
Amaranth Advisors' energy portfolio was a disaster, and it's essential to understand what went wrong. The firm's energy traders made a series of bad bets on natural gas prices.
In 2006, Amaranth Advisors' energy traders made a massive bet on natural gas prices, which ultimately led to a $6 billion loss. This was one of the largest hedge fund losses in history.
The firm's traders had been buying up natural gas futures contracts, betting that prices would rise. However, a sudden change in weather patterns led to a glut of natural gas, causing prices to plummet instead.
Suggestion: Investment Firm Specialising in Managing Risk
The Crisis
Amaranth Advisors' troubles began to unfold on September 18, 2006, when the company revealed losses of $3 billion due to a natural gas market downturn.
This massive loss was a significant blow to the company's investors and reputation.
On that same day, Amaranth Advisors assured investors that they were working with lenders to maintain liquidity, while also selling off portfolio holdings to protect their interests.
A unique perspective: Viking Global Investors
Transferring Energy Portfolio

As Amaranth Advisors' energy trading strategy continued to attract massive inflows of cash, the firm's natural gas trading gradually dominated its investments. By 2006, the fund had up to $9 billion under management.
The firm's reliance on natural gas trading ultimately led to significant losses, with reports indicating that investors may have lost as much as 65 percent of their investment. In September 2006, Amaranth Advisors informed investors that they could not pull their money out and that redemptions would be temporarily suspended for two months.
Amaranth Advisors transferred its energy portfolio to a third party, consisting of Citadel LLC and JPMorgan Chase.
Readers also liked: Currency Trading Hedge Funds
2006 Energy Losses
In 2006, Amaranth's energy trading losses led to a significant crisis.
The fund's founder sent a letter to investors on September 29, 2006, notifying them of the fund's suspension.
Amaranth hired the Fortress Investment Group to liquidate its assets on October 1, 2006.
This marked a turning point in the crisis, as the fund's assets were being sold off to cover its massive losses.
Take a look at this: Amaranth Banned
Impact on Clients
Amaranth Advisors' clients were told of $3 billion in losses on September 18, 2006, due to a natural gas market downturn.
The company was working with lenders to maintain liquidity, and selling portfolio holdings to protect its investors.
Traders sold securities that could be easily liquidated, such as convertible bonds and high-yield corporate debt, to avoid disrupting the energy market.
September 18, 2006 - Client Informed of Losses
On September 18, 2006, Amaranth Advisors informed its investors of a $3 billion loss due to the natural gas market downturn.
This news was a significant blow to investors, who had likely trusted the firm to manage their assets wisely. Amaranth Advisors assured its investors that it was working with lenders to maintain liquidity and was selling portfolio holdings to protect their investments.
The firm's traders were tasked with selling securities that could be quickly liquidated without disrupting the energy market, such as convertible bonds and high-yield corporate debt.
Consider reading: AEA Investors
Clients
Amaranth Advisors had a diverse range of clients, including pension funds and endowments.
One notable pension fund client was the San Diego County Employees Retirement Association.
The firm also worked with banks and brokerage firms, such as Institutional Fund of Hedge Funds at Morgan Stanley.
Broaden your view: National Pension Service
Regulatory Response
The regulatory response to the Amaranth Advisors crisis was swift and severe.
In 2006, the New York State Attorney General's office launched an investigation into Amaranth's trading activities.
The investigation found that Amaranth had engaged in unauthorized trading in the energy markets, which led to significant losses for the firm's investors.
Amaranth's CEO, Nicholas Maounis, was forced to resign in the wake of the scandal.
The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) also fined Amaranth $7 million for violating trading regulations.
Amaranth's collapse led to a significant overhaul of the regulatory framework governing hedge funds and commodity trading.
Take a look at this: Trading Advisor Selection System
Criticisms and Lessons
Amaranth Advisors faced significant challenges in 2016, ultimately leading to their demise. They had a remarkable run, but a series of unfortunate events caught up with them.
Their strategy of using leverage to amplify returns proved to be a double-edged sword, as it amplified losses as well. This is a valuable lesson for investors.
Amaranth's downfall was largely due to their failure to manage risk effectively, particularly in the face of unexpected market movements. This oversight had devastating consequences.
The collapse of Amaranth Advisors serves as a stark reminder of the importance of robust risk management in investment strategies.
You might enjoy: Managing Investment Risk
The Downfall
Amaranth's decision to tie a disproportionately large portion of its capital to a single, high-risk market demonstrated a glaring disregard for the vital risk management principles of diversification and exposure limitation.
Concentrating its financial wellbeing on the natural gas futures market was nothing short of reckless, putting Amaranth at the mercy of that market's volatility.
The firm's enormous natural gas futures positions indicate that it either had inadequate risk controls or failed to implement them rigorously.
Amaranth lacked an effective contingency plan to weather the storm when faced with a market moving unfavorably, leading to a catastrophic fallout.
The rapidity of the fund's collapse highlights the crucial role of a robust crisis management plan to limit losses, stabilize operations, and preserve longevity during periods of intense market stress.
Amaranth seemed to have overlooked basic protective measures, such as stop losses, which can provide a safety net during sudden market downturns.
The story of Amaranth's demise serves as a stern lesson about the perils of excessive exposure to a single market, insufficient diversification, and deficient risk management.
Sources
- https://www.slideshare.net/slideshow/amaranth-advisors/151498664
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Amaranth_Advisors
- https://sgt.markets/cautionary-tales-of-poor-risk-management-5-the-downfall-of-amaranth-advisors-a-tale-of-overexposure-3/
- https://www.nytimes.com/2006/09/23/business/23hedge.html
- https://www.bbc.com/news/business-13166033
Featured Images: pexels.com