectory.
One immediate reason for this trend is the RBNZ's decision to lift the cash rate to 5.5% in May, but then signal that no further policy tightening will be needed to tame inflation. This has eroded the interest rate advantage previously enjoyed by the Kiwi dollar.
The RBNZ's decision has made the New Zealand dollar less attractive to investors seeking higher yields. As Luca Santos, currency analyst at ACY Securities, notes, "If you're an investor seeking a higher yield, you know that NZ has the higher rate among the G10 now, but you know as well that they won't raise rates anymore, while other central banks are being hawkish and keep hiking."
The New Zealand dollar's value is also being affected by global trade tensions, geopolitical uncertainties, and fluctuations in commodity prices, which are taking a toll on the Kiwi's value due to New Zealand's heavy reliance on agricultural exports.
The AUD/NZD rate hit its lowest level this year on May 23 at 1.058, but then reversed momentum after the RBNZ's surprise announcement. The current yield differential between the AUD and NZD looks set to shrink, which would be to the detriment of the kiwi dollar.
Here's a rough breakdown of the key factors affecting the AUD/NZD rate:
The RBA's hawkish-for-longer stance is expected to boost the appeal of the Australian dollar, leading to a rise in the AUD/NZD rate to 1.12 by the end of the year.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AUDNZD a buy or sell?
Based on expert analysis, AUDNZD is a strong buy, indicating a favorable market trend. If you're interested in learning more, check out our detailed analysis for the latest insights.
Sources
- https://in.marketscreener.com/quote/currency/AUSTRALIAN-DOLLAR-NEW-ZEA-2368988/news-history/
- https://www.forbes.com/advisor/au/investing/currencies/aud-to-nzd-forecast/
- https://www.fxleaders.com/live-rates/aud-nzd/
- https://capital.com/aud-nzd-forecast-australian-dollar-new-zealand-rba-rate-hike
- https://www.fxstreet.com/news/aud-nzd-dives-to-one-week-low-around-11030-after-rnbzs-expected-50-bps-rate-cut-202411270118
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